๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ถ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐ฟ๐๐ ๐ง๐ถ๐บ๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐ถ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฏ. ๐ก๐ผ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐น ๐ค๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐: ๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ ๐ก๐ฒ๐
๐?
The Fed delivered the move markets were watching.
On September 16, 2026, the Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 bps, taking the target range from 3.50%โ3.75% to 3.75%โ4.00%. It was the first hike since July 2023.
But the rate hike itself was not the biggest surprise. Markets had already largely priced it in, with roughly 92โ94% odds before the decision.
๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฐ๐ฟ๐๐ฝ๐๐ผ ๐ป๐ผ๐?
1๏ธโฃ The dot plot The Fed's projections point to one more 25 bps hike in 2026, while policymakers expect rates to remain elevated through 2027.
2๏ธโฃ Inflation is still the problem The Fed raised its 2026 inflation projection to 3.7%, well above its 2% target.
3๏ธโฃ BTC entered the decision under pressure Bitcoin was trading around $75.9K ahead of the decision after falling roughly 4% on Tuesday, following the failed Senate vote on the CLARITY Act.
So I would not look at the headline โFed hikesโ alone.
The bigger question for crypto is whether this becomes one isolated hike or the beginning of a renewed tightening cycle.
For $BTC and $ETH , liquidity expectations, Treasury yields, the dollar and Powell/Warsh's forward guidance can matter more than the 25 bps headline itself.
The rate decision was expected.
The path from here is what the market has to digest. #FedRateWatch
#LearnWithFatima
The Fed delivered the move markets were watching.
On September 16, 2026, the Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 bps, taking the target range from 3.50%โ3.75% to 3.75%โ4.00%. It was the first hike since July 2023.
But the rate hike itself was not the biggest surprise. Markets had already largely priced it in, with roughly 92โ94% odds before the decision.
๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฐ๐ฟ๐๐ฝ๐๐ผ ๐ป๐ผ๐?
1๏ธโฃ The dot plot The Fed's projections point to one more 25 bps hike in 2026, while policymakers expect rates to remain elevated through 2027.
2๏ธโฃ Inflation is still the problem The Fed raised its 2026 inflation projection to 3.7%, well above its 2% target.
3๏ธโฃ BTC entered the decision under pressure Bitcoin was trading around $75.9K ahead of the decision after falling roughly 4% on Tuesday, following the failed Senate vote on the CLARITY Act.
So I would not look at the headline โFed hikesโ alone.
The bigger question for crypto is whether this becomes one isolated hike or the beginning of a renewed tightening cycle.
For $BTC and $ETH , liquidity expectations, Treasury yields, the dollar and Powell/Warsh's forward guidance can matter more than the 25 bps headline itself.
The rate decision was expected.
The path from here is what the market has to digest. #FedRateWatch
#LearnWithFatima
