Everything hinges on tonight's Fed decision.

Nasdaq is on track for its sixth consecutive down day. Treasury yields are stuck around 4.6%. Crypto isn't behaving like the hedge people hoped for.

$BTC is grinding near $64K. $ETH is giving back some of July's gains.

Today's price action feels less crypto-driven and more about macro uncertainty. With the Fed decision, Powell's press conference, and Meta + Microsoft earnings all hitting at once, there's zero reason for markets to take risk beforehand.

When macro events dominate like this, short-term crypto price moves matter less than the bigger picture. The real question: what does Powell signal about the path forward? That's what sets the tone for risk assets in the weeks ahead.