THX738

I don’t advise futures trading — not because it’s impossible to win, but because it’s structurally designed to destroy small capital.
Let’s start with leverage. Futures amplify everything: gains, losses, emotions, and mistakes. A 1–2% price move against you can wipe out weeks or months of progress. According to exchange statistics, over 70–90% of retail futures traders lose money, and most of those losses come from leverage, fees, and liquidations — not bad analysis.
Now compare this with trading alpha coins (spot or no leverage).
Alpha coins move differently.
It’s normal to see 20–100% moves over days or weeks. Volatility works for you, not against you. There are no liquidations, no funding fees, and no forced closes. Your position can survive noise, manipulation, and time.
Risk vs Reward Comparison
Futures trading:
Small price moves (1–3%)High leverageFunding fees every 4-8 hours (1hour)High commissions due to overtradingLiquidation risk = total lossTime works against you
Alpha coin trading (spot):
Large asymmetric movesNo liquidationNo funding feesLower psychological pressureTime can work in your favorCapital remains alive
Now let’s talk about micro balances.
Most people don’t trade futures because it’s smart — they trade them because their capital is small. When you have $200 or $500, slow growth feels meaningless. So people chase leverage, hoping for fast results. What they actually chase is their last chance.
That’s how poor traders get poorer.
I know this firsthand.
Over three years of futures trading, I irreversibly lost more than $15,000. Not in one blow — slowly, through fees, funding, overtrading, and liquidations. On futures, once you’re liquidated, the money is gone forever. U may be more lucky, and win all time thinking u are smart enough, untill smth unpredictable happened...
With alpha coins, even bad entries leave you something: time and probability. A new cycle, a new narrative, a second chance. Futures offer none of that.
The Real Lesson
Trading is not about maximizing profit.
It’s about surviving long enough to let probability work.
Capital preservation beats any strategy.
Because without capital, skill doesn’t matter.
Futures don’t forgive mistakes.Spot alpha sometimes does.
And that difference decides who stays in the market — and who disappears from it.
#PreciousMetalsTurbulence #ALPHA🔥 #USIranStandoff #MarketCorrection

Why Most “Trading Advice” Accounts Don’t Trade at All
Many accounts that give trading advice don’t actually trade. In reality, around 90% of them risk nothing but their reputation. They make money not from the market, but from #Write2Earn posts, referrals, ads, and paid groups. When their ideas fail, it’s not their capital on the line — it’s yours. This creates a dangerous imbalance: followers take real financial risk, while “gurus” collect views and engagement. Their goal is consistency in content, not consistency in profits. Always remember: if someone truly had a reliable edge, they wouldn’t need to give #signals daily.
Only ~48.5 % of copy-trading followers were profitable over the period.
While ~97 % of leaders showed positive profit on their own accounts, only **~43.6 % of those leaders actually generated positive returns for followers.
This means even among traders people choose to follow, fewer than half delivered profitable results for the followers.
In a small competition reported on a trading platform (not Binance itself), only 19 out of 100 “top influencers” remained profitable, and many lost most of their starting capital.
They Don’t Trade — You Do (With Your Money)!
#MarketCorrection #PreciousMetalsTurbulence #USIranStandoff $BTC

#TrumpCancelsEUTariffThreat

A couple of months ago, I was being "smart" and closed all my spot positions (you can find my post about that) to wait it out in cash.
Of course, that didn’t stop me from losing all that cash on futures during this time.
But admit it — the idea itself was correct, right?
Don’t ask me how I came to the conclusion that 2026 will be the year of a crypto collapse.
In my worldview, it is an obvious scenario, just like for someone else 2×2=5.
So what will happen when $BTC falls further?
That’s when real panic and crypto devaluation will begin.
All those funds, ETFs, crypto optimists, and “experts” will either sit in losses for years hoping for recovery (and hope may not work), or they will panic.
There will also be the incurable ones who will keep buying every new bottom.
And if you remember Vitalik Buterin, who believes that any token without real-world utility will eventually go to zero (hello memecoin lovers and ...), the near-term outlook for the crypto market looks bleak.
So what will you do when the crypto market collapses because Bitcoin drops to 68,000, and then lower and lower?
What is your plan for 2026?
My personal plan: I’m not opening spot longs at least until autumn 2026.
On futures, I only catch shorts.
God bless those who believe Bitcoin will be worth $1M. Amen.
#WhenWillBTCRebound #BitcoinETFWatch #MarketCorrection #USIranStandoff

Poslední výprodej zasáhl kovy, kryptoměny a akcie současně.
Zlato a stříbro prudce klesly, kryptoměna zažila miliardy v nucených likvidacích a akcie přecenily riziko během minut.
Momentka likvidací:
Krypto: ~$3–6B likvidováno napříč hlavními v 24h ($BTC , $ETH , alt páka)
Trhy s futures: >80% maloobchodních pozic vymazáno na vysoké páce
Kovy a akcie: korelovaný rizikový pohyb napříč makro deskami
Proč strategie selhávají při změnách režimu
Obchodní systémy fungují ve stabilních režimech.
Když makro objednávka kolabuje—šoky v politice, obchodní války, fiskální chaos—trhy přestávají chovat statisticky.

K uzavření vlády USA dochází, když Kongres neprojde federálním rozpočtem.
Výsledek: části vlády doslova přestanou fungovat. Zaměstnanci jsou na nucené dovolené, služby se zastaví, trhy se znepokojí.
Není to náhoda. Je to politická válka.
Kdo těží z uzavření?
1) Politici
Uzavření jsou páka. Každá strana je používá k vynucení ústupků, mobilizaci voličů a obviňování druhé strany.
2) Obchodníci a hedge fondy
Volatilita stoupá. Výnosy z dluhopisů, zlato a obchodování s USD volatilita se stávají ziskovými.

Írán není cílem. Je to mechanismus.
Skrytá kontinuita
Na první pohled vypadají napětí kolem Iránu jako samostatná kapitola v globální geopolitice.
Ve skutečnosti zapadají do delšího cyklu energetické strategie, který se dříve odehrál v Latinské Americe.
Kampaň tlaku na Venezuelskou republiku ukázala, jak mohou být cena, sankce a přístup k dodávkám použity jako geopolitické nástroje. Nový šok na Blízkém východě by tuto logiku neodporoval — dokončil by ji.
Cena jako strategický nástroj
Energetické trhy nejsou pouze ekonomické systémy.

Buďme upřímní:
pro většinu lidí na této planetě nikoho nezajímá, kdo řídí Fed nebo zda je úroková sazba v USA 4 %, 5 % nebo 1 %. Nájem, jídlo, palivo, dluh — to je realita. Powell, sazby, bodové grafy — pozadí hluku.
Ale trhy se zajímají.
A tady začíná problém.
Federální rezervní systém byl navržen tak, aby byl nezávislý. Dnes tomu tak není. Je zachycen — politikou, trhy, očekáváními, která již nemůže kontrolovat. Když se šíří zvěsti, že by mohl být výkonný pracovník BlackRock dalším předsedou Fedu, nezávislost se stává vtipem. To není měnová politika — to je konsolidace moci.

Nejnovější krypto krach se nestal izolovaně. Strmý pokles Bitcoinu, agresivní růst zlata, Trumpova manipulativní rétorika ohledně sazeb a japonská měnová deformace jsou všechny součásti stejného systémového stresu.
Začněte s $BTC
Pokles nebyl o základech. Šlo o pozicování. Pákový efekt byl extrémní, zvláště před víkendem. Když se likvidita ztenčila, cena „nespadla“ — sklouzla prázdnými knihami, což vyvolalo nucené likvidace. Bitcoin fungoval jako tlakový ventil globálního rizika, přesně tak, jak to vždy dělá.

If someone publishes futures setups everyday, they are not trading — they are producing content.
Most of these “experts” focus on short-term moves of 1–3%. On paper it looks easy. In reality, fees, funding, slippage, and bad timing turn those tiny moves into consistent losses. According to exchange data and independent studies, 70–90% of retail futures traders lose money, and the majority of losses come from overtrading and short holding periods.
High-frequency setups mean:
More trades
More fees
More funding payments
More emotional mistakes
Even if the win rate looks decent, the risk-reward is terrible. One bad liquidation wipes out ten “successful” trades.
Now the obvious question:
If these people are real trading experts, why don’t they trade the same few pairs?
Experienced traders usually specialize. They master one market, one asset, one behavior pattern. It’s easier, more predictable, and more profitable. But content gurus jump from coin to coin every day — because new coins mean new charts, new hype, and new engagement.
They are not optimizing profits. They are optimizing attention.
A single high-conviction trade held for several days often outperforms dozens of tiny futures scalps. Fewer fees, less funding, clearer structure, better psychology.
Real traders wait.
Content traders post.
And the market knows the difference.

Obchodování o víkendech je dokonalou iluzí. Grafy se hýbou, svíčky se tisknou, naděje přežívá — ale vaše bilance tiše umírá. Zatímco čekáte na "velký pohyb," #FundingRates vykonávají svou práci, požírají váš účet po jednom cyklu.
Likvidita o víkendech je tenká. Velmi tenká. To znamená širší spread, náhodné knoty a pohyby cen, které existují pouze k lovení stop. Žádný skutečný objem, žádný skutečný trend — jen hluk a pasti. Technická analýza? Dekorativní.
Cena může zůstat plochá po dva dny, přesto se vaše bilance zmenšuje. Ne proto, že byste se mýlili, ale protože jste zůstali otevření. Financování se nezajímá o směr, zaujatost nebo trpělivost. Účtuje vám za to, že existujete.

Gold does not believe in speeches, summits, or “historic peace agreements.” It reacts only to risk. Every major war of the last century proves the same rule: when global order cracks, gold reprices instantly.
During World War II, gold-backed currencies became the last anchor of trust. During the Iraq War (2003), gold rose over 25% in two years as oil shocks and military spending exploded deficits. After 2020, amid global conflict escalation and sanctions warfare, central banks bought over 1,000 tons of gold annually, the highest level in modern history.
Markets understand something politicians won’t say: modern wars are economic first. Sanctions freeze reserves, debt replaces diplomacy, and fiat currencies are weaponized. This is why $XAU /USDT matters. It removes banks, borders, and governments from the equation — pure fear pricing against a synthetic dollar.
“Peace” usually brings short-term pullbacks. Ceasefires reduce headlines, yields rise, and gold pauses. But unresolved debt, fractured supply chains, and multipolar power struggles keep long-term pressure intact.
Gold doesn’t rally because war starts.
Gold rallies because the system breaks.
XAU/USDT is not optimism.
It’s a hedge against lies. $BTC
#WEFDavos2026 #GoldSilverAtRecordHighs

Why a 2026 Crypto #BullRunAhead Is a Delusion
Every major crypto cycle has peaked 12–18 months after a Bitcoin halving. By historical standards, 2026 sits firmly in the late-stage decay of the cycle, where liquidity exits and narratives replace fundamentals. Betting on a fresh bull run at this point is not analysis — it’s denial.
This time, the macro backdrop is worse. The world is sliding into political fragmentation and a new, unstable global order. US politics resemble a reality show, with figures like Trump injecting chaos, ego, and unpredictability into markets that depend on trust and stability.
Meanwhile, US Treasuries are being quietly dumped and monetized, exposing structural cracks in the global financial system. This is not the environment where speculative assets explode upward. Without expanding liquidity and political coherence, a 2026 bull run isn’t delayed — it’s structurally impossible.
Number of Failed #Cryptocurrencies by Year
➡️ 2021: 2,584 tokens
➡️ 2022: 213,075 tokens
➡️ 2023: 245,049 tokens
➡️ 2024: 1,382,010 tokens
➡️ 2025: 11,564,909 tokens
$BTC $ETH #TrumpTariffs

#TrumpTariffsOnEurope #TrumpCancelsEUTariffThreat #StrategyBTCPurchase

Trading futures on #Binance may look attractive because of high leverage and the promise of quick profits, but for most traders it is a losing game. The main risk is leverage itself. Even small market movements can wipe out an entire position, leading to fast #Liquidations that leave no room for recovery.
Another problem is funding fees. Many beginners underestimate how these periodic payments slowly drain their balance, even when the market moves sideways. Over time, this turns trading into a negative-sum game for retail users.
Emotions also play a major role. Futures trading encourages overtrading, revenge trades, and poor risk management, especially in a highly volatile crypto market. Combined with fees, slippage, and liquidation mechanics, the odds are heavily stacked against inexperienced traders.
For most people, spot trading or long-term investing is far more sustainable than trying to beat the #futures market on Binance.

#MarketRebound