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Bitcoin’s value is down big, hinting at deeper market stress, not just a normal pullback.

Many crypto users keep borrowing and repaying, showing growing trust and routine use.

Despite price swings, crypto adoption is maturing, becoming more than just speculation.

Bitcoin is entering a critical phase as recent data signals structural stress in the market. The cryptocurrency has lost nearly 50% of its value since reaching an all-time high on October 6, 2025. This decline reflects growing economic pressure and weakness in tech stocks and riskier assets. 

Data from Nexo reveals that despite the volatility, the use of crypto as a financial instrument is increasing. During the period between January 2025 and January 2026, the amount of credit borrowed stood at close to $1 billion, at $863 million. Moreover, more than 30% of the borrowers returned for repeat business. This indicates that the services offered by crypto are becoming a habit rather than a one-time experience.

Bitcoin Adjusted SOPR Signals Bearish Pressure

The Bitcoin Adjusted SOPR (aSOPR) is currently in the range of 0.92-0.94, which is a significant bear market stress level in the past. According to Woominkyu, "aSOPR < 1 → Coins are being spent at a loss." Values such as these in 2019 and 2023 were seen during strong correction cycles when coins were sold at a loss. Therefore, this data indicates that there is a strong capitulation trend and a possible structural reset in the market.

Unlike correction cycles, when aSOPR values quickly move above 1.0 in mid-cycle corrections, the current values indicate strong weakness. Therefore, if aSOPR values do not move back above 1.0 soon, market participants may be seeing not only a correction but also a possible entry into a bear market. Furthermore, historical lows are created when loss realization peaks and selling pressure is exhausted, which indicates that the actual low may be yet to come.

Stability Amid Volatility

However, despite the cut in the price, the pattern of borrowing and repaying is still strong. This is seen from the data offered by Nexo, which indicates that the users are still engaging with the lending platform repeatedly, which is an indication of the increasing significance of crypto as a stable financial option. Furthermore, the fact that the users are returning to the platform indicates that they trust the platform.

Apart from the market downturn, the fact that the trend of borrowing and repaying remains consistent shows that the infrastructure and services are being adopted. This could be seen as a sign of the maturity of the crypto market, which is no longer focused on market speculation.

The post Bitcoin Faces Structural Stress Amid Market Pullback appears on Crypto Front News. Visit our website to read more interesting articles about cryptocurrency, blockchain technology, and digital assets.

Key Insights:

HBAR price forms an inverse head and shoulders pattern, signaling a trend reversal and potential bullish breakout above $0.09 resistance.

Holding above the point of control with healthy volume supports HBAR's breakout scenario, with upside targets near $0.12.

A decisive breakout above $0.09 with expanding volume could confirm HBAR's bullish momentum, shifting the market structure.

Hedera’s (HBAR) price is currently experiencing consolidation just below a critical resistance level, forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern, signaling potential for a bullish breakout. The pattern is showing signs of a trend reversal after an extended corrective phase. As HBAR continues to hold above crucial value levels, a breakout above the $0.09 neckline could set the stage for upward momentum.

The ongoing price action for HBAR is shaping up to be a classic inverse head and shoulders pattern, often associated with a trend reversal. After several months of downside pressure, HBAR has shown resilience by forming higher lows, signaling a weakening of selling pressure and increasing buyer interest. The neckline of the pattern lies near the $0.09 resistance zone, which is pivotal for confirming the bullish scenario.

Key Resistance at $0.09: A Critical Breakout Point

The $0.09 level has emerged as the key resistance for HBAR, with the price nearing a crucial inflection point. A decisive breakout above this zone could not only confirm the formation of the inverse head and shoulders pattern but also indicate a shift in market control. This resistance aligns with a significant high-timeframe resistance level, increasing the importance of this price point.

Source: TradingView

An important factor contributing to the strength of the current setup is volume behavior during the consolidation phase. HBAR has been trading above its point of control, where the highest concentration of volume is located. This supports the idea that the market is accepting higher price levels, indicating potential for further upside. Moreover, the volume has remained healthy, suggesting sustained market participation and reducing the risk of a false breakout.

Upside Targets and Potential Breakout Conditions

For the bullish scenario to fully materialize, HBAR must convincingly break above the $0.09 neckline resistance with a significant increase in volume. If this happens, the next resistance levels to watch will be the value area high, followed by the broader high-timeframe resistance around $0.12. These levels are likely to be key areas where price action may pause or consolidate post-breakout.

In the coming days, market participants should focus on whether HBAR can maintain its position above the point of control and break through the $0.09 resistance. A successful breakout would suggest that buyers are gaining control, while failure to break and hold above the neckline could result in further consolidation or a return to lower price levels.

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Aave may invest $50M to expand beyond crypto lending into consumer fintech products.

Move could position Aave against Revolut with simpler, regulated financial services.

Expansion may require compliance, licensing, and hybrid DeFi–fiat integrations.

Decentralized finance protocol Aave is considering a $50 million expansion into fintech services. The discussion surfaced this week through reports shared on social media. The move would place Aave in direct competition with consumer fintech apps like Revolut, as DeFi projects explore broader market access.

Aave’s Shift Beyond Crypto-Native Lending

Aave has built its reputation as a decentralized lending platform on blockchain infrastructure. Users lend and borrow digital assets without traditional banks. However, as digital finance evolves, DeFi platforms are increasingly exploring consumer-focused services.

Notably, the reported $50 million allocation suggests a shift toward fintech-style products. The goal appears to involve reaching users familiar with mobile banking tools. This marks a departure from crypto-only interfaces that require wallet management and private key control.

Competing With Established Fintech Platforms

Traditional fintech apps like Revolut have gained traction through simple interfaces. They offer payments, currency exchange, and banking features within regulated frameworks. In contrast, DeFi platforms often involve higher complexity for everyday users.

If Aave proceeds, the expansion could focus on user experience, compliance readiness, and consumer protections. These areas matter when competing with centralized fintech firms. Such features may include fiat on-ramps, custodial options, and simplified transaction flows.

However, entering fintech markets introduces regulatory considerations. Consumer-facing financial services often require licensing and adherence to anti-money laundering standards. As a result, Aave may need partnerships or compliant structures to operate in regulated regions.

Why the $50 Million Allocation Matters

In DeFi terms, a $50 million commitment represents a significant investment. Funds could support product development, audits, licensing processes, and interface redesigns. They may also fund integrations with payment processors to ease fiat and crypto transfers.

Observers note that blending decentralized infrastructure with fintech design reflects a broader industry trend. Traditional fintech firms already offer crypto trading features. Aave’s reported plan would reverse that direction by embedding DeFi into familiar financial formats.

Market reaction has remained muted so far. However, debate continues within developer and investor circles. Some view the move as natural growth. Others raise concerns about preserving decentralization as consumer services expand.

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$PIPPIN swept liquidity above $0.56–$0.57 resistance, signaling potential deviation on a 4H red close.

Creator activity hit 1,787 in one day, 362% above average, reflecting rapid narrative expansion.

Market cap above $600M aligns with volume growth and widening participation across exchanges.

$PIPPIN is trading near $0.5855 after a strong rally from February lows around $0.18. The asset has swept liquidity above a key resistance zone while social metrics register record creator participation.

Liquidity Sweep Tests Key Supply Zone

$PIPPIN recently pushed above the well-defined $0.56–$0.57 resistance area on the 4H chart. This zone previously acted as a supply, rejecting price advances during earlier sessions.

The breakout wick above equal highs signals a classic liquidity sweep. Late breakout buyers and short-term longs were likely positioned during this expansion phase.

Market observers on X noted that confirmation now depends on a 4H red candle close below the zone. A close back under resistance would signal a deviation and potential trap.

https://twitter.com/TheMoonHailey/status/2022522476043886666?s=20

If that scenario unfolds, short positioning becomes technically structured. Invalidation rests above the recent high between $0.65 and $0.67.

Downside targets include prior consolidation between $0.40 and $0.45. Deeper liquidity remains visible near $0.33–$0.35, aligning with earlier accumulation levels.

However, without a red close below $0.56, the bullish structure remains intact. Sustained acceptance above resistance could open continuation toward $0.70.

Creator Surge Aligns With Market Cap Expansion

$PIPPIN is also experiencing rapid social acceleration alongside price strength. Data shows 1,787 creators posted about the token in one day.

That figure stands 362% above the daily average. Total tracked creators have now reached 14,372, marking an all-time high.

https://twitter.com/LunarCrush/status/2022533520313426034?s=20

The surge represents a vertical expansion rather than gradual growth. Historically, sharp increases in unique creators mark transitions from niche exposure to broader awareness.

Several crypto-focused accounts shared charts showing the spike in participation. The posts emphasized the alignment between creator growth and price momentum.

At the same time, $PIPPIN’s implied market capitalization has moved above $600 million. Elevated trading volume confirms that social activity coincides with capital inflows.

Expansion Phase or Short-Term Exhaustion

The one-year view of creator data provides additional context. Activity remained relatively flat for months before the recent breakout.

The current parabolic rise mirrors the price expansion from the February lows. Such synchronized movement often appears during momentum ignition phases.

Visibility increases liquidity, while liquidity attracts further visibility. This reflexive cycle can sustain upward trends if engagement persists.

However, parabolic social growth can also precede short-term cooling. If creator numbers peak while price stalls, momentum may slow.

Traders continue to monitor whether creator participation maintains current levels. Sustained growth would support the ongoing expansion thesis.

For now, $PIPPIN trades near $0.5855 with strong volume backing the move. Confirmation on the 4H structure remains the decisive factor for near-term direction.

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Metaplanet holds 35,102 BTC, becoming Japan’s largest Bitcoin holder and fourth globally among public companies.

FY2025 revenue jumped 738%, operating profit surged 1,695%, thanks to aggressive Bitcoin accumulation.

The firm raised ¥500B via MERCURY shares and plans to hold 1% of global Bitcoin by 2027.

Metaplanet Inc. (3350.T) stunned markets with its FY2025 results, reporting massive growth in revenue and profits. The Tokyo-based firm saw revenue climb to ¥8.91 billion, a 738% increase from last year. Operating profit jumped even more dramatically to ¥6.29 billion, reflecting a 1,695% year-on-year surge. 

This achievement was credited by CEO Simon Gerovich to the aggressive accumulation of Bitcoins by Metaplanet. By the end of the year, the company had accumulated 35,102 Bitcoins, making it the largest Bitcoin holder in Japan and the fourth-largest globally among publicly listed companies. The approach of Metaplanet to Bitcoin, together with its diversified financial model, is responsible for its fast growth.

In addition, the Bitcoins accumulated by Metaplanet currently make up about 0.16% of the total Bitcoins in the world. The company’s ambitious goal is to accumulate 1% of the total Bitcoins in the world by 2027.

“Our aggressive stance on Bitcoin has contributed to substantial revenue and profit growth,” he noted. This expansion reflects not only Metaplanet’s confidence in Bitcoin but also its commitment to integrating the cryptocurrency into a robust, yield-driven business model.

Aggressive Bitcoin Accumulation Drives Growth

Metaplanet’s Bitcoin treasury expanded from 1,762 BTC to more than 35,000 BTC in a short period. Apart from accumulating, the firm issued MERCURY-class preferred stocks, raising over ¥500 billion for acquisitions. Furthermore, private placements of Class B Preferred Shares raised ¥21.249 billion, with a 4.9% annual return.

Metaplanet gained significant liquidity to expand its Bitcoin assets. The above financial transactions enabled the company to improve revenue sources and boost operational margins to an impressive 70.6% in FY2025.

Diversified Strategy Enhances Stability

In addition to its Bitcoin plan, Metaplanet has developed a diverse financial model. The company’s yield business helps to offset its cryptocurrency investments, leading to a significant increase in profits. The operating profit jumped to ¥6.287 billion, symbolizing the integration of treasury and business operations. 

In addition, the company projects FY2026 revenue of ¥16 billion, an 80% increase, and operating profit of ¥11.4 billion, an 81% increase. Therefore, investors consider Metaplanet a Bitcoin-centric company and a strong, diversified financial company.

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Global remittances rose to $905B in 2024, with India leading at $129B in inflows.

Average $200 transfer costs 6.65%, totaling nearly $60B in fees worldwide.

Blockchain tools like Binance Pay and stablecoins aim to cut fees and speed transfers.

Global remittances reached $905 billion in 2024, yet senders continue to face high fees and delays. According to the World Bank Group, migrant workers worldwide transferred funds through complex payment systems. Binance has pointed to intermediaries, processing times, and infrastructure limits shaping remittance costs.

Global Remittance Growth and Key Recipient Markets

Remittances involve cross-border money transfers, usually from migrant workers to families abroad. According to the World Bank Group, global flows increased from $644 billion in 2017. By 2024, volumes reached $905 billion, reflecting steady growth over seven years.

Notably, India led recipient countries with $129 billion in inflows. Mexico followed with $68 billion, while China received $48 billion. The Philippines and Pakistan recorded $40 billion and $33 billion, respectively. These figures show how remittances support household income across regions.

However, some economies rely heavily on these flows. Tajikistan recorded remittances exceeding 45% of GDP. Tonga followed with 38%, while Nicaragua and Lebanon each stood at 27%. This dependence makes transfer efficiency critical.

Intermediaries Drive Fees and Delays

The World Bank estimates that sending $200 costs about 6.65% globally. Applied to 2024 volumes, fees totaled nearly $60 billion. These costs stem from layered intermediaries, including banks, agents, and settlement networks.

However, fees represent only part of the burden. Transfers often take several days or longer. Each intermediary adds verification steps and processing time. As a result, recipients may face delays accessing essential funds.

These inefficiencies have drawn attention to alternative rails. Blockchain-based systems now enter the discussion as one such option.

Binance and Blockchain-Based Remittance Tools

Blockchain networks reduce reliance on intermediaries by settling transactions directly. As a result, operational costs can drop. Binance operates Binance Pay, which supports global crypto transfers without fees.

Additionally, digital wallets such as MetaMask and Trust Wallet allow cross-border asset transfers. Infrastructure projects like Ripple and Stellar connect blockchain systems with traditional finance.

Stablecoins, including USDT and USDC, reduce volatility during transfers. However, crypto-fiat conversion limits, regulation gaps, and internet access remain practical constraints.

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Russia’s crypto market hits $648M/day, showing huge adoption but little oversight.

New rules will let Russians trade legally via exchanges and brokers, easing gray-market activity.

Bringing crypto into regulation could reclaim $15B in fees and boost local exchange profits.

Cryptocurrency usage in Russia continues to surge, reaching approximately $648 million per day, according to Deputy Finance Minister Ivan Chebeskov. Speaking at the Alfa Talk conference, Chebeskov said, "We've always said that millions of citizens are involved in this activity, representing trillions of rubles in terms of use and savings." The growing market currently operates outside the regulated zone, highlighting both opportunity and risk for Russian authorities.

Chebeskov estimated the daily cryptocurrency turnover at 50 billion rubles, which equates to more than 10 trillion rubles annually. "This turnover is currently occurring outside our control," he emphasized. Besides demonstrating widespread adoption, these figures illustrate a significant gap between existing regulations and actual market activity.

Russia Moves Toward Regulation

At the end of 2025, the Bank of Russia unveiled a concept for regulating cryptocurrency transactions. This framework allows trades through existing infrastructure such as exchanges and brokers, eliminating the need for separate licenses. Additionally, both qualified and non-qualified investors will gain access, albeit with restrictions for the latter.

Vladimir Chistyukhin, First Deputy Chairman of the Central Bank, highlighted plans to implement these regulations during the State Duma's spring session. "The government and I would very much like to see the law passed during the spring session," he said. Chistyukhin expects a transition period for market participants to secure licenses and develop internal documents to start operations legally.

Economic Implications of Crypto Adoption

Russians currently pay around $15 billion in fees to global crypto exchanges, according to Sergei Shvetsov, Chairman of the Moscow Exchange Supervisory Board. "As soon as this becomes possible, we will begin competing with the gray market," Shvetsov noted. He estimated that the annual commission on crypto asset trading is $50 billion, with roughly a third representing Russian transactions.

Consequently, moving these activities into the regulated national infrastructure could significantly boost domestic exchange profits. Shvetsov said, "If you compare our profit, which is approximately $1 billion annually, and this $15 billion that we have the chance to partially return to the legal zone, this represents a significant increase in the profitability of infrastructure organizations." Additionally, the Moscow Exchange and other Russian exchanges are ready to enter the market once the regulatory framework is published.

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Wood says Trump could remove capital gains tax on small Bitcoin payments this year.

She links crypto policy moves to 2026 midterms and voter support dynamics.

U.S. Bitcoin reserve may expand beyond seized assets toward new purchases.

ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood said President Donald Trump may remove capital gains taxes on Bitcoin payments this year. She shared the view during a recent episode of the Bitcoin Brainstorm podcast. Wood linked the potential move to U.S. midterm elections, crypto voter support, and Trump’s efforts to avoid lame-duck status.

Midterms and Crypto Policy Pressure

Cathie Wood said crypto remains politically important for Donald Trump as midterm elections approach. She explained that 2026 elections could weaken presidential influence. As a result, she said Trump may accelerate crypto-related policy actions.

Notably, Wood said Trump plans to work with his crypto and AI czar. One focus, she said, involves advancing a de minimis tax ruling. That rule would remove capital gains taxes on small Bitcoin transactions. Wood said grassroots crypto usage depends heavily on such tax clarity.

She also noted hesitation so far around direct Bitcoin purchases for the U.S. strategic reserve. However, she said that stance may soon change.

U.S. Bitcoin Reserve and Buying Expectations

Wood said the U.S. Bitcoin reserve was created early in Trump’s second term by executive action. So far, she said, the reserve consists of confiscated Bitcoin assets. Trump previously pledged not to sell those holdings.

According to Wood, the original plan targeted ownership of one million bitcoins. She said this goal suggests future purchases may occur. She added that buying Bitcoin could support Trump politically ahead of midterms.

Wood also said crypto voters played a role in Trump’s election victory. Additionally, she pointed to Trump’s family exposure to Bitcoin and other crypto assets. She said those factors reinforce continued engagement with the sector.

Productivity Goals and Crypto Strategy

Wood said Trump aims to remain productive rather than symbolic during his remaining term. She described crypto as part of that strategy. According to her, Trump sees digital assets as aligned with future economic growth.

She also referenced earlier discussions about decentralized assets tied to Trump’s family. Wood said some of those initiatives struggled recently. However, she framed broader crypto policy as separate from those outcomes.

According to Wood, the combination of elections, policy timing, and industry support increases the likelihood of action. She said removing capital gains taxes on Bitcoin payments could happen this year.

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OpenClaw went viral, but real value lies in making AI agents reliable and safe at scale.

OpenAI bets on Steinberger to merge creativity with engineering for trustworthy autonomous agents.

OpenClaw’s popularity in China shows strong global demand for AI that can act without constant human input.

OpenAI made waves Sunday by announcing that Peter Steinberger, the Austrian developer behind the viral AI agent OpenClaw, is joining the company. Sam Altman confirmed on X that Steinberger will “drive the next generation of personal agents,” calling him “a genius with a lot of amazing ideas about the future of very smart agents interacting with each other to do very useful things for people.” 

OpenClaw, previously known as Clawdbot and Moltbot, will continue as an open-source project supported by OpenAI, allowing the community to contribute to its development while integrating new capabilities.

The acquisition comes amid rising competition in the generative AI space. OpenAI, valued at $500 billion, faces rivals such as Google and Anthropic, whose Claude AI recently introduced Claude Opus 4.6. Additionally, OpenAI has invested heavily in talent and technology, exemplified by its $6 billion acquisition of Jony Ive’s AI startup io. 

OpenClaw’s rapid adoption, especially in China, highlights the demand for autonomous agents capable of completing tasks without constant human input. Chinese platforms like Baidu plan to integrate OpenClaw directly into their apps, further boosting its reach.

OpenClaw’s Rise and Risks

OpenClaw’s popularity surged due to social media buzz and its ability to act autonomously. Users can pair it with Chinese-developed models, like DeepSeek, and configure it to work with messaging apps. However, security researchers raised concerns over its openness. Users can tweak it extensively, which could pose cybersecurity risks. 

God of Prompt noted on X: “OpenClaw went viral. It also got flagged by Gartner as a cybersecurity risk, went rogue on users’ iMessage accounts, and had its own maintainer warn people not to use it if they can’t run a command line.”

The Real AI Agent Challenge

Experts argue that OpenClaw demonstrates viral potential but not reliability at scale. Error recovery, state management, and permission boundaries remain significant hurdles. Consequently, the real competitive edge lies in building robust, trustworthy systems rather than flashy demos. 

God of Prompt explained: “The real AI agent war isn’t who builds the flashiest demo. It’s who solves reliability first.” Hence, OpenAI’s acquisition appears more visionary, aiming to combine Steinberger’s innovation with engineering expertise to make agents dependable for enterprises.

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On Bitcoin and Ethereum, visible transactions deter firms from using crypto for salaries.

Open ledgers risk exposing trade secrets, supplier links, and payment patterns to competitors.

AI analysis of blockchain data boosts demand for privacy tools like zero-knowledge proofs.

Public blockchain transparency is limiting crypto payment adoption, according to Binance founder Changpeng Zhao. Zhao said businesses worldwide hesitate to use crypto for salaries and expenses. He explained that onchain visibility exposes sensitive financial data, creating risks for companies and individuals using cryptocurrencies for routine payments.

Onchain Transparency Raises Business Concerns

Changpeng Zhao, also known as CZ, said public ledgers make payment data widely accessible. On networks like Bitcoin and Ethereum, transactions remain visible to anyone. Although wallet addresses lack names, patterns can still link activity to individuals or firms.

Notably, Zhao gave a payroll example. If a company pays employees onchain, outsiders can view amounts paid to each worker. Traditional banking systems treat salary data as private. However, public blockchains make that information observable. Zhao said this reality discourages firms from adopting crypto for internal payments.

He also raised safety concerns. In earlier comments with investor Chamath Palihapitiya on the All-In Podcast, Zhao warned visibility could expose users to theft or scams. High-profile individuals face higher risks when balances and income become public.

Trade Secrets and Competitive Risks

Industry professionals echoed these concerns. Avidan Abitbol, formerly a business development specialist at the Kaspa project, said companies fear exposing operational data. Transaction histories can reveal supplier relationships, revenue patterns, and strategic partnerships.

However, the risks extend beyond competitors. Abitbol said visible payment flows could enable targeted fraud or phishing attempts. Attackers can monitor large transfers and exploit predictable payment behavior. This exposure, he said, limits institutional participation in Web3 systems.

These business risks align with broader privacy debates within crypto. Early adopters drew inspiration from cypherpunk ideals. Those principles emphasized encryption and protection from surveillance as core design goals.

AI Growth Adds Urgency to Privacy Debate

Privacy concerns have intensified alongside artificial intelligence advances. Eran Barak, former CEO of Shielded Technologies, previously said AI can analyze public data at scale. He explained that AI tools can combine blockchain records with other sources.

As a result, AI systems could build detailed financial profiles without private access. Barak said publicly available blockchain data makes this easier. As a result, privacy-preserving tools like zero-knowledge proofs are gaining attention. These tools aim to hide transaction details while still validating payments onchain.

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Capital B added six more Bitcoin using new shares, pushing total holdings to 2,834 BTC worth over €260 million.

The firm’s BTC strategy delivered a 0.2% yield so far this year, showing steady growth despite market volatility.

Shares issued at a premium funded the purchase, highlighting a disciplined treasury plan and strong governance.

Capital ₿ is accelerating its Bitcoin accumulation strategy as it confirms the acquisition of six additional BTC for €0.3 million at €55,270 per coin. This move brings its total holdings to 2,834 BTC, valued at €263.8 million, according to the company’s latest update. 

Alexandre Laizet, Board Director of Bitcoin Strategy at Capital ₿, highlighted that the firm achieved a BTC Yield of 0.2% year-to-date (YTD). The company executed the purchase under an “ATM” capital increase contract with TOBAM, emphasizing its continued focus on expanding digital asset reserves.

The capital increase, completed at €0.67 per share, raised €0.4 million and enabled the acquisition of six BTC. The company issued 601,000 new ordinary shares, priced according to the highest of three metrics outlined in its ATM agreement. These included the prior day’s closing price, a multiple of the “mNAV,” and a floor price determined by a prior extraordinary general meeting. 

Consequently, the average rounded subscription price represented an 11.1% premium over the previous day’s closing. Capital ₿ confirmed that the new shares are listed on Euronext Growth in Paris, under the offer compartment, without the need for an AMF-approved prospectus.

Strategic BTC Yield Growth

Since the start of 2026, Capital ₿ has steadily increased its BTC reserve while generating measurable returns. The company reports a BTC Gain of 5.3 coins and a BTC € Gain of €0.3 million as of February 16. 

Besides, quarter-to-date performance mirrors YTD growth at 0.2%. Laizet emphasized that “Capital B confirms the acquisition of 6 BTC for €0.3 million, the holding of a total of 2,834 BTC, and a BTC Yield of 0.2% YTD.” The firm also holds an additional 60 BTC for operational purposes, segregated from its treasury reserves.

The transaction was carried out by the CEO based on the delegation of authority granted by the Board on February 9, 2026, which indicates good governance practices. In addition, the transaction is consistent with the 12th resolution approved at the General Meeting of Shareholders in June 2025. The strategic process indicates careful planning in the timing of acquisitions and the effective use of capital increases.

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Negative U.S. liquidity growth suggests Bitcoin has not reached a confirmed market bottom.

Mayer Multiple at 0.67 and $41K holder price hint BTC may revisit lower levels.

Analyst sees $45K–$50K as key demand zone, with possible bottom by Sept.

Crypto analyst Crypto Rover said the crypto market has not reached its final bottom yet. He shared the assessment this week on social media, focusing on Bitcoin price behavior and liquidity conditions. The comments addressed global markets, current liquidity trends, and why recent price levels may reflect only a temporary low.

Liquidity Conditions Still Point Lower

According to Crypto Rover, U.S. liquidity remains the main driver behind major crypto market bottoms. He noted that year-over-year liquidity growth in the United States is still negative. This means capital continues leaving the system rather than entering it.

Notably, Crypto Rover said crypto assets tend to sell off before other markets during liquidity contractions. He added that equities usually follow the same pattern. He linked the current environment to rising corporate bankruptcies and increasing consumer debt defaults. 

However, he stressed that liquidity provided by the Federal Reserve remains insufficient to support a sustained market reversal. This liquidity backdrop, he said, reduces the likelihood of a full market bottom forming soon. That leads directly to on-chain indicators, which he also reviewed.

On-Chain Metrics Suggest More Downside

Crypto Rover pointed to the Mayer Multiple as a key valuation metric. Historically, Bitcoin cycle bottoms occurred when the metric dropped below 0.6. Currently, it stands near 0.67, according to his data.

He also referenced the long-term holder realized price. This metric reflects the average acquisition price of long-term Bitcoin holders. In past cycles, Bitcoin prices bottomed near this level. Crypto Rover said it currently sits around $41,000.

Meanwhile, he highlighted mining electrical costs as another floor indicator. Present estimates place production costs near $57,500. During bear markets, he noted, these costs often fall 15% to 20%, implying a range near $45,000.

Demand Zones and Timing Signals

From a technical perspective, Crypto Rover identified $45,000 to $50,000 as a major demand zone. He said ETF approvals occurred in this range. He also noted that the August 2024 crash bottom formed there.

Additionally, he pointed to strong institutional and whale accumulation within that zone. He added that this cycle differs structurally, as Bitcoin reached a new high before the halving.

According to Crypto Rover, these factors suggest the bottom could form earlier than expected. He estimated a possible window between August and September, based on current market structure and liquidity trends.

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Strategy claims asset reserves can match $6B net debt even if Bitcoin drops 88% to $8,000.

Plans to convert convertible notes into equity over 3–6 years instead of adding senior debt.

Firm keeps buying BTC despite $5B unrealized losses and recent MSTR volatility.

Strategy disclosed in recent official posts that it could fully cover debt even if Bitcoin drops to $8,000. The update came from the company and founder Michael Saylor during ongoing market volatility. The firm explained how asset reserves, debt structure, and future equity plans support that position.

Debt Coverage Claims and Balance Sheet Snapshot

Strategy stated that it currently holds about $6 billion in net debt. However, it added that its asset reserves could still match that level. Notably, the company illustrated this scenario using an assumed Bitcoin price decline of about 88%. Even under that condition, Strategy said its reserve value would remain near its net debt level.

According to the company, this structure gives flexibility during sharp market downturns. The firm emphasized that its convertible notes remain serviceable. As a result, the company said it has time to manage obligations without issuing new senior debt. This point sets up how Strategy plans to adjust its capital structure next.

Plan to Convert Convertible Debt Into Equity

Michael Saylor said Strategy plans to convert its convertible debt into equity over three to six years. He described this approach as a way to reduce balance sheet debt. Instead of refinancing, the firm would issue stock tied to existing convertibles. Therefore, the company avoids taking on additional senior liabilities.

Strategy added that this timeline allows gradual execution. Meanwhile, CEO Phong Le recently said an 80% Bitcoin price decline would take years to affect operations. That timeframe, he explained, would allow restructuring if needed. This comment connects directly to the firm’s continued Bitcoin position.

Continued Bitcoin Purchases and Market Reaction

Despite market pressure, Strategy said it does not plan to sell its Bitcoin holdings. Saylor also said the firm intends to keep buying Bitcoin each quarter. Recently, the company purchased 1,142 BTC for about $90 million. The move followed a period of falling prices.

However, the firm currently holds over $5 billion in unrealized losses. Strategy’s MSTR stock has also declined. Still, the stock rose 10% on Friday after earnings. Separately, Saylor urged U.S. policymakers to consider Bitcoin reserves, citing parallels with gold.

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Litecoin's bullish daily candle hints at a recovery above the $56 support.

$57 pivot level is crucial for short-term trend continuation.

Relative strength against Bitcoin will guide Litecoin’s next moves.

 Litecoin Price Analysis shows a cautiously bullish shift as recent daily candles suggest buyers are defending the mid-$50s region. Key resistance levels will dictate whether a relief rally can unfold.

Daily Chart Signals a Shift in Momentum

Litecoin has recorded a bullish daily candle, signaling a potential change in market behavior after extended lower highs. The price has reacted positively near $56, showing buying interest in this range.

This recent bullish candle is influenced by Bitcoin’s strength, yet Litecoin’s recovery attempts indicate emerging independent momentum. Price compression near support suggests market participants are preparing for potential expansion.

The descending lower-high trendline remains a critical technical barrier. A confirmed daily close above this structure could indicate a shift from downtrend to early-stage recovery, opening the path toward $68 resistance.

https://twitter.com/cryptoWZRD_/status/2022502488037802002?s=20

Key Resistance and Pivot Levels

The $57 level has become a focal point for short-term price action. A decisive hold above this pivot could flip it into support, confirming acceptance above prior supply zones.

If Litecoin maintains momentum above $57, the next target is $64, followed by the broader descending trendline in the upper-$60s. Traders monitor these levels for clear breakout confirmation.

Intraday pullbacks that hold above $57 and form higher lows provide tactical long setups. Momentum expansion here may attract traders who were previously sidelined.

Relative Strength Against Bitcoin

The LTC/BTC pair remains indecisive, and sustained upside depends on relative strength against Bitcoin. A bullish shift in LTCBTC would indicate capital rotation into Litecoin.

Historical patterns show Litecoin often accelerates when gaining strength versus Bitcoin. Higher highs on the daily LTCBTC chart could fuel continuation toward resistance clusters.

Bitcoin’s market behavior will likely dictate the strength of any relief rally. If Bitcoin stabilizes or moves upward, Litecoin may experience sharper gains due to its compressed structure.

Litecoin Price Analysis reflects a market at a potential inflection point. Daily bullish candles and a reclaim of the $56–$57 zone are crucial. Momentum above these levels could open a broader relief rally phase toward $64 and higher resistance zones.

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Apple Inc. (AAPL) shows recurring expansion and consolidation cycles across the 2025–2026 daily chart structure.

Price action identifies $220–$240 as the critical support zone within the broader uptrend framework.

Ecosystem strength and capital returns continue anchoring Apple Inc. (AAPL) long-term investment profile.

Apple Inc. (AAPL) trades within a defined technical cycle marked by consolidation and expansion phases. The daily chart reflects a structured uptrend, with current price action near $261.73 suggesting controlled pullback pressure rather than structural weakness.

Technical Structure Points to Cyclical Reset

Apple Inc. (AAPL) began 2025 transitioning from a basing formation into a decisive rally. Higher highs and higher lows confirmed sustained trend alignment.

 Momentum expanded steadily before reaching a grey-shaded consolidation band. That first consolidation phase reflected volatility compression and range-bound rotation. 

Buyers and sellers reached a temporary equilibrium within a defined price corridor. Such zones frequently precede directional expansion when liquidity builds beneath resistance.

The subsequent breakdown drove the price sharply toward the $180 region. This corrective leg formed the first green demand zone. 

https://twitter.com/alicharts/status/2022322871876354079?s=20

Liquidity was swept, and stop-loss cascades accelerated volatility before buyers regained control.

Market participants on X described the $180 reaction as institutional absorption rather than structural deterioration. The rebound that followed reinforced that interpretation.

Recovery Leg Reclaims Structure

From late summer into early 2026, Apple Inc. (AAPL) staged a powerful recovery. The advance reclaimed prior range highs and transitioned into a renewed markup phase. 

Momentum strengthened as the price accelerated toward the $270–$285 region. This second grey box resembled the earlier consolidation structure but formed at elevated price levels. 

https://twitter.com/donaldjdean/status/2022496465470493131?s=20

Price action showed choppiness, failed breakouts, and wider intraday swings. These characteristics suggested supply absorption within a distribution-style range.

Traders referenced the similarity between the two grey zones in social media commentary. That projection aligns with the second green demand area on the chart.

The current market price near $261.73 places Apple Inc. (AAPL) slightly below recent highs. Short-term pullback pressure appears controlled within the broader stair-step uptrend.

 As long as higher lows remain intact, structural continuity persists.

Fundamentals Reinforce Long-Term Stability

Apple Inc. (AAPL) maintains structural importance across global equity markets. The company functions as both a mega-cap technology leader and a macro sentiment barometer. 

Institutional positioning remains deep and consistent. The company’s ecosystem anchors its revenue durability. 

iPhone sales remain central, while services generate recurring high-margin cash flow. App Store, iCloud, Apple Music, and Apple Pay expand margin stability across cycles.

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TAO price analysis shows the recent bounce counts as a three-wave corrective move, not a confirmed reversal.

The $144 swing low remains the critical invalidation level for short-term bullish structure.

A sustained weekly break above $300 is required to confirm a broader trend shift.

TAO price analysis indicates that recent upside momentum has yet to confirm a structural reversal. While the price rebounded sharply from $144, the broader trend remains corrective until key resistance levels are reclaimed.

Corrective Bounce Within Broader Downtrend

TAO price analysis on the 4-hour chart reflects a disciplined Elliott Wave interpretation. According to shared commentary from More Crypto Online, structure outweighs candle size in determining trend direction.

The recent strong green candle followed a rebound from the $144 swing low. However, the advance currently counts best as a three-wave move. 

https://twitter.com/Morecryptoonl/status/2022517081409765757?s=20

In Elliott Wave terms, such moves are counter-trend by default. A genuine reversal requires a five-wave impulse with expanding momentum. 

So far, price action lacks a clear subdivision into five waves. Corrective rallies can produce sharp advances without altering the larger bearish sequence.

Therefore, TAO price analysis maintains that the current rally remains suspect. Until a clean impulse forms, the broader downtrend technically remains intact.

$144 Support Defines Bullish Risk

TAO price analysis identifies $144 as the structural line in the sand. This level marks the most recent confirmed swing low on both lower and higher timeframes.

The $144 zone also aligns with the potential completion of wave (2). Additionally, it serves as a psychological pivot after the aggressive bounce.  

As long as this level holds, bulls retain short-term breathing room.

If price breaks below $144 impulsively, the current rally may be reclassified. In that case, the move would likely represent a wave (iv) within a larger bearish structure. 

That scenario would reopen downside risk toward deeper demand levels.

Analysts on social media reiterated that reclaiming lost structure requires sustained higher lows. Failure to hold above $170 increases the probability of another test of the $144 support.

$300 Barrier Remains Decisive Test

TAO price analysis identifies $300 as the decisive structural barrier. This level corresponds with the prior distribution and a major low on the weekly timeframe.

https://twitter.com/Crypto_ED7/status/2022627645318664339?s=20

A sustained break above $300 with five-wave characteristics would invalidate the prevailing bearish count. Without that development, rallies remain corrective within a larger downtrend.

Moving averages reinforce this cautious structure. The weekly MA(7) sits at $226.80, while the MA(30) stands at $314.98. 

Price remains below both averages, with the faster average below the slower one. The MA(30) near $315 now acts as dynamic macro resistance. 

A weekly close above $226 would mark an early technical shift. However, reclaiming the 30-week average is required for structural confirmation.

Momentum indicators show early stabilization but not strength. TAO price analysis, therefore, frames the current move as a relief rally. 

Price action in the coming sessions will determine whether stabilization evolves into a trend reversal.

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Bitcoin social mentions reached 342K, 129% above average, while BTC remains 45% below its peak.

Social dominance climbed to 23.8%, consolidating crypto-wide attention toward Bitcoin.

Momentum indicators on the 1-hour chart show bullish continuation near the $70K resistance zone.

Bitcoin social mentions have reached a historic milestone as daily conversation surged to 342,533 on February 14, 2026. The spike occurred while Bitcoin traded near $69,000, well below its October peak of $125,000.

Social Momentum Expands During Price Drawdown

Bitcoin social mentions climbed 129% above the daily average of 172,700. Engagement reached 228 million, marking a 77% increase over normal levels. 

Unique creators posting about Bitcoin rose to 93,300, up 41% from average activity. Sentiment metrics also remained constructive. 

Roughly 80% of tracked posts reflected bullish positioning. Social dominance reached 23.8%, meaning nearly one quarter of all crypto discussions centered on Bitcoin.

https://twitter.com/LunarCrush/status/2022484709935321591?s=20

Market participants widely circulated the milestone across social platforms. Several high-engagement tweets tracked the 342,533 figure as a new record. 

The prior record of 328,892 was set on November 21. Historically, Bitcoin social mentions peak near price tops. 

This time, activity expanded while Bitcoin traded about 45% below its $125,000 high. That divergence between attention and price is notable.

Policy Catalysts and Institutional Signals

Bitcoin social mentions accelerated alongside multiple macro developments. ETF proposals are widely viewed as gateways for institutional capital. 

At the same time, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that progress on crypto legislation would provide comfort to markets. The comment was widely reposted across financial channels. 

Regulatory clarity tends to reduce compliance uncertainty. International developments added to the narrative flow. 

Lawmakers in Brazil revived a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve proposal targeting one million BTC. Discussion of sovereign accumulation circulated quickly online.

These policy narratives coincided with the record in Bitcoin social mentions. Market attention appeared to consolidate around regulatory and sovereign themes.

Technical Structure Supports Short-Term Trend

Bitcoin social mentions rose as the price pressed toward the $70,000 to $70,200 range. On the one-hour chart against Tether on Binance, Bitcoin traded near $70,180. 

The structure showed a sequence of higher lows and higher highs. Momentum indicators confirmed short-term strength.

Source: CryptoRank

The MACD (12,26,9) displayed positive histogram bars with the signal line below the MACD line. This configuration suggested expanding bullish momentum.

The RSI (14) hovered near 75, placing it in overbought territory. However, price and RSI advanced together without visible bearish divergence. 

In trending conditions, RSI can remain elevated for extended periods. Volume expanded but did not show climactic spikes. 

Meanwhile, Bitcoin social mentions continue to track elevated engagement levels.

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Fed wants crypto treated as its own asset class to better manage extreme price swings and trading risks.

New margin rules aim to protect traders in risky derivatives and track crypto market behavior with a benchmark index.

“Skinny” master accounts and clearer rules make it easier for banks and crypto firms to operate safely.

The Federal Reserve is moving to address the unpredictable nature of cryptocurrency trading. A new proposal aims to treat crypto as a standalone asset class, helping manage its extreme price swings. Researchers Anna Amirdjanova, David Lynch, and Anni Zheng outlined the plan in a working paper published Wednesday. 

They warn that current derivative systems fail to capture crypto’s unique risks. By introducing dedicated margin requirements, the Fed hopes to create a safer trading environment for investors and institutions alike.

Existing margin rules aggregate assets into traditional categories like equities, interest rates, and commodities. However, crypto does not fit neatly into any of these groups. Its prices swing rapidly, influenced by factors beyond conventional market dynamics. 

Hence, traders may underestimate risks under the current system. The Fed researchers suggest assigning specific risk weights to cryptocurrencies. They also recommend separating “floating” cryptos like Bitcoin and Ether from “pegged” stablecoins to more accurately reflect risk levels.

Managing Derivatives Risks

Uncleared derivatives, which trade over-the-counter, carry heightened risks because no central clearinghouse verifies transactions. Margin requirements act as a buffer against defaults, ensuring both parties can meet obligations. “Traders in derivatives markets leverage borrowed funds, which raises potential profits but also increases chances of loss,” the researchers noted. 

Consequently, assigning proper margin for volatile crypto assets becomes critical. The team proposes a benchmark crypto index that combines floating and stablecoins. This index would allow financial institutions to track market behavior and adjust collateral requirements dynamically.

Federal Reserve’s Broader Shift

This proposal signals a broader shift in the Fed’s approach to cryptocurrencies. Instead of limiting exposure, the central bank now seeks frameworks that safely integrate crypto into the financial system. In December, it reversed prior guidance that restricted banks’ crypto engagement. 

Additionally, the Fed is exploring “skinny” master accounts for crypto firms, giving access to central banking infrastructure without full privileges. Moreover, these moves aim to provide clear, consistent rules for banks and crypto-related companies, reducing uncertainty while supporting innovation.

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Michael Saylor confirms Strategy will keep buying BTC every quarter, showing strong faith in Bitcoin’s long-term value.

Technical signals like MACD and four-year SMA suggest Bitcoin may be nearing the end of its bear market phase.

Strategy’s stock jumps 9% after BTC purchase, highlighting investor confidence despite $5B unrealized losses.

Bitcoin investors are watching closely as Strategy continues to bet big on BTC despite mounting unrealized losses. Chairman Michael Saylor confirmed the firm’s commitment to expanding its Bitcoin treasury, signaling confidence in the long-term value of the digital asset. 

Recently, Strategy purchased 1,142 BTC for $90 million, paying an average of $78,815 per coin. This raised the company’s total holdings to 714,644 BTC, now worth roughly $49.36 billion at current market prices near $69,126.

Saylor teased the latest purchase on his usual Sunday X post, linking to the company’s Bitcoin portfolio tracker with the cryptic message, “99>98.” The remark hinted at continued accumulation of BTC. Despite the total position remaining approximately $5.1 billion below the cumulative purchase cost, Saylor stressed the company has no plans to sell. “We expect to keep buying BTC every quarter indefinitely,” he stated, highlighting unwavering confidence even amid volatility.

Technical Indicators Signal Potential Strength

Analysts are watching Bitcoin’s long-term trends closely. CrypFlow noted that the 1-month MACD for BTC is above multi-year downtrend support. The post emphasized, “After more than 2000 days, the monthly MACD crossed again.” 

Historically, such MACD crosses have coincided with periods of relative strength in altcoins compared to Bitcoin. The analyst added, “What matters next: Trend support holding and monthly MACD follow-through.”

Meanwhile, analyst Darkfost pointed to a four-year SMA-based metric indicating bear market levels. BTC has moved back into the green zone, approaching its four-year SMA around $57,500. Darkfost explained, “Historically, this level has often marked the final stage of each bear market.” He noted that Bitcoin tends to trade around these levels for several months, providing a potential buying opportunity.

Other than the aggressive accumulation of Strategy, these technical trends show bullish potential in the long term. In addition, investor sentiment is positive, as Strategy’s stock increased by almost 9% in after-hours trading. In addition, the continued MACD and SMA trends may motivate more institutional investors to enter the market. However, there are still some volatility issues to watch out for.

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ZEC gained nearly 10% after bouncing from a confirmed bull demand zone near 184.

Momentum indicators show strength as the price approaches the first resistance at 293.

Analysts maintain targets of 293 and 350 while the price holds above the 250 support level.

ZEC Price Prediction remains steady after Zcash recorded a sharp 10% rally from recent consolidation levels. The move followed a confirmed reaction from a defined demand zone. Analysts continue to monitor resistance at 293 and 350.

Demand Zone Reaction Fuels Recovery

Zcash rebounded strongly after testing the 184–220 demand zone. Price printed a decisive reaction candle near the lower boundary. Buyers quickly absorbed selling pressure at that level.

The rebound created a higher low structure on the daily chart. That shift marked a pause in the broader downtrend. As a result, short-term momentum began improving.

Volume expanded as the price moved higher from the zone. This expansion suggested participation beyond retail positioning. As the price stabilized above 220, consolidation formed above the base.

The ZEC price prediction framework now centers on the strength of that zone. As long as the price remains above 250, the bullish structure remains intact. Analysts view this level as a short-term pivot.

Breakout Structure and Momentum Signals

Following consolidation, Zcash broke above range resistance near 255. The breakout candle showed a strong body and rising volume. That move marked the beginning of the recent 10% rally.

Momentum indicators support the upward movement. The Relative Strength Index climbed toward 65 without entering overbought territory. This reading reflects constructive buying pressure.

https://twitter.com/0xWhale/status/2022366346806526393?s=20

At the same time, the MACD indicator printed a bullish crossover. Histogram bars expanded into positive territory. This alignment often appears during early expansion phases.

A technical analyst on X shared a chart showing compression before expansion. The tweet described the structure as range contraction followed by breakout. The post also reaffirmed the unchanged 293 target.

Resistance Levels and Target Framework

The first resistance target stands at 293. This level aligns with previous support that turned into supply. Historical price action shows congestion around that zone.

If the price reaches 293, traders expect a reaction. A clean break above that level could open the path toward 350. That second target corresponds with a prior distribution area.

The 350 level also aligns with upper structural resistance. It represents a broader recovery objective within the existing trend. However, confirmation depends on a strength above 293.

Recent commentary on social platforms referenced these levels. A widely circulated chart labeled 293 as target one and 350 as target two. The post noted that targets remain unchanged after the rally.

Price currently trades near 255–260 after the breakout. That area now acts as immediate support. Holding this zone would maintain bullish continuation prospects.

ZEC price prediction remains centered on structure rather than speculation. The market continues to respect technical levels drawn from prior supply and demand. Traders now watch whether momentum carries price toward 293 in the coming sessions.

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