$ETH/$BTC pair just broke a multi-year downtrend that's been dragging since 2020. Three consecutive green months — that's the kind of momentum shift that doesn't happen quietly.

When $ETH starts outperforming $BTC after years of underperformance, it's usually a signal that risk appetite is rotating back into the broader altcoin market. $BTC dominance peaks, then capital flows down the risk curve.

This isn't just a technical breakout. It's a liquidity rotation pattern. Historically, when $ETH/$BTC bottoms and reverses, altcoins follow with explosive moves 3-6 months later. We saw this in 2017, 2020, and early 2021.

The macro setup matters too. If we're entering a phase where global liquidity is expanding and the Fed's tightening cycle is behind us, risk assets catch a bid. Altcoins are leveraged plays on that liquidity.

Watch for confirmation: $ETH needs to hold this breakout above the long-term trendline. If it does, we're likely in the early innings of an altcoin season. If it fakes out and rolls over, we're still stuck in a $BTC-dominated market.