$BTC 1W Structure Points to Extended Distribution - 45K Region as Potential Cycle Bottom
On the weekly, #BTC has rejected the major supply zone and is now breaking down from a clear distribution range. Momentum has shifted, and price is trading below the mid-range support that held the prior expansion.
If this structure continues to play out, the 45K region stands out as the next high-timeframe demand cluster and psychological reset level.
On one side, liquidity above has already been tapped and sellers are defending previous highs aggressively. On the other side, a deeper flush into the 40k would complete a full cyclical reset and trigger broader capitulation.
$ASTER reaches 0.71 while the entire market falls, having perfectly mirrored the projection I made last week.
For that projection to have held true, we would have needed to see a strong upward trend in the crypto market. However, against all odds, it has bucked the trend, proving itself to be one of the strongest coins in the ecosystem over the past few days.
There are quite a few whales accumulating in this range between 0.40 and 0.70, considering it a good buying opportunity.
The EMA200 has become a strong support after closing 9 consecutive 4-hour candles above it. 👇
CryptoZeno
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$ASTER breakout is real. Months of downward pressure just got nuked in a single candle. 12H structure looks incredibly primed for a 2x from here. The $0.619 level was the gatekeeper. Now? Price discovery mode initiated. 👇 {future}(ASTERUSDT)
It's the first altcoin to show up the sentiment of the market of a reaction after the dip.
They partnered with Securitize to integrate #BlackRock tokenized USD. That's the news.
Price already hit the strong resistance at 4.40$, the EMA200 on 4H chart.
Not easy to trade UniSwap, this is just a post to comment about this altcoin and what we could expect in the future from the rest of the #TOTAL market.
Too late for a long. Classic insider trading trade.
Something Is Quietly Building Around VANRY And Most People Haven’t Noticed Yet
Not every move in crypto starts with a breakout. Sometimes the more interesting phase is when everything looks strangely calm. No headlines, no explosive candles, no crowd chasing. Just steady activity in the background while attention is focused somewhere else. Historically, this is exactly when positioning happens before the wider market reacts. What stands out recently is not noise but persistence. Conversations are increasing, community participation is more visible, and small bursts of volume keep appearing without turning into sell pressure. Instead of sharp spikes followed by dumps, the behavior feels controlled and gradual. That kind of flow often suggests preparation rather than speculation.
Markets rarely reward what is obvious. By the time a trend becomes clear to everyone, most of the upside is already gone. The early phase usually looks boring, even forgettable. Price moves slowly, sentiment is neutral, and only a small group pays attention. Then a catalyst arrives, visibility increases, and momentum accelerates much faster than expected because the groundwork was already in place. This is where projects with actual ecosystems tend to separate themselves. When activity is supported by products and users instead of temporary hype, engagement keeps running even during quiet periods. Inside the @Vanarchain ecosystem, Vanar Chain is focused on powering gaming, entertainment, and interactive digital experiences where transactions happen naturally as part of usage. The goal is simple execution and smooth interaction rather than complexity. Within this environment, $VANRY supports payments, utilities, and value movement across applications, connecting everything inside the broader #Vanar network. Calm phases like this rarely last forever. Once attention rotates back, the shift can feel sudden even though the build up has been happening for weeks. For many participants, the real opportunity often appears when things still look quiet, not after the crowd rushes in.
Compression Tightens Around XPL as Supply Dynamics and Structure Begin Aligning
Following the extended post-listing decline, $XPL is no longer trading in impulsive sell conditions but has shifted into a compression structure where liquidity is being gradually absorbed. Looking at the chart, price has established a repeated reaction zone near the lower range. Earlier breakdown attempts showed wide bearish bodies, yet recent retests are producing tighter spreads and long downside rejections. This change in candle behavior signals that market sell orders are being matched by passive bids rather than triggering continuation. Short timeframe structure is now attempting to print a sequence of higher lows inside the broader base. While still early, this transition is critical. If price can reclaim the mid-range resistance cluster that previously acted as distribution, the market opens room for a liquidity-driven expansion due to reduced overhead supply.
Volume profile across the range also shows contraction. Declining sell volume during support retests often precedes volatility expansion, particularly when paired with tightening price structure. Supply mechanics add another supportive layer. Circulating emission remains limited as the majority of allocation is still locked. This restricted float reduces immediate unlock-driven sell pressure, allowing price stabilization to develop without constant dilution. In early-stage assets, this dynamic often amplifies upside responsiveness once demand rotates back in. The evolving structure sits alongside the infrastructure narrative being developed by @Plasma , where $XPL operates within a settlement-oriented Layer 1 optimized for stablecoin throughput. As float constraint meets improving technical footing, attention around #Plasma may increasingly synchronize with price structure rather than purely speculative cycles.
At this stage, compression, liquidity absorption, and low unlock circulation collectively position #XPL in a zone where base formation could precede its first sustained expansion phase.
$ETH The strong rally that followed the 2022 bear market created the appearance of a renewed bull market, but structurally it fits better as a counter-trend move within a broader corrective range rather than the start of a new long-term cycle.
Throughout this corrective phase, price has remained largely range-bound, repeatedly failing to establish sustained acceptance above the previous cycle highs. This behavior points to distribution and consolidation, not continuation.
From this perspective, the apparent bull market that developed within the correction can be interpreted as a dead cat bounce, a technically strong bounce occurring inside a larger corrective structure.
The current market structure suggests that a final shakeout phase may still be required to fully reset sentiment and liquidity before Ethereum can transition into a new impulsive bullish cycle. Only after such a reset would a genuine long-term move toward new all-time highs become structurally likely.
Macro Structure Breakdown (Chart Context)
The Pump (2019–2021) This phase represents the true impulsive bullish move following the 2018 bear market. Price shows strong trend expansion, increasing momentum, and clear higher highs and higher lows, classic characteristics of a genuine bull market.
The Correction (2021–2026) After the peak, ETH enters a wide, multi-year corrective structure. Despite several strong rallies within this range, price fails to establish sustained new highs above the prior cycle peak. Structurally, this period behaves more like distribution and correction than continuation.
The Shakeout (Projected) The chart anticipates a final liquidity-driven move to the downside, likely intended to break market confidence, force capitulation, and reset positioning ahead of a new cycle.
The Moon (Projected) Only after this shakeout does the structure suggest the conditions for a true long-term bullish continuation, with price discovery and expansion well beyond previous highs. #CryptoZeno #WhaleDeRiskETH
$INIT s stabilizing after a prolonged sell-off, holding above a fresh demand base with sellers showing clear exhaustion. On one side, downside momentum has been fully absorbed at the lows; on the other, price is starting to expand away from support, signaling a shift in control. As long as this base holds, current consolidation favors a strong upside continuation rather than a renewed breakdown.
🔥 #Bitcoin Short Term MVRV hits historic support zone $BTC is once again testing the Short Term MVRV support band, the same region that marked major cycle bottoms in 2016, 2019, 2020, and 2023.
Each touch of this green zone previously triggered strong demand absorption, aggressive dip buying, and multi month expansions. Now the metric is compressing near 1.0 again, signaling short term holders are back to breakeven where fear peaks and smart money accumulates
Red circles in past cycles aligned with breakdown risk and weak structure. Green clusters consistently preceded explosive rebound🚀 If history rhymes, this is not distribution. This is positioning. Capitulation creates opportunity. #CryptoZeno #WhenWillBTCRebound
#Gold at Extreme Liquidity Premium While #Bitcoin Trades at Deep Liquidity Discount - A Rare Relative Value Setup
Gold’s global liquidity oscillator is pushing toward +2σ, signaling historical overextension versus macro liquidity conditions.
Bitcoin’s liquidity oscillator is pressing into -2σ territory, reflecting extreme undervaluation relative to the same backdrop.
The BTC/Gold relative liquidity Z-score is now at cycle lows on one side gold is pricing tight liquidity as strength, on the other side $BTC is pricing it as stress. Mean reversion between these two has historically been violent. #CryptoZeno #GoldSilverRally
🔥 $BTC Blood in the Streets or the Last Shakeout Before Liftoff
Every bull cycle tells the same story. Violent pullbacks, panic selling, then explosive continuation.
Data shows repeated mid cycle drawdowns of 20 to 40%, with occasional 50% flushes that wipe out leverage and force weak hands to exit. These are not breakdowns. They are fuel resets.
Structurally, #BTC still prints higher highs and higher lows. Corrections compress volatility, rebuild liquidity, and set the stage for the next expansion leg.
Historically, the deepest fear zones marked the best entries, not the top. If this cycle follows the script, this is consolidation before acceleration, not the end. #CryptoZeno #WhenWillBTCRebound
Only a small portion of $XPL supply is currently unlocked while the majority remains locked, structurally limiting immediate sell pressure as price continues to base near its lower range.
This controlled release dynamic keeps volatility compressed, with short-term behavior leaning more toward accumulation than expansion.
As network activity builds, @Plasma positions $XPL within a settlement-focused execution layer designed for stablecoin throughput across the #Plasma ecosystem.
🔥 Web3 gaming is moving from experiments to real distribution, where infrastructure must support speed, scale and mainstream users rather than niche wallets
@Vanarchain builds its L1 specifically for this shift, powering products like Virtua Metaverse and the VGN games network with real traffic and brand integration
$VANRY fuels transactions and access across the ecosystem as #Vanar expands beyond pure speculation into usable platforms
#Silver Macro - Has the blow-off top already happened?
The current move shows clear vertical acceleration, similar to late-cycle phases seen in previous Silver peaks.
However, a true blow-off top is only confirmed after a sharp rejection and rapid unwind, not during the expansion itself.
Until Silver decisively loses its parabolic structure and fails back into prior range, this should be treated as late-cycle behavior rather than a confirmed top. #CryptoZeno #GoldSilverRally
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