🎯 TP1: $4.7843 (+3.89%) │ TP2: $4.9501 (+7.49%)
🛑 SL: $4.2366 (-8.00%) │ R/R: 1 : 0.94
⚠️ Stop is wider than TP2 target (R/R < 1) — the closer target is hit more often, but adjust position size according to the stop loss

FUNDAMENTAL BACKGROUND
UNI is moving in line with the general altcoin rally, supported by strong BTC and ETH performance. The lack of fresh project-specific news shifts focus to technical factors and overall market appetite for risk assets. The Fear & Greed Index is in extreme territory, signaling overbought conditions but maintaining upward momentum. Recent macroeconomic data has not exerted significant pressure, leaving the crypto market to follow its own dynamics.

TECHNICAL PICTURE
Price is trading confidently above key moving averages (EMA 20 - $4.5, EMA 50 - $4.34), confirming the bullish trend. ADX 31.6 indicates strong directional momentum favoring buyers. MACD shows a positive histogram (0.01), albeit with minimal line divergence. VWAP ($4.56) acts as dynamic support, while the current quote ($4.6050) tests the upper boundary of the recent range ($3.2230–$4.8440).

PROBABILITY MODEL
The probability of continued growth is estimated at 50%, considering the strong trend and positive market backdrop. Correction risk (31%) stems from overbought conditions but lacks technical confirmation. A sideways scenario is least likely (19%) due to high volatility (ATR 0.1302).

DIRECTION
🟢 BUY on a bounce from VWAP $4.56, targeting a retest of the local high at $4.8440.

$uni