February → Bear trap March → Bitcoin breakout April → Altcoin season May → New ATH around $215K June → Bull trap July → Liquidation cascade August → Bear market kicks in
Keep this in mind:
I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS.
I was one of the only people who called the top in October… and I’ll do it again.
That’s literally my job.
If you still haven’t followed me… you’re gonna regret it.
The $75,000 zone we highlighted earlier was a very crucial level for Bitcoin.
The moment BTC lost that weekly support, the downside accelerated fast. Within just a few days, price tapped the $60,000 zone, exactly the range we had highlighted.
Once $75K broke, the higher high and higher low structure on the bigger timeframe failed. That structure break is what opened the door for this straight move lower.
Now Bitcoin is trading below both the 20W and 50W moving averages, which keeps momentum weak on the weekly timeframe.
As long as BTC stays below these MA, upside remains capped and rallies will act as relief bounces, not trend reversals.
On the downside, the next major area sits around the MA200 and historical cycle support zone around $50K.
That zone has historically acted as the final reset area during deep cycle corrections.
So from here the structure is simple:
• Reclaim $75K and then $100K → structure repair begins
• Stay below key MAs → risk of deeper move toward $50K remains #Write2Earn $BNB
Proč Bitcoin klesl z $126K na $60K (-53%) bez významných špatných zpráv?
Není to jen makro tlak.
Dnes je cena Bitcoinu silně ovlivněna deriváty, nikoli pouze spotovým nákupem a prodejem. Futures, perpetuals, ETF, opce a páky vytvářejí syntetickou expozici, která pohybuje cenou, aniž by došlo k skutečné výměně BTC.
Velké krátké pozice, likvidace dlouhých pozic a páky mohou rychle stlačit cenu dolů — i když skuteční držitelé neprodávají.
Současně vidíme:
• Globální rizikový odklon napříč trhy • Geopolitické napětí • Měnící se očekávání likvidity Fedu • Slabá ekonomická data • Uvolnění institucionálního umístění
To není panika maloobchodníků. Vypadá to strukturovaně a je to řízeno deriváty.
Dokud se páka, očekávání likvidity a makro tlaky neustálí, udržení vzestupu zůstane obtížné — i když se krátkodobé úlevové rally mohou vyskytnout. #globaleconomy $MUBARAK
Ethereum klesá pod 2 000 $ poté, co Vitalik Buterin a insideri přesunuli miliony na burzy
Spoluzakladatel Etherea Vitalik Buterin a další prominentní „velryby“ prodali miliony dolarů v ETH od začátku února, což přidalo narativní palivo k trhu, který viděl, jak druhá největší kryptoměna na světě klesla pod 2 000 $. Zatímco prodeje s vysokým profilem ze strany Buterina sloužily jako psychologický spouštěč pro paniku maloobchodníků, bližší zkoumání tržních dat naznačuje, že hlavní tlak vycházel z systémového rozvázání páky a rekordní prodejní aktivity napříč sítí.
🚨 IN 48 HOURS, WE FIND OUT HOW SATOSHI WAS TIED TO EPSTEIN The release of 10 hours of jail surveillance footage is just the beginning. This Monday, Ghislaine Maxwell goes under oath before Congress, and the "untouchable" class is officially losing its grip. As the final gatekeeper of Epstein’s secrets, she is the only one left who can burn it all down. The most explosive theory heading into Monday? Maxwell might finally link Epstein to the creation of Bitcoin. This isn't just a random conspiracy. Epstein was obsessed with crypto and spent years embedded with the world's top cryptographers and MIT researchers long before the public knew what Bitcoin was. If she confirms the Satoshi Nakamoto identity is tied to that network, the entire industry hits a wall. We’re looking at: SATOSHI FORTUNE: Verification on whether the million-BTC stash was actually a slush fund for the elite. TOTAL MARKET WIPEOUT: If the "founder" of Bitcoin is revealed to be the world's most notorious criminal, every institutional dollar will flee. NAMES: Beyond crypto, the real list of celebrities and politicians on the ledger finally goes public. SYSTEMIC COLLAPSE: Monday could easily become the most volatile day in the history of the modern world. Every billionaire and power broker is glued to their phone right now, waiting to see if she names them... I will be tracking the hearing live this Monday and will be the first to drop the updates as they happen. But can this be true.. Notifications on.
📢JIM CRAMER says DONALD TRUMP bought Bitcoin for the U.S. strategic reserve during this week’s crash, claiming purchases around $60K. #Write2Earn! $TRUMP
Shiba Inu (SHIB) klesl o 60 % od roku 2021, investoři dávají přednost tomuto levnému kryptografickému protokolu
Myšlenka zbohatnout na internetových mémů je znovu vážně přehodnocována. Zatímco rané dny meme mincí přinesly některé rychlé úspěchy, trh nyní vypadá velmi jinak. Mnoho investorů, kteří drželi populární tokeny se psy, čelí těžší realitě, jak nadšení vyprchává. Pozornost, která dříve přicházela pouze z humbuku, už není dostatečná a uživatelé začínají požadovat skutečný účel.
Ve stejnou dobu se začíná formovat nová generace kryptografických protokolů. Tyto projekty nejsou postaveny kolem trendů na sociálních médiích. Místo toho se zaměřují na vytváření praktických finančních nástrojů s dlouhodobou hodnotou. Tento stabilní posun kapitálu od aktiv řízených humbukem směrem k funkčním systémům se stává jedním z určujících příběhů roku 2026.
VERY IMPORTANT Here’s my thesis on the exact timing of the next cycle bottom. I’m using the horizontal axis (time) to pinpoint the next major capitulation point. Here’s the data regarding the days elapsed from all-time high to cycle low for each era: 1st Halving (2012): 406 days 2nd Halving (2016): 363 days 3rd Halving (2020): 376 days 4th Halving (2024): Pending Based on these historical timeframes, there’s a high statistical probability that the next major bottom will occur in october – november 2026. During that specific window, regardless of price action, aggressive dollar cost averaging is the correct play. I will be accumulating heavily. However, I have already started buying since we entered the $60,000 range, even though the time window hasn't hit yet. Here is the logic behind my strategy. I operate on two dimensions: the horizontal axis (time) and the vertical axis (price). Most retail traders only focus on the Vertical Axis ("I'll buy at X price"). The risk here is obvious: if price doesn't hit your level, you get front-run and miss the entire cycle. The safe zone is often the zone where you get left behind. The horizontal axis is the hedge against that risk. It dictates a "middle-risk, middle-return" approach: when the date arrives, you buy, irrespective of price. By hybridizing these two, I can accumulate with limited downside. Reviewing the $60k call. In october, when BTC was trading at $114,000, I said I would be a strong buyer in the $60,000 range. At the time, sentiment was euphoric. People claimed that a drop to $60k was impossible and that BTC would never fall below $100k again. I don’t spend energy on critics. I stay composed and objective while others are distracted. We have now hit that $60,000 range, and my price thesis played out. However, the risk of missing a lower bottom still exists, which is why we must also prepare for the horizontal axis target: october-november 2026. Summary of the strategy: My accumulation plan is a diversified DCA approach across two axes: 1. Horizontal Axis: Oct-Nov 2026 is a strong BUY (Regardless of price). 2. Vertical Axis: Below $60,000 is a strong BUY (Regardless of time). If either condition is met, I will execute daily buy orders of $500,000. Also, please don’t forget about the institutional-grade on-chain indicator called NUPL. The blue zone on the chart historically signals the absolute generational bottom. – 2018 Bear Market – COVID Crash – 2022 Bottom It caught every single one without exceptions. Currently, we have not yet entered the blue zone. Matter of fact, we’re still pretty far from it. I wouldn’t be surprised to see bitcoin between $45k and $50k by the end of 2026. That’s my ultimate bottom price target, where I’d feel confident going all in. The market is volatile right now, but we will survive this phase and see the next bull run together. I’ve been here since 2013. Have you ever seen BTC crash 99% within minutes because an exchange collapsed? This 50% drop is absolutely nothing, and like I said before, it’s all going according to plan. When I make a new move in the market, I’ll say it here publicly because I want you to win. All you have to do is turn on notifications and pay close attention. Many people will regret not following me sooner, trust me. #Write&Earn $XRP
Bitcoin has a huge problem that nobody talks about.
Is everyone ignoring it on purpose? Possibly.
But bitcoin’s fundamental thesis has changed drastically.
The hard truth? 21 million is no longer the maximum supply.
I’ve been in this game since the Mt. Gox days.
We used to worry about exchange hacks.
Now? We should be worrying about financialization.
If you think bitcoin is purely supply vs. demand, you’re trading a market that doesn't exist anymore.
Maxis won’t tell you this, but bitcoin has been fractionalized.
Wall Street didn’t buy bitcoin to pump your bags and make you rich lol.
They bought it to turn it into a fee-generating instrument, just like they did with gold in the 80s.
The paper bitcoin multiplier:
In the old days, 1 BTC = 1 BTC.
You held the keys, you owned the asset.
Today, thanks to ETFs, lending, and the futures/derivatives complex, one bitcoin can support multiple layers of claims and price exposure at the same time.
Here’s the idea:
1. The Base: 1 real BTC sits with a custodian (backing an ETF or large holder).
2. The Hedge: Market makers and funds use CME futures/options to hedge that exposure.
3. The Leverage: Traders take perp positions (cash-settled) that multiply BTC exposure without touching spot.
4. The Wrapper: BTC can be locked and tokenized (wrapped) for DeFi yield, creating another claim layer.
5. The Note: Banks issue structured products tied to BTC price/volatility. More exposure, more claims.
That’s one coin on-chain.
But it’s FIVE CLAIMS in the order book.
When supply is elastic (via derivatives), scarcity is irrelevant in the short term. They can print infinite paper BTC to absorb demand, capping rallies and forcing liquidations whenever they want liquidity. This is exactly how they destroyed Gold's volatility. Can it be fixed? There’s only one way to make the 21 Million cap real again. Get your coins off exchanges and take self-custody.
🚨 THE REAL REASON BITCOIN IS DUMPING SOLID PROOF!!! No rage bait. Just read this. If you thought $BTC trades like a simple supply-and-demand asset, you MUST hear this. Because that market no longer exists. What’s happening right now is not normal price action. It’s not “weak hands.” It’s not sentiment. And it’s definitely not retail selling. Most people are completely unaware what’s happening. And by the time it becomes obvious, the damage is already done. This move didn’t start today. It’s been building quietly under the surface for months. And now it’s accelerating. Here’s the truth: The moment supply can be synthetically created, scarcity is gone. And when scarcity is gone, price stops being discovered on-chain and starts being set in derivatives. That is exactly what happened to Bitcoin. And it’s the same structural break that already happened to: → Gold → Silver → Oil → Equities Once derivatives took over. The original Bitcoin thesis is broken. Bitcoin’s valuation was built on two ideas: → A hard cap of 21 million → No rehypothecation That framework died the moment Wall Street layered this on top of the chain: → Cash-settled futures → Perpetual swaps → Options → ETFs → Prime broker lending → Wrapped BTC → Total return swaps From that point forward Bitcoin supply became theoretically INFINITE. Not on-chain. But in price discovery, which is what actually matters. Synthetic Float Ratio (SFR). The metric that explains everything. Once synthetic supply overwhelms real supply, price no longer responds to demand. It responds to positioning, hedging, and liquidation flows. Wall Street can now trade against Bitcoin. They’re not guessing direction. They’re doing what they do in every derivatives-dominated market: 1⃣ Create unlimited paper BTC 2⃣ Short into rallies 3⃣ Force liquidations 4⃣ Cover lower 5⃣ Repeat This isn’t “betting.” It’s inventory manufacturing. One real BTC can now simultaneously back: → An ETF share → A futures contract → A perpetual swap → An options delta → A broker loan → A structured note All at THE SAME TIME. That’s six claims on one coin. That is not a free market. That is a fractional-reserve price system wearing a BITCOIN MASK. #Write2Earn!