$QNT BEARISH BIAS: sell-side structure is intact, but this green rebound is NOT a short trigger.
Latest confirmed QNTUSDT H1 Futures close: $245.69, 02 Oct 2026 11:59 UTC (18:59 Vietnam). Exactly 300 closed candles validated.
Three clues:
• Lower rebound highs: $306.28 → $270.38 → $261.46.
• H1 closed at $232.08 below $241.12, confirming bearish BOS with displacement.
• That breakdown traded 1.57× the preceding 20-hour average volume; the next sell-off printed 1.95×.
Wyckoff: potential markdown after failed expansion; no stable recent range or complete distribution sequence is confirmed. SMC: $261.46 protects the local bearish structure, while $222.70 is the nearest weak low. The $245.00–$257.56 bearish order block is now touched. The latest rebound carried 1.68× volume and reclaimed $241.12, so a failed retest is still required. The recent bearish FVG is already filled.
ONE CONDITIONAL SHORT MAP
Trigger: a fresh H1 close below $241.12 after this reclaim.
Entry: $245.00–$257.56 ONLY on a subsequent failed retest, with H1 closing back below $245.00.
SL: $264.00, above the protected local high.
TP1: $222.70 | 2.25R
TP2: $204.25 | 3.70R, next observed swing support.
R:R uses entry midpoint $251.28, before fees/slippage.
BEARISH BIAS — NO ENTRY YET.
Price touching the zone is insufficient. Do not short the active rebound or chase a red displacement candle into support.
Thesis invalidation: an H1 close above $264.00.
$QNT #Wyckoff #SMC
Paper analysis only. Not financial advice.
Will this rebound fail at the order block and give sellers a confirmed retest?
Latest confirmed QNTUSDT H1 Futures close: $245.69, 02 Oct 2026 11:59 UTC (18:59 Vietnam). Exactly 300 closed candles validated.
Three clues:
• Lower rebound highs: $306.28 → $270.38 → $261.46.
• H1 closed at $232.08 below $241.12, confirming bearish BOS with displacement.
• That breakdown traded 1.57× the preceding 20-hour average volume; the next sell-off printed 1.95×.
Wyckoff: potential markdown after failed expansion; no stable recent range or complete distribution sequence is confirmed. SMC: $261.46 protects the local bearish structure, while $222.70 is the nearest weak low. The $245.00–$257.56 bearish order block is now touched. The latest rebound carried 1.68× volume and reclaimed $241.12, so a failed retest is still required. The recent bearish FVG is already filled.
ONE CONDITIONAL SHORT MAP
Trigger: a fresh H1 close below $241.12 after this reclaim.
Entry: $245.00–$257.56 ONLY on a subsequent failed retest, with H1 closing back below $245.00.
SL: $264.00, above the protected local high.
TP1: $222.70 | 2.25R
TP2: $204.25 | 3.70R, next observed swing support.
R:R uses entry midpoint $251.28, before fees/slippage.
BEARISH BIAS — NO ENTRY YET.
Price touching the zone is insufficient. Do not short the active rebound or chase a red displacement candle into support.
Thesis invalidation: an H1 close above $264.00.
$QNT #Wyckoff #SMC
Paper analysis only. Not financial advice.
Will this rebound fail at the order block and give sellers a confirmed retest?
