After rallying more than 3,592% from late November 2025, Pippin appears to have completed a full bullish cycle. Once a cycle tops, a new one begins — and historically, there’s no straight path back to the highs.
Yesterday’s strong green candle hinted at a potential lower high, but today price has slipped back below resistance at the 0.5 Fib, which strengthens the case for bearish continuation.
➡️ Bias: Bearish ➡️ First downside target: ~$0.13 ➡️ Outlook: Further downside likely over the coming months
As PIPPINUSDT trends lower, projects with an inverse correlation may begin to outperform and show relative strength. $pippin
There’s a solid case that a bottom may be in — it would take a lot of pressure to push price lower again.
The longer we hold these levels, the better. I can see a push toward $84,000 over the next few months, which would give alts plenty of room to breathe and move.
Solana’s weekly dump is showing clear signs of exhaustion. Downside momentum is slowing as price presses into a major long-term demand zone around $80–85.
The sell-off has been steep and directional inside a falling channel, which often sets the stage for mean-reversion relief moves rather than immediate continuation. SOL has already retraced a large portion of its prior impulse and is trading well below former range support at $125.5, suggesting many late sellers are entering after most of the damage is done.
What to watch: • Short-term: A relief bounce toward $100–110 is reasonable if buyers step in. • Structure shift: Real trend improvement requires acceptance back above $125.5. • Macro: As long as $44 holds, this still fits a deep bull-market correction.
For now, price action favors stabilization and a counter-trend bounce, not continued freefall. $SOL
$ONDO has seen a deeper pullback than most alts, which is frustrating given the RWA narrative. It came close to a lower low but didn’t make one, keeping the wave 2 structure intact.
With crypto likely putting in a bottom, the key question now is relative strength — whether ONDO can come back to life with the market or continue to lag.
Welcome back to another educational post. Let’s get straight to it.
Definitions
Risk Management is deciding before you enter a trade: • What you can afford to lose • How much of your capital you risk per trade • How losses are controlled
It keeps you in the game and protects you from emotional decisions.
Win Rate is simply how often trades: • Hit TP • Hit SL • End at BE
A high win rate does not equal profitability if risk is poorly managed.
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The Core Truth
Trading is not one trade — it’s hundreds.
If you go all-in on one trade: • You either win big or lose everything • That’s not a system — it’s a gamble
Probability only works when you survive long enough to let it play out.
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Why Defined Risk Beats High Win Rate
When risk is defined: • Downside is controlled • Losing streaks don’t wipe you out • Consistency becomes possible
A system that works over 100–300 trades is far superior to one that relies on a single outcome.
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Simple Example
You have $100.
Risking 1% per trade means: • You risk $1, not $100
With 10x leverage: • Capital risk = $1 • Position exposure = $10
If you lose, you still have $99 — that’s 99 more chances.
That’s how traders survive.
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Long-Term Benefits
Good risk management: • Reduces emotional pressure • Prevents revenge trading • Keeps drawdowns small • Builds confidence naturally
Win rate looks good on screenshots. Risk management keeps your account alive.
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The Reality Check
A trader with: • 40% win rate + strong risk control
Will outperform a trader with: • 70% win rate + poor risk control
Because survival > ego.
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Final Thought • Win rate tells you how often you win • Risk management determines if you stay in the game
One trade proves nothing. A hundred trades prove everything.
Define your risk. Respect probability. Trade for longevity — not ego. $BTC $ETH
Gold is consolidating inside a triangle pattern. • Key resistance: ~5100 If price fails to break and hold above this level soon, a pullback after the rally is likely, followed by a support retest. • Rising support: ~4780 • MAs: Intertwined → range-bound / consolidation
Plan: Until a clear breakout, buy low, sell high within the range.
Buyers are reclaiming control as price compresses above range support after the sell-side sweep. • Entry: 1.44 – 1.46 • SL: 1.40 • TPs: 1.48 → 1.52 → 1.58
$ZEC has formed a clean cup followed by a tight, shallow handle just below resistance. The sideways handle suggests absorption, not rejection—constructive after the bounce from the lows.
As long as price holds above handle support (mid-240s), the structure remains valid. A breakout attempt toward ~260 (EMA 50 area) is the natural next target.
Invalidation: A decisive break below the handle lows flips the bias back to downside. For now, continuation > breakdown.
Waiting for a sweep of highs at $71,600–$71,800. After that, watch for a fakeout of the range high — potential short back into the range if rejection occurs.