Fed rate will turns the market mood!!!😱
August core CPI came at 0.3% MoM and with energy prices spiking again due to Iran tensions, the market is now pricing a ∼90-93% chance of a 25bp hike at the Sept 15-16 FOMC meeting. After Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech about reaching 2% inflation "at sufficient speed", I think a hike this week is almost locked in.
It Is a 25bp Hike Inevitable This FOMC? My Take #FedRates
Is it a one-off? I don't think so. UBS, Citi and others are now calling for 2 hikes in 2026 - Sept + Dec. Inflation at 3.5-4.2% and strong jobs (162k in August, 4.1% unemployment) means this could be the start of a mini-hiking cycle, not just a single move.
How will it affect markets?
- BTC: Short-term bearish. Higher rates = stronger dollar, less liquidity. Expect BTC to test $100k-$102k support before bounce.
- Tech Stocks: Bearish too. Nasdaq is rate-sensitive, 10Y yield hit 5.04% - highest since 2007.
- Gold: Mixed to bullish long-term. Short-term dip on dollar strength, but if rate hikes signal inflation is back, gold will shine.
My Trading Plan: I'm 40% cash, holding small BTC spot, and waiting to buy the dip. If FOMC hikes 25bp and signals pause, I'll long BTC and QQQ calls. If they sound more hawkish for Oct/Dec, I'll stay defensive and add gold.
#USSenateBlocksClarityAct
What's your plan?
#BitcoinFalls4%
#FedRateWatch
August core CPI came at 0.3% MoM and with energy prices spiking again due to Iran tensions, the market is now pricing a ∼90-93% chance of a 25bp hike at the Sept 15-16 FOMC meeting. After Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech about reaching 2% inflation "at sufficient speed", I think a hike this week is almost locked in.
It Is a 25bp Hike Inevitable This FOMC? My Take #FedRates
Is it a one-off? I don't think so. UBS, Citi and others are now calling for 2 hikes in 2026 - Sept + Dec. Inflation at 3.5-4.2% and strong jobs (162k in August, 4.1% unemployment) means this could be the start of a mini-hiking cycle, not just a single move.
How will it affect markets?
- BTC: Short-term bearish. Higher rates = stronger dollar, less liquidity. Expect BTC to test $100k-$102k support before bounce.
- Tech Stocks: Bearish too. Nasdaq is rate-sensitive, 10Y yield hit 5.04% - highest since 2007.
- Gold: Mixed to bullish long-term. Short-term dip on dollar strength, but if rate hikes signal inflation is back, gold will shine.
My Trading Plan: I'm 40% cash, holding small BTC spot, and waiting to buy the dip. If FOMC hikes 25bp and signals pause, I'll long BTC and QQQ calls. If they sound more hawkish for Oct/Dec, I'll stay defensive and add gold.
#USSenateBlocksClarityAct
What's your plan?
#BitcoinFalls4%
#FedRateWatch
