US natural gas jumps nearly 5% against weaker oil as short-term supply tightens

đŸ”„ October NYMEX natural gas futures settled 4.55% higher at $2.965/MMBtu on September 22, marking the strongest daily gain since early August. The move contrasted with weaker crude oil, showing that US gas was reacting mainly to domestic supply-demand factors.

📉 Lower 48 output fell to around 109.8 Bcf/d, while September LNG feedgas remained near 18 Bcf/d. Residential and commercial demand also increased as a brief early-season cold spell lifted heating needs.

📊 However, September production remains elevated overall and inventories are still above the five-year average. The rally therefore looks more like short-term tightening and short covering than confirmation of a new structural bull cycle.

👀 Markets will now watch the September 24 EIA storage report for evidence that the supply-demand balance is tightening more sustainably.

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