🚨 Will the Fed Hike Rates Next Week?

The next 48 hours could be crucial for markets as two major inflation reports are set to shape expectations ahead of the Fed’s September 15–16 meeting.

📊 CPI & PPI will offer fresh clues on whether U.S. inflation is accelerating again or finally cooling.

Headline CPI is expected to rise around 0.4% MoM, partly driven by higher oil prices linked to the Iran conflict. But Wall Street is focused on Core CPI, excluding energy, with economists expecting a 0.2% MoM increase.

🔹 Core CPI ≤ 0.1% → Fed likely holds
🔹 Core CPI ≥ 0.3% → Hike becomes highly likely
🔹 0.2% → Decision remains uncertain

Current odds reportedly show a 60.2% chance of a 25-bp hike versus 39.8% for no change.

⚠️ PPI could also play a major role as oil prices and tariffs continue adding inflation pressure.

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