杀破狼 WolfyXBT

Today's Wolf Wave Cycle Index = 0.222 (0 = bear bottom, 1 = bull top)

• Wolf Wave Cycle Index: https://wolfyxbt.github.io/wolfy-wave-index/

This bear market cycle will bottom at block height 971,250, which corresponds to approximately ≈ 2026/10/15. The date may be off by a few days depending on Bitcoin's block production speed.

The bull market for Bitcoin has ended, and we have now entered a bear market.

The peak of this bull market occurred on 2025/10/06, with the price of Bitcoin at 126,000. I also do not wish to speak negatively about my career, but according to the "four-year cycle theory," the price of Bitcoin has indeed peaked. I just want to convey this fact to more newcomers who have entered this cycle.

In my opinion, the "Bitcoin halving" has the greatest impact on the price of Bitcoin; it is much larger than any other event (macroeconomics, regulatory policies, geopolitical issues, wars, pandemics, etc.). The four-year cycle theory is a cyclical theory that revolves around Bitcoin halving, and it is currently the most reliable cyclical theory in the cryptocurrency space, without exception.

The core of the four-year cycle theory is: "Bitcoin halving" dominates the rhythm of Bitcoin's bull and bear transitions, dividing the fluctuations of a Bitcoin bull and bear cycle into 4 parts, which are:

Bull Beginning >> Halving >> Bull End >> Bear Market

Before the "halving," there will be a "Bull Beginning,"
After the "halving," there will be a "Bull End,"
The "halving day" will be interspersed in the "middle region" of the entire bull market,
The duration of the "Bull Beginning" and "Bull End" is basically similar,

After the "Bull End," there will be a bear market lasting 1 year, and then we will wait for the next "halving day" to drive the next "Bull Beginning" market, and so on, ad infinitum.

From the diagram below, we can see that the "Bull End" of this round has already concluded, and we have officially entered the "Bear Market" zone. Even if the date I mentioned may not be absolutely accurate, there is no need for us to continue betting in this zone.

If you usually play around with memes, you can register an @fomo account and post some Theses. If you have money, you can also claim some. They have a Creator Rewards program—whenever your Thesis gets seen by others, and those people make a transaction because of it, you can earn a revenue share.

Use my link to register and you’ll get a 10% fee discount: https://fomo.family/r/wolfyxbt

I think their platform is pretty friendly to small accounts. My Fomo account only has a little over 1,000 followers, and I’ve only written Theses a few times, just casually. These days it’s been giving me about over $100—pretty good.

Also, there’s an anticipated token launch. This is a new project the DYDX team is putting together. Back when DYDX was in the crypto scene, they gave out a mega, super-over-the-top airdrop. They’re a team that really respects the community, so it’s something to look forward to.

Register with my link for a 10% fee discount—of course, I can also earn your referral commission.

Honestly, the most cost-effective way would be to register two accounts yourself and refer yourself. But I’ve checked, and the official rules clearly forbid doing that. They will also check—if they find out, you could have your referral commission stopped and even get banned. So I suggest you follow the platform rules and register using my link. Thank you—I love you 😇

So if you have a million at 20, it’s actually not inferior to someone having a billion at 60.

The meaning of life lies in experience. Money lets you experience more things, but time gradually wears down your sensitivity to people and things. So while earning money, don’t forget to take time to feel this world.

You’re 60 years old and give me 1 billion, it’s not as good as giving me 1 million when you’re 20.

Uncle Sun’s concept stocks jump sharply at open!

Touzhan Life and Zhang Xiaoqin (Uncle Sun’s nail clippers)

Jing Tian finally posted a Weibo response

As soon as Brother Sun’s little essay was posted, it was already paid back. Back then, the banana flowers cost 6.2 million USD, totaling 45 million RMB. The traffic wasn’t even that great. But this time, when it came to safeguarding rights, the buzz around Jing Tian directly exploded and broke out into the mainstream. It’s already paid back 30 million RMB!

Brother Sun is really busy—on the one hand he’s dating Jing Tian, on the other he’s dating Gu Ailing, and he’s also suing Donald Trump, and arguing with Zeng Ying, and going all-in on storage, and building an AI transit hub, and going to space, and getting listed on Nasdaq, and buying bananas.

Wolf Wave Cycle Index: 0.133

We haven’t left the bear market cycle yet, so be cautious about chasing the price.

：https://wolfyxbt.github.io/wolfy-wave-index/

After the cow came back and reached 30m, it then stubbornly pulled back to 60m—too terrifying!

Many people have been messaging me asking how to turn things around. In the crypto world, what’s never in short supply is opportunities to turn things around. I can tell you this: the crypto world is probably the easiest place to turn your situation around that you can reach—but you have to find the right timing. The best time to turn things around is when the side that’s been pinned down starts to feel stuffy and hot. That’s the best time for you to turn things around.

The past can be changed.

If I fail in the future, people will say, “Isn’t that guy Kill Kill Wolf just an adult-content number-searcher who’s an online porn blogger?” If I succeed in the future, people will say, “Kill Kill Wolf showed search and research abilities far beyond ordinary people from his youth.”

China's cultural export to overseas audiences over the past year: Black Myth: Wukong, Labubu, Lan Lao, and Niu Lai.

There are way too many people shorting. I’ve been singing bearish for half a year—when it rallied to 70,000 I quit early and surrendered. Now that it dips a bit, there are all these people shorting again. If Bitcoin can’t drop, it’s your fault—just rally back up and go bull early!

They’re not really telling you to go all-in—it's telling you to go all-in gradually. It’s not going all-in all at once. When you go all-in, you need to find a good timing, then go all-in slowly. After you’ve gone in and gotten your profit, you should exit. Wait for the next opportunity, then go all-in again.

I just found out I’ve hit exactly 860,000 followers—can you all congratulate me, please? Thank you.

The sudden breakout of “Bull Niu” has made the market start to take IP seriously again. IPX recently officially licensed Minini, a top-tier meme sticker IP, to Minicoin, a Web3 project, @mini_cto.

IPX is the parent company behind @_LINEFRIENDS. Everyone should know LINE—it's like WeChat for Japan and South Korea. LINE has long done a pretty good job with its sticker culture. The Minini sticker character licensed to Minicoin this time is one of their original sticker IP characters that everyone has probably seen to some extent.

Minicoin is an “IP on-chain” project within the Creditcoin @Creditcoin ecosystem. What they’ve been doing recently is quite interesting, so you may want to keep an eye on it.

Creditcoin itself is a Layer1 blockchain focused on RWA.

And what Minicoin is doing with this “IP on-chain” effort is, at its core, also building RWA. IP originally belongs to the “off-chain asset” world. Through legal agreements, ownership of the IP is proven—who the true holder is. Minicoin now wants to bring this off-chain IP rights verification process onto the blockchain as well.

Artists/creators can now go to the Minicoin platform, package their IP works into NFTs (the supported formats currently include: sticker packs, music, and virtual characters). Then the Minicoin platform helps artists/creators apply for an IP legal agreement off-chain for the IP works they uploaded.

Ultimately, it realizes the concept: “Whoever holds this NFT owns the IP.” This ownership doesn’t only take effect on-chain—it also has legal effect off-chain, enabling real IP rights verification.

I think Minicoin’s approach does indeed address an NFT-related shortcoming when it comes to IP rights verification.

In Web3, if you hold an NFT, people do treat you as the IP owner of that NFT. But off-chain, that claim is hard to substantiate. Off-chain, there’s your own IP rights verification method—legal agreements. Minicoin’s approach perfectly fills that gap.

The market can also pay for licenses to use IP on the Minicoin platform. Minicoin’s agreement automatically converts these proceeds into $MINI and routes them to the NFT holders. The entire process is implemented purely via smart contracts, and the project team itself can’t touch this money.

And this system also supports redemption: NFT holders can burn the NFT and redeem the complete IP ownership legal agreement with the Minicoin platform off-chain.

Overall, I think what Minicoin is doing is pretty interesting. For digital artists/creators, it may become a better option for asset issuance in the future.

This market is really terrible, brothers—protect your principal.

If Bitcoin sets a new low within the next 3 months, the Wolf Wave Index still holds true.

If a bull run resumes from here, with 58,000 as the bottom of this bear market, then the Wolf Wave Index will be completely invalidated.

• Wolf Wave Index：https://wolfyxbt.github.io/wolfy-wave-index/