🇺🇸🇮🇷 The clearest sign the U.S. has lost leverage in the Persian Gulf is that its Navy still cannot safely return.

American warships pulled back before the fighting intensified and have stayed away because operating near the Strait of Hormuz is now judged too risky.

A navy that once dominated those waters no longer treats them as routine patrol ground, and more bombing will not automatically fix the problem.

Vietnam showed that even extremely brutal air campaigns can fail to force a determined adversary to surrender, especially when that adversary can absorb the damage and keep fighting.

Additional strikes risk hardening Iranian resolve rather than breaking it.

Any future arrangement to reopen the strait may simply confirm the new reality.

With depleted missile stocks and limited escort options, Washington has few tools left to dictate terms.

A deal could be sold as a "reopening" while quietly accepting that Iran and Oman will set the rules for who passes and under what conditions...

$HEI | $HFT | $SYN

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