đŸ”„ CPI WATCH: Will Inflation Force the Fed to Hike?

The next CPI print could become a major catalyst for risk assets.
Nonfarm payrolls came in stronger than expected, keeping the U.S. labor market relatively resilient. Now the market is turning its attention to inflation: if CPI comes in hotter than expected, the Fed could face renewed pressure to keep rates higher for longer—or even consider another hike.
My view: cautiously bearish in the short term if CPI surprises to the upside.

A hot CPI could push Treasury yields and the USD higher, putting pressure on BTC and other risk assets. But a softer-than-expected CPI could quickly flip the narrative and support a risk-on move.
For me, the key question isn't simply whether CPI rises or falls—it is whether the number changes the Fed's rate expectations.
What do you think?
đŸ”„ Bullish or đŸ» Bearish?
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