🛢️ HORMUZ OIL FLOWS: JPMORGAN VS GOLDMAN

Oil-flow estimates from the Persian Gulf are showing a major gap:

📊 JPMorgan:
• Middle East exports: 17.5M bpd
• ~98% of pre-war levels
• Hormuz flows: nearly 13M bpd

📈 Goldman Sachs:
• Persian Gulf outflows: 23.3M bpd
• Around 2025 average levels
• Includes tankers reportedly operating in “dark mode”

⚠️ Other estimates are much lower:
• US Treasury Secretary: ~17M bpd, intermittently
• TotalEnergies CEO: ~10M bpd

🔥 The key issue: Higher flows suggest supply is recovering, but analysts differ sharply on how much oil is actually moving through Hormuz.

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