Trump suspended his planned 10% tariff increase on eight NATO members in February, a move that eased concerns that had gripped Wall Street earlier this week, sending stocks higher. However, investors remained cautious due to ongoing disagreements between the EU and the US over control of Greenland.
Trump stated that he had drafted a "framework for a future agreement" with NATO leaders regarding the Arctic islands the US hopes to purchase. But the Danish Prime Minister emphasized on Thursday that Denmark's territorial sovereignty is non-negotiable.
🚨*Sharp Move.* To be considered a continuation pattern, evidence of a prior trend should exist. Flags and pennants require evidence of a sharp advance or decline in heavy volume. These moves usually occur on heavy volume and can contain gaps. This move usually represents the first leg of a significant advance or decline, and the flag/pennant is merely a pause.
*Flagpole.* The flagpole is the distance from the first resistance or support break to the high or low of the flag/pennant. The sharp advance (or decline) that forms the flagpole should break a trend line or resistance/support level. A line extending up from this break to the high of the flag/pennant forms the flagpole.
*Flag.* A flag is a small rectangle pattern that slopes against the previous trend. If the previous move was trending up, then the flag would slope down. If the move was trending down, then the flag would slope up. Because flags are usually too short in duration to have reaction highs and reaction lows, the price action needs to be contained within two parallel trend lines.
*What Are Flag and Pennant Chart Patterns?* Flags and Pennants are short-term continuation patterns that mark a small consolidation before the previous move resumes. These patterns are usually preceded by a sharp advance or decline with heavy volume and mark a midpoint of the move.
Plan executed, emotions ignored. $SXT delivered exactly as expected — profits secured. $FOGO didn’t confirm momentum, so I exited near breakeven. Protect capital first, profits follow. Discipline over everything.
🔥 $HANA Short Setup — Momentum Play Price action shows clear weakness and failure to hold higher levels. Buyers are getting absorbed, and momentum is shifting back to the downside. Lower highs and weak follow-through indicate that this move is likely a continuation short, not a fake breakdown. 🔴 Entry Zone (Short): 0.0220 – 0.0225 🛑 Stop-Loss: 0.0240 Above recent rejection and invalidation level. 🎯 Targets: 0.0200 – first demand 0.0190 – continuation zone 0.0180 – liquidity sweep area ⚠️ Trade is momentum-based. Scale out on the way down and protect profits.
Market structure remains volatile, but price is reacting well around the 0.92 demand zone. Sellers are losing momentum here, and this level has started to attract bids.
Volume on the downside is fading, while price is holding above intraday support — a typical setup for a short-term relief push, not a trend reversal.
🟢 Entry Zone:
0.920 – 0.925
🛑 Stop-Loss:
0.880
Below key liquidity and recent swing lows.
🎯 Targets:
0.940 – first reaction level
0.960 – momentum continuation
0.980 – upper resistance zone
⚠️ This is a scalp trade, not a swing. Take partials, protect capital, and don’t overstay.
🚨BTC ON US : the "Sell America" theme, the DXY briefly fell below 98. Bitcoin also dropped below $90,000, recording its biggest single-day decline since October 10th of last year. Ethereum fell below $3,000.
Gold's status as a safe-haven asset was once again highlighted. Against the backdrop of a weakening DXY, aggressive buying pushed gold prices up, with a nearly 2% intraday gain to $4,762. Silver, however, remained range-bound at high levels, causing the gold-silver ratio to rise above 50.
🚨 Market Rotation in Action: The tech giants led the Nasdaq's decline, with large-cap tech stocks falling to their lowest point since November of last year. In contrast, traditionally defensive sectors such as healthcare, consumer staples, and utilities showed relative resilience.
🚨AKTUALIZACE Z USA : důchodové fondy v úterý oznámily plány na prodej amerických státních dluhopisů do konce měsíce, přičemž uvádějí obavy, že politiky prezidenta Trumpa vytvořily významná úvěrová rizika.
Zmrazení ratifikačního procesu obchodní dohody mezi USA a EU Evropským parlamentem, ačkoliv přímo nezpůsobuje selhání dohody, vysílá silný signál nespokojenosti Bílému domu. Dánský premiér uvedl, že Dánsko nebude vyjednávat o otázkách suverenity a je připraveno na obchodní válku.
To je v podstatě další výprodej amerických aktiv uprostřed globální vlny averze k riziku. Globální investoři se pokoušejí snížit nebo zajišťovat svou expozici vůči americkému trhu; rozsah a trvání těchto kroků zůstávají nejasné.
🚨NOVINKA: Japonské dlouhodobé dluhopisy se propadly, což obchodníci široce popisují jako "japonskou verzi Trusova okamžiku": očekávání předčasných voleb v kombinaci s expanzivním fiskálním narativem, pokračující prodeje ze strany životních pojišťovacích fondů a slabé aukce ultradlouhodobých státních dluhopisů.
V ten den výnos na 40letých japonských státních dluhopisech poprvé v historii překročil 4 %, zatímco výnosy na 20letých a 30letých dluhopisech vzrostly o více než 20 bazických bodů za jeden den. Jako jeden z největších držitelů amerických státních dluhopisů na světě se japonské dlouhodobé úrokové sazby vymkly kontrole a rychle se přelily do Spojených států. Výnos na 10letých amerických státních dluhopisech vzrostl o 8 bazických bodů na 4,293 %.