US Jobs Report Delivers Major Soft Print — BTC Responds

July nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000 against an expected gain of 80,000 — marking one of the largest monthly declines since 2020. Unemployment ticked down to 4.1% from 4.2%, though the improvement largely reflected a smaller labor force rather than stronger hiring. Prior months were also revised lower by a combined 103,000 jobs.

The data immediately shifted rate expectations. September Fed hike odds dropped from the high-50s toward the mid-40s, easing near-term policy pressure and lifting risk appetite across markets. Bitcoin advanced to August highs near $65,300, supported by five consecutive days of ETF inflows.

This is a clear cooling signal in the labor market, but it does not fully remove the case for tighter policy later. Inflation remains elevated, and the Fed will still weigh upcoming data carefully. For crypto, softer labor numbers continue to act as a short-term liquidity tailwind.

Always cross-check official BLS releases and Fed commentary. How are you reading the macro setup into September?

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