Nicolas Samui
Créateur de la chaine youtube et de la newsletter "les clefs du marchés" 👉 https://nicolas777.substack.com/
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🚨 J'ai analysé le marché crypto en profondeur et relevé 3 anomalies macroéconomiques majeures qui convergent toutes vers le même signal : quelque chose d'historique se prépare.
Ratio #BTC /#XAU , #ISM Manufacturing, ratio Cuivre/Or... Les cycles traditionnels sont rompus. Et c'est exactement là que se cache l'opportunité du moment.
📖 Allez lire cet article, il va vraiment vous apporter de la valeur.
Analyse technique complète, scénarios détaillés, et ma stratégie perso pour naviguer cette phase critique.
Lien en description de mon profil.
Ratio #BTC /#XAU , #ISM Manufacturing, ratio Cuivre/Or... Les cycles traditionnels sont rompus. Et c'est exactement là que se cache l'opportunité du moment.
📖 Allez lire cet article, il va vraiment vous apporter de la valeur.
Analyse technique complète, scénarios détaillés, et ma stratégie perso pour naviguer cette phase critique.
Lien en description de mon profil.
#GALAXY DIGITAL POSTS $482M LOSS, NOVOGRATZ SEES BOTTOM
Galaxy Digital reported a $482 million Q4 loss versus $282 million expected as Bitcoin crashed to $73-76K despite favorable macro conditions.
CEO Mike Novogratz admitted "Bitcoin was not supposed to act like this" but sees seller exhaustion forming, calling pain "part of the ethos" after five years in crypto.
Galaxy Digital reported a $482 million Q4 loss versus $282 million expected as Bitcoin crashed to $73-76K despite favorable macro conditions.
CEO Mike Novogratz admitted "Bitcoin was not supposed to act like this" but sees seller exhaustion forming, calling pain "part of the ethos" after five years in crypto.
#ADP JOBS COLLAPSE TO 22K, WELL BELOW 48K FORECAST
US private sector added only 22,000 jobs in January versus 48,000 expected, with December revised down to 37,000.
Manufacturing has now lost jobs every month since March 2024 while professional services shed 57,000 positions, signaling broad-based labor market deterioration despite stable wage growth.
US private sector added only 22,000 jobs in January versus 48,000 expected, with December revised down to 37,000.
Manufacturing has now lost jobs every month since March 2024 while professional services shed 57,000 positions, signaling broad-based labor market deterioration despite stable wage growth.
BITCOIN HASHRATE HITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE JUNE 2025
Bitcoin hashrate has fallen to its lowest point since June 30, 2025, as miners face pressure from electricity scarcity intensified by the AI compute race.
The hashrate compression is capping Bitcoin's price action and testing miner survival as energy resources shift toward more lucrative #AI/#HPC operations.
$BTC
Bitcoin hashrate has fallen to its lowest point since June 30, 2025, as miners face pressure from electricity scarcity intensified by the AI compute race.
The hashrate compression is capping Bitcoin's price action and testing miner survival as energy resources shift toward more lucrative #AI/#HPC operations.
$BTC
BIG TECH EARNINGS: #ALPHABET WEDNESDAY, #AMAZON THURSDAY
Alphabet reports Wednesday with consensus EPS of $2.62 versus $2.15 prior year, followed by Amazon Thursday expecting $1.95 versus $1.86.
The S&P 500 Information Technology sector sits in a compression triangle awaiting directional breakout, making these earnings critical catalysts for the next major move in tech and risk assets.
Alphabet reports Wednesday with consensus EPS of $2.62 versus $2.15 prior year, followed by Amazon Thursday expecting $1.95 versus $1.86.
The S&P 500 Information Technology sector sits in a compression triangle awaiting directional breakout, making these earnings critical catalysts for the next major move in tech and risk assets.
#ADP JOBS DATA TONIGHT COULD FORCE FED'S HAND
ADP employment report releases tonight with markets watching the critical 41,000 threshold.
With inflation collapsing and unemployment rising since October 2024 already exceeding the Fed's 4.4% target, a miss below 41K could compel accelerated rate cuts despite current hawkish Fed positioning.
#FED
ADP employment report releases tonight with markets watching the critical 41,000 threshold.
With inflation collapsing and unemployment rising since October 2024 already exceeding the Fed's 4.4% target, a miss below 41K could compel accelerated rate cuts despite current hawkish Fed positioning.
#FED
US GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN ENDS AS TRUMP SIGNS FUNDING BILL
President #Trump signed the funding legislation after House and Senate approval, ending the partial government shutdown.
The resolution averts disruptions to federal payrolls, economic data releases, and government spending, removing a near-term uncertainty overhang from markets.
President #Trump signed the funding legislation after House and Senate approval, ending the partial government shutdown.
The resolution averts disruptions to federal payrolls, economic data releases, and government spending, removing a near-term uncertainty overhang from markets.
#FED GOVERNOR MIRAN CALLS FOR 100+ BPS RATE CUTS IN 2026
Fed Governor Stephen Miran argues the Federal Reserve should cut rates by over 100 basis points this year, claiming inflation data is overstated.
The dovish stance contrasts sharply with Fed Watch Tool pricing only one 25bp cut for all of 2026, revealing a major disconnect between policy voices and market expectations.
Fed Governor Stephen Miran argues the Federal Reserve should cut rates by over 100 basis points this year, claiming inflation data is overstated.
The dovish stance contrasts sharply with Fed Watch Tool pricing only one 25bp cut for all of 2026, revealing a major disconnect between policy voices and market expectations.
PAYPAL CRASHES 20% ON EARNINGS MISS AND CEO SHAKE-UP
#PayPal plunged 20% after Q4 revenue of $8.68 billion missed the $8.80 billion estimate and 2026 guidance projected declining profits versus 8% growth expected.
CEO Alex Chriss was immediately replaced by ex-HP chief Enrique Lores, signaling the board’s acknowledgment of failed turnaround efforts amid intensifying fintech competition.
#PayPal plunged 20% after Q4 revenue of $8.68 billion missed the $8.80 billion estimate and 2026 guidance projected declining profits versus 8% growth expected.
CEO Alex Chriss was immediately replaced by ex-HP chief Enrique Lores, signaling the board’s acknowledgment of failed turnaround efforts amid intensifying fintech competition.
TRUMP ELEVATES #BITCOIN TO TOP PRIORITY ALONGSIDE #AI
President Trump has placed Bitcoin at the same priority level as artificial intelligence in his administration's strategic focus.
The elevation of crypto to match AI's importance signals a major policy shift positioning digital assets as critical to America's technological and economic competitiveness.
President Trump has placed Bitcoin at the same priority level as artificial intelligence in his administration's strategic focus.
The elevation of crypto to match AI's importance signals a major policy shift positioning digital assets as critical to America's technological and economic competitiveness.
🚨MARKETS OVERREACT TO #WARSH BALANCE SHEET COMMENTS
The #Fed's balance sheet stands at $6.5–6.7 trillion, down from over $7 trillion a year ago and well below the $9 trillion crisis peak, yet risk assets rallied throughout this normalization.
Market panic over Warsh's comments ignores that gradual balance sheet reduction can coexist with strong asset performance.
$BTC
The #Fed's balance sheet stands at $6.5–6.7 trillion, down from over $7 trillion a year ago and well below the $9 trillion crisis peak, yet risk assets rallied throughout this normalization.
Market panic over Warsh's comments ignores that gradual balance sheet reduction can coexist with strong asset performance.
$BTC
Listen carefully.
We are at the starting point of a rally for #Bitcoin that most people can’t even imagine.
Kevin #Warsh states that Bitcoin is not a substitute for the dollar, but a tool to inform policymakers when they’re doing things right or wrong, enforce market discipline, and fix what needs to be fixed.
What a time to be alive.
This is the end of the bear cycle.
We are at the starting point of a rally for #Bitcoin that most people can’t even imagine.
Kevin #Warsh states that Bitcoin is not a substitute for the dollar, but a tool to inform policymakers when they’re doing things right or wrong, enforce market discipline, and fix what needs to be fixed.
What a time to be alive.
This is the end of the bear cycle.
WHAT IS the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act that just advanced on January 29, 2026, AND WHY could this unlock a massive wave of new crypto ETF approvals?
I think this is the regulatory breakthrough that changes everything.
The #CLARITYAct just passed the Senate Agriculture Committee, ending years of jurisdictional ambiguity on digital assets.
It clearly divides authority: SEC for securities, CFTC for commodities like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
This means digital assets classified as "commodities" can be structured into ETFs without SEC securities registration.
The legal uncertainty that blocked crypto ETF approvals for years is being systematically removed.
Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs were approved in 2024, but countless other major assets remained stuck in regulatory limbo.
With clear CFTC jurisdiction, the path now opens for ETFs on Solana, Cardano, $XRP , and other assets that qualify as commodities.
The SEC already registered several crypto ETPs in July 2025, and this clarity could massively extend approvals to more assets.
Combined with Paul Atkins' statements on crypto in 401(k) plans, the regulatory infrastructure is converging fast.
We're not talking about speculation anymore.
This is the framework for trillions in institutional capital to flow into digital assets through compliant, regulated products in 2026.
I think this is the regulatory breakthrough that changes everything.
The #CLARITYAct just passed the Senate Agriculture Committee, ending years of jurisdictional ambiguity on digital assets.
It clearly divides authority: SEC for securities, CFTC for commodities like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
This means digital assets classified as "commodities" can be structured into ETFs without SEC securities registration.
The legal uncertainty that blocked crypto ETF approvals for years is being systematically removed.
Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs were approved in 2024, but countless other major assets remained stuck in regulatory limbo.
With clear CFTC jurisdiction, the path now opens for ETFs on Solana, Cardano, $XRP , and other assets that qualify as commodities.
The SEC already registered several crypto ETPs in July 2025, and this clarity could massively extend approvals to more assets.
Combined with Paul Atkins' statements on crypto in 401(k) plans, the regulatory infrastructure is converging fast.
We're not talking about speculation anymore.
This is the framework for trillions in institutional capital to flow into digital assets through compliant, regulated products in 2026.
Nous vivons un moment historique.
Le système financier que nous connaissons est déjà obsolète. Il sera remplacé par une infrastructure crypto de nouvelle génération, via le New Structure Bill.
Bitcoin mènera cette transition.
Le système financier que nous connaissons est déjà obsolète. Il sera remplacé par une infrastructure crypto de nouvelle génération, via le New Structure Bill.
Bitcoin mènera cette transition.
#Gold starting to behave like shitcoin is good news for #Bitcoin
It reveals how gold’s price is now driven by speculation and leverage rather than real physical demand.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, is oversold, with concrete fundamentals: institutional buyers, US pro-crypto laws (401k), strategic reserves, and growing state accumulation.
Bitcoin is the sage, gold is the restless child.
It reveals how gold’s price is now driven by speculation and leverage rather than real physical demand.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, is oversold, with concrete fundamentals: institutional buyers, US pro-crypto laws (401k), strategic reserves, and growing state accumulation.
Bitcoin is the sage, gold is the restless child.
US TRADE DEFICIT NEARLY DOUBLES TO $56.8 BILLION
The US trade deficit almost doubled month-over-month to $56.8 billion in November, crushing the $44 billion consensus as imports surged 5% while exports fell 3.6%.
The extreme volatility reflects shifting tariff policies creating chaos in trade flows and widening America's economic imbalance.
#USA
The US trade deficit almost doubled month-over-month to $56.8 billion in November, crushing the $44 billion consensus as imports surged 5% while exports fell 3.6%.
The extreme volatility reflects shifting tariff policies creating chaos in trade flows and widening America's economic imbalance.
#USA
GOLD 55% ABOVE 200-DAY MOVING AVERAGE
#Gold is trading 55% above its 200-day moving average, an extreme deviation historically followed by violent mean reversion.
A simple return to this key technical level would represent a 55% decline from current prices, raising questions about gold's parabolic rally sustainability.
#Gold is trading 55% above its 200-day moving average, an extreme deviation historically followed by violent mean reversion.
A simple return to this key technical level would represent a 55% decline from current prices, raising questions about gold's parabolic rally sustainability.
#BITCOIN HASHRATE STAGNATES AS MINERS PIVOT TO #AI
Bitcoin Hashrate has flatlined since April 2025 as miners shift capacity to more lucrative AI/HPC operations due to electricity constraints.
However, #Bitcoin mining's unique ability to provide grid stabilization through demand response could make it indispensable for energy infrastructure despite the exodus.
Bitcoin Hashrate has flatlined since April 2025 as miners shift capacity to more lucrative AI/HPC operations due to electricity constraints.
However, #Bitcoin mining's unique ability to provide grid stabilization through demand response could make it indispensable for energy infrastructure despite the exodus.
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