Everyone’s acting like the SpaceX crash is finished. It’s not. And if you think $SPCX can’t sink further, you’re missing what’s about to unfold.

SpaceX peaked at $225. It’s now hovering near $110, a brutal −52% slide in just one month. But here’s the twist: that entire collapse happened while only 5% of shares were even tradeable.

That changes next week.

On August 4, SpaceX drops its first-ever earnings report. Everyone’s fixated on the revenue number (~$6.8B, Starlink booming). But that’s not the story.

Two days later, the lockup expires, unleashing up to 911 million shares into the market, more than doubling the float overnight. Then another 7% unlocks around August 21, again in September, and more waves roll through November.

Now connect the dots:

• The −52% dump already happened.

• Retail chased.

• Funds bought.

• And now supply is about to quadruple.

If $SPCX bleeds this hard on a 5% float, imagine what happens when 20%+ hits the tape.

Here’s the trap — earnings don’t matter.

Scenario 1: Strong report → insiders finally get liquidity. Retail becomes the exit.

Scenario 2: Weak report → falling price meets a doubled float. Straight trapdoor.

Either way, the outcome’s the same: a flood of supply that gets absorbed slowly, wave after wave, into December.

The real price discovery starts next week.

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