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Bank of Japan Rate Hike Could Trigger 20-30% Bitcoin Decline as Markets Price 98% Probability
Markets are bracing for a potentially pivotal week for Bitcoin as the Bank of Japan (BOJ) heads into its December 18–19 policy meeting. Expectations point to a near-certain rate hike.
Prediction markets and macro analysts alike are converging on the same conclusion: Japan is poised to raise rates by 25 basis points. Such a move could reverberate far beyond its domestic bond market and into global risk assets, especially Bitcoin.
Bank of Japan Rate Hike Puts Bitcoin’s Liquidity Sensitivity Back in Focus
Polymarket is currently assigning a 98% probability of a BOJ hike, with a measly 2% wagering that policymakers will hold interest rates steady.
The general sentiment among crypto analysts is that this is not good for Bitcoin, with the pioneer crypto already trading below the $90,000 psychological level.
If implemented, the move would take Japan’s policy rate to 75 basis points, a level not seen in nearly two decades. While modest by global standards, the shift is significant because Japan has long been the world’s primary source of inexpensive leverage.
For decades, institutions borrowed yen at ultra-low rates and deployed that capital into global equities, bonds, and crypto, a strategy known as the yen carry trade. That trade is now under threat.
“For decades, the Yen has been the #1 currency people would borrow & convert into other currencies & assets… That carry trade is diminishing now, as Japanese bond yields are rising rapidly,” wrote analyst Mister Crypto.
If yields continue to climb, leveraged positions funded in yen may be unwound, forcing investors to sell risk assets to repay debt.
Liquidity Fears Grow Amid Bitcoin’s BOJ Track Record
The historical backdrop is fueling anxiety in crypto markets. Bitcoin is currently trading at $88,956, down 1.16% in the last 24 hours.
However, traders are focused less on the current price and more on what has happened after previous BOJ hikes.
In March 2024, the price of Bitcoin fell by roughly 23%.
In July 2024, it dropped around 25%.
 Following the January 2025 hike, BTC slid more than 30%.
Against this backdrop, several traders see a troubling pattern, urging investors to brace for volatility this week.
“Every time Japan hikes rates, Bitcoin dumps 20–25%. Next week, they will hike rates to 75 bps again. If the pattern holds, BTC will dump below $70,000 on December 19. Position accordingly,” cautioned analyst 0xNobler.
This week, therefore, analysts see the Bank of Japan as the biggest threat to the Bitcoin price, with a play to $70,000 now in the cards.
Similar projections have been echoed across crypto-focused accounts, with repeated references to a potential drop below $70,000 if history rhymes. Such a move would constitute a 20% drop below current levels.
Yet not everyone agrees that a BOJ hike spells inevitable downside. A competing macro narrative argues that Japan’s tightening, when paired with US Federal Reserve rate cuts, could ultimately be bullish for the crypto market.
Macro analyst Quantum Ascend framed the situation as a regime shift rather than a liquidity shock.
According to this view, Fed cuts would inject dollar liquidity and weaken the USD, while gradual BOJ hikes would strengthen the yen without meaningfully destroying global liquidity.
The result, Quantum Ascend argues, is capital rotation into risk assets with asymmetric upside, crypto’s “sweet spot.”
Still, near-term conditions remain fragile. The Great Martis cautioned that bond markets are already forcing the BOJ’s hand.
“This could trigger the carry trade unwind and cause havoc in equities,” the analyst warned.
The analyst also pointed to broadening tops in major stock indices and globally rising yields as signs of mounting stress.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s price action reflects the uncertainty. The pioneer crypto’s price has been largely flat through December, marking what analysts call a very choppy period into the end of the year.
Specifically, analyst Daan Crypto Trades cites low liquidity and limited conviction ahead of year-end holidays.
With equities flashing topping signals, yields breaking higher, and Bitcoin historically sensitive to Japan-driven liquidity shifts, the BOJ’s decision is shaping up to be one of the most consequential macro catalysts of the year.
Whether it triggers another sharp drawdown or sets the stage for a post-volatility crypto rally may depend less on the hike itself and more on how global liquidity

US Banks Warn OCC Crypto Charters Could Weaken The Banking System
The US banking industry has mounted a coordinated challenge to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency’s (OCC) approach. The pushback targets the regulator’s efforts to integrate cryptocurrency firms into the federal banking system.
On December 12, OCC issued conditional approval of national trust charters for five digital asset firms, including Ripple, Fidelity, Paxos, First National Digital Currency Bank, and BitGo. The bank regulator stressed that the crypto applicants underwent the same “rigorous review” as any national bank charter applicant.
US Banking Industry Challenges OCC’s Move
However, the American Bankers Association (ABA) and the Independent Community Bankers of America (ICBA) argue that the OCC’s actions create a two-tier banking system.
Their central claim is that fintech and crypto firms are being granted prestigious national charters without carrying Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) coverage or meeting traditional capital and liquidity standards required of full-service banks.
The groups contend that this structure encourages what they describe as regulatory arbitrage at the federal level.
By securing a national charter, the crypto firms can benefit from federal preemption of state money transmitter laws. At the same time, they avoid many of the compliance obligations that apply to insured depository institutions.
ABA President Rob Nichols said the approvals “blur the lines” of what constitutes a bank. He further argues that this erosion of definitions risks weakening the integrity of the charter itself.
In his view, expanding trust powers to firms that do not perform traditional fiduciary duties creates a class of institutions that resemble banks in name and scope but lack comparable oversight.
Meanwhile, their concern extends beyond competition.
Banking groups warn that consumers may struggle to distinguish between insured banks and national trust institutions holding large volumes of uninsured crypto assets.
They argue that the OCC has not adequately explained how it would manage the failure of such an entity, particularly if it were holding billions of dollars in digital assets outside the traditional safety net.
ICBA Wants the Charters Halted
The ICBA also directly challenged the OCC’s statutory authority to issue the charters.
The group focused its criticism on Interpretive Letter No. 1176. This guidance enabled trust banks to engage in non-fiduciary activities such as custody of stablecoin reserves.
ICBA President Rebeca Romero Rainey described the move as a “dramatic policy change” that stretches the national trust charter beyond its historical purpose.
“The OCC’s dramatic policy change under Interpretive Letter #1176 is a departure from the role of conventional trust companies and allows for an inconsistent regulatory framework that threatens financial instability — requiring the agency to change course,” Rainey added.
The group argues that the OCC is allowing non-bank fintech firms to effectively borrow the credibility of the US banking system while avoiding the “full scope” of regulations imposed on insured institutions.
Considering this, both trade groups have called for an immediate pause and rescission of the approvals.
They warn that the current framework could produce institutions that the OCC is “not equipped to resolve in an orderly way.” According to them, such a failure could leave traditional banks and the broader financial system exposed.#WriteToEarnUpgrade #BinanceBlockchainWeek #CPIWatch #USJobsData #BTCVSGOLD $BTC $BNB $ETH

Bitcoin Builds Short-Term Strength — $95,000 Now the Level That Matters
Bitcoin is up almost 2% in the past 24 hours and is holding steady above $92,200. The daily chart still looks slow, but the 4-hour chart shows early strength building.
Since short-term charts capture shifts faster, the next few sessions may decide whether Bitcoin finally tests $95,000 — a level experts believe is crucial to the BTC price ascent.
Short-Term Strength Builds, but Not Without Risk
Bitcoin is close to forming a bullish EMA crossover on the 4-hour chart. EMA means exponential moving average. It gives more weight to recent prices, so traders use it to spot early trend changes. A bullish crossover occurs when the faster EMA rises above the slower EMA, indicating increasing buying momentum. Currently, the 50-EMA is on the verge of crossing above the 100-EMA.
The gap between the two EMAs has tightened sharply. If the crossover completes, Bitcoin gets a cleaner path toward $95,700, a key resistance. But Bull Bear Power, which shows who controls each candle, has weakened. If it slips again, the crossover may not complete. That is the main short-term risk here.
Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.
This is also where outside commentary lines up with the chart. Analysts at the all-in-one crypto ecosystem for business B2BINPAY mentioned something similar in an exclusive bit to BeInCrypto:
“Bitcoin is trading in the $92,000–$93,000 level, yet all the attempts to break $95,000 are in vain. It lacks drivers to do it with confidence.
…If that happens, we may see Bitcoin attempting $96k. If the market manages to consolidate above this area, the next step could be a move toward $100k,” they added.
This supports the idea that $95,000 is the real barrier and that short-term strength must hold for long-term gains, even above $100,000 to surface.
Dormancy Rises, and That Could Be the Trigger
Spent Coins Age Band measures how many coins move across holder groups. When the number drops, older coins stay inactive (higher dormancy). That reduces selling pressure and often aligns with rebounds.
The metric has fallen from 24,100 on December 10 to 12,500 today, almost a 50% drop. Similar drops triggered rallies before.
From December 2 to December 9, spent coins fell from 27,800 to 9,200. Bitcoin then climbed around 5%.
Between November 21 and November 24, spent coins dropped. Bitcoin rose from $85,500 to $92,300, an 8% move, over the next few days.
The current drop is smaller, but the pattern is the same. Dormancy rising (spent coins dropping) at the same time the crossover tries to form can be an important combination on a short-term chart.
Short-Term Bitcoin Price Levels to Watch This Week
The first hurdle on the short-term Bitcoin price chart is $93,300. Bitcoin has not closed a 4-hour candle above this level since December 9. A clean move over it opens the path to $94,300.
If the EMA crossover completes and momentum stays strong, $95,700 becomes reachable. This is the line that decides whether Bitcoin can aim for the areas analysts mentioned.
Support sits at $90,800. A drop below it brings $89,300 back into view and delays any attempt at $95,000.
Right now, Bitcoin has three aligned elements: a possible EMA crossover, falling spent-coin activity, and price pushing near resistance. If buyers defend support and the metric trends continue, Bitcoin may finally get a chance to test $95,000 ($95,700 to be precise).

Update on the Collateral Ratio Under Portfolio Margin and the Leverage & Margin Tiers of USDⓈ-M Perpetual Contracts (2025-12-12)
This is a general announcement. Products and services referred to here may not be available in your region.
Fellow Binancians,
Binance will update the collateral ratio and Tiered Collateral Ratio for Portfolio Margin Pro for the following assets under Portfolio Margin from 2025-12-12 06:00 (UTC) . The update will be completed within approximately 30 minutes.The following assets under Portfolio Margin and Portfolio Margin Pro will be adjusted at 2025-12-12 06:00 (UTC):
Assets (Portfolio Margin)
Collateral Ratio (Before)
Collateral Ratio (After)
SXP
30%
10%
DENT
25%
10%
In addition, Binance Futures will update the leverage and margin tiers of the following USDⓈ-M Perpetual Contracts as per the tables below. The update will be completed within approximately one hour.
Please note:
Existing positions opened before the update will be affected;
Futures running grid might expire due to updates on the leverage and margin tiers, users are advised to adjust accordingly before the change.
Updates to Leverage & Margin Tiers:
2025-12-12 06:30 (UTC): NKNUSDT (USDⓈ-M Perpetual Contract)
Previous Leverage and Margin Tiers
New Leverage and Margin Tiers
Leverage Before Change
Position Before Change (Notional Value in USDT)
Maintenance Margin Rate Before Change
Leverage After Change
Position After Change (Notional Value in USDT)
Maintenance Margin Rate After Change
21 - 25x
0 < Position ≤ 5,000
2.00%
NA
11 - 20x
5,000 < Position ≤ 10,000
2.50%
6 - 10x
10,000 < Position ≤ 25,000
5.00%
6 - 10x
0 < Position ≤ 10,000
5.00%
5x
25,000 < Position ≤ 50,000
10.00%
5x
10,000 < Position ≤ 60,000
10.00%
4x
50,000 < Position ≤ 100,000
12.50%
4x
60,000 < Position ≤ 70,000
12.50%
3x
100,000 < Position ≤ 250,000
16.67%
3x
70,000 < Position ≤ 700,000
16.67%
2x
250,000 < Position ≤ 500,000
25.00%
2x
700,000 < Position ≤ 2,500,000
25.00%
1x
500,000 < Position ≤ 800,000
50.00%
1x
2,500,000 < Position ≤ 5,000,000
50.00%
2025-12-12 06:30 (UTC): BRUSDT (USDⓈ-M Perpetual Contract)
Previous Leverage and Margin Tiers 
New Leverage and Margin Tiers 
Leverage Before Change
Position Before Change (Notional Value in USDT)
Maintenance Margin Rate Before Change
Leverage After Change
Position After Change (Notional Value in USDT)
Maintenance Margin Rate After Change
41 - 50x
0 < Position ≤ 500
1.50%
NA
21 - 40x
500 < Position ≤ 5,000
2.00%
21 - 25x
0 < Position ≤ 5,000
2.00%
11 - 20x
5,000 < Position ≤ 10,000
2.50%
11 - 20x
5,000 < Position ≤ 10,000
2.50%
6 - 10x
10,000 < Position ≤ 25,000
5.00%
6 - 10x
10,000 < Position ≤ 25,000
5.00%
5x
25,000 < Position ≤ 50,000
10.00%
5x
25,000 < Position ≤ 50,000
10.00%
4x
50,000 < Position ≤ 100,000
12.50%
4x
50,000 < Position ≤ 100,000
12.50%
3x
100,000 < Position ≤ 250,000
16.67%
3x
100,000 < Position ≤ 250,000
16.67%
2x
250,000 < Position ≤ 500,000
25.00%
2x
250,000 < Position ≤ 2,500,000
25.00%
1x
500,000 < Position ≤ 800,000
50.00%
1x
2,500,000 < Position ≤ 5,000,000
50.00%
2025-12-12 06:30 (UTC): 1000000BOBUSDT and DEGOUSDT (USDⓈ-M Perpetual Contract)
Previous Leverage and Margin Tiers 
New Leverage and Margin Tiers 
Leverage Before Change
Position Before Change (Notional Value in USDT)
Maintenance Margin Rate Before Change
Leverage After Change
Position After Change (Notional Value in USDT)
Maintenance Margin Rate After Change
21 - 40x
0 < Position ≤ 5,000
2.00%
NA
11 - 20x
5,000 < Position ≤ 10,000
2.50%
6 - 10x
10,000 < Position ≤ 25,000
5.00%
6 - 10x
0 < Position ≤ 10,000
5.00%
5x
25,000 < Position ≤ 50,000
10.00%
5x
10,000 < Position ≤ 60,000
10.00%
4x
50,000 < Position ≤ 100,000
12.50%
4x
60,000 < Position ≤ 70,000
12.50%
3x
100,000 < Position ≤ 250,000
16.67%
3x
70,000 < Position ≤ 700,000
16.67%
2x
250,000 < Position ≤ 2,500,000
25.00%
2x
700,000 < Position ≤ 2,500,000
25.00%
1x
2,500,000< Position ≤ 5,000,000
50.00%
1x
2,500,000 < Position ≤ 5,000,000
50.00%
2025-12-12 06:30 (UTC): ALPINEUSDT, ASRUSDT, BELUSDT, BLUAIUSDT, COMMONUSDT, DUSDT, HOOKUSDT, PIPPINUSDT, SYNUSDT, TACUSDT and XNYUSDT (USDⓈ-M Perpetual Contract)
Previous Leverage and Margin Tiers 
New Leverage and Margin Tiers 
Leverage Before Change
Position Before Change (Notional Value in USDT)
Maintenance Margin Rate Before Change
Leverage After Change
Position After Change (Notional Value in USDT)
Maintenance Margin Rate After Change
21 - 50x
0 < Position ≤ 5,000
1.50%
NA
11 - 20x
5,000 < Position ≤ 10,000
2.50%
6 - 10x
10,000 < Position ≤ 20,000
5.00%
6 - 10x
0 < Position ≤ 10,000
5.00%
5x
20,000 < Position ≤ 50,000
10.00%
5x
10,000 < Position ≤ 60,000
10.00%
4x
50,000 < Position ≤ 250,000
12.50%
4x
60,000 < Position ≤ 70,000
12.50%
3x
250,000 < Position ≤ 500,000
16.67%
3x
70,000 < Position ≤ 700,000
16.67%
2x
500,000 < Position ≤ 7,500,000
25.00%
2x
700,000 < Position ≤ 2,500,000
25.00%
1x
7,500,000 < Position ≤ 12,500,000
50.00%
1x
2,500,000 < Position ≤ 5,000,000
50.00%
2025-12-12 06:30 (UTC): AVAAIUSDT, BMTUSDT, BROCCOLI714USDT, DFUSDT, GHSTUSDT, GTCUSDT, HMSTRUSDT, NFPUSDT, PUFFERUSDT, RDNTUSDT, SWARMSUSDT, TLMUSDT, TSTUSDT, TUTUSDT and VICUSDT (USDⓈ-M Perpetual Contract)
Previous Leverage and Margin Tiers 
New Leverage and Margin Tiers 
Leverage Before Change
Position Before Change (Notional Value in USDT)
Maintenance Margin Rate Before Change
Leverage After Change
Position After Change (Notional Value in USDT)
Maintenance Margin Rate After Change
21 - 50x
0 < Position ≤ 5,000
1.50%
21 - 25x
0 < Position ≤ 5,000
2.00%
11 - 20x
5,000 < Position ≤ 10,000
2.50%
11 - 20x
5,000 < Position ≤ 10,000
2.50%
6 - 10x
10,000 < Position ≤ 20,000
5.00%
6 - 10x
10,000 < Position ≤ 25,000
5.00%
5x
20,000 < Position ≤ 50,000
10.00%
5x
25,000 < Position ≤ 50,000
10.00%
4x
50,000 < Position ≤ 250,000
12.50%
4x
50,000 < Position ≤ 100,000
12.50%
3x
250,000 < Position ≤ 500,000
16.67%
3x
100,000 < Position ≤ 250,000
16.67%
2x
500,000 < Position ≤ 7,500,000
25.00%
2x
250,000 < Position ≤ 2,500,000
25.00%
1x
7,500,000 < Position ≤ 12,500,000
50.00%
1x
2,500,000 < Position ≤ 5,000,000
50.00%
2025-12-12 06:30 (UTC): EDENUSDT and ENSOUSDT (USDⓈ-M Perpetual Contract)
Previous Leverage and Margin Tiers 
New Leverage and Margin Tiers 
Leverage Before Change
Position Before Change (Notional Value in USDT)
Maintenance Margin Rate Before Change
Leverage After Change
Position After Change (Notional Value in USDT)
Maintenance Margin Rate After Change
51 - 75x
0 < Position ≤ 5,000
1.00%
NA
26 - 50x
5,000 < Position ≤ 10,000
1.50%
21 - 25x
10,000 < Position ≤ 25,000
2.00%
21 - 50x
0 < Position ≤ 5,000
1.50%
11 - 20x
25,000 < Position ≤ 50,000
2.50%
11 - 20x
5,000 < Position ≤ 10,000
2.50%
6 - 10x
50,000 < Position ≤ 125,000
5.00%
6 - 10x
10,000 < Position ≤ 20,000
5.00%
5x
125,000 < Position ≤ 250,000
10.00%
5x
20,000 < Position ≤ 50,000
10.00%
4x
250,000 < Position ≤ 500,000
12.50%
4x
50,000 < Position ≤ 250,000
12.50%
3x
500,000 < Position ≤ 1,000,000
16.67%
3x
250,000 < Position ≤ 500,000
16.67%
2x
1,000,000 < Position ≤ 7,500,000
25.00%
2x
500,000 < Position ≤ 7,500,000
25.00%
1x
7,500,000 < Position ≤ 12,500,000
50.00%
1x
7,500,000 < Position ≤ 12,500,000
50.00%
#BTCVSGOLD #BinanceBlockchainWeek #USJobsData #BTC86kJPShock #WriteToEarnUpgrade $ETH $BTC $BNB

$ETH Here’s a short analysis of Ethereum (ETH) — what’s going on now and what might come next:

📊 Market & Ecosystem Snapshot

Ethereum remains one of the top-valued cryptocurrencies globally. Its native token, ETH, continues to attract interest from both retail investors and institutions.

Ethereum’s evolution is no longer just about being a “coin” — it’s the backbone of a vast ecosystem including decentralized finance (DeFi), tokenized assets, and decentralized apps (dApps).

🔧 Key Drivers: What Is Powering Ethereum in 2025

Layer-2 scaling & network upgrades: Ethereum’s “Layer-2” (L2) networks — such as rollups — are now carrying a large fraction of traffic. These L2s dramatically lower fees and make transactions faster and cheaper, which should boost adoption.

Staking & PoS economics: Since Ethereum’s switch to Proof-of-Stake (PoS), staking has become a core feature. A significant portion of ETH is locked/staked, supporting network security and offering yield for long-term holders.

Wider institutional interest & real-world use-cases: More institutions appear interested in Ethereum — not just as a speculative asset, but as infrastructure for tokenized assets, DeFi, and other blockchain-native applications.

📈 Recent Trend & Market Behaviour

As of late 2025, Ethereum has seen renewed momentum. While crypto markets remain volatile overall — affected by macroeconomic factors such as interest rates and global risk sentiment — Ethereum appears to be benefiting from its technological strength and ecosystem growth.

Some analysts suggest that if current trends — growth in usage, adoption of L2s and institutional inflows — continue, Ethereum could be positioned for a bullish run.

🔮 Outlook: What to Watch & What’s Not Certain

Potential StrengthsRisks / UncertaintiesContinued growth of L2 networks lowers fees & boosts throughput ✅Much of economic activity might shift off main Ethereum chain — possibly reducing revenue for ETH holders 💡 Staking + PoS makes ETH more sustainable & attractive for long-term holders ✅Broader macroeconomic pressures (inflation, global rate changes) could weigh on crypto demand 📉Real-world asset tokenization & institutional adoption may provide new use-cases ✅Regulatory uncertainty remains a wild card globally — any unfavorable regulation could impact the whole market 🌪️

🧠 My Take: Cautiously Optimistic

Ethereum in 2025 looks like a matured, diversified platform — no longer just a “digital currency,” but a foundational layer for decentralized finance, asset tokenization, and smart-contract-driven applications. If adoption keeps growing and upgrades keep delivering, ETH could continue to perform well in the long run.

That said — like all cryptocurrencies — it remains subject to volatility, macroeconomic swings, and competition from other platforms. Holding ETH as a long-term play (rather than short-term speculation) seems more defensible given the current fundamentals.

If you like — I can also project 3–5 possible future scenarios for Ethereum (e.g. bull, bear, base) with estimated ETH price ranges & key risk factors.
#BTCVSGOLD #BinanceBlockchainWeek #TrumpTariffs #CryptoMarketAnalysis #BTC86kJPShock $ETH
$SOL

$BTC Bitcoin News Today: BTC Holds Near $91K Ahead of Key FOMC Decision
AI Summary
Key Takeaways
Bitcoin price consolidation near $91K with mixed technical signals
Macro uncertainty builds ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting
Traders monitor $92,387 30-day SMA and $89K support for direction
Bitcoin Rebounds As ETF Inflows Return
Bitcoin hovered near $91,000 after recovering from a dip toward the mid-$80,000s earlier in the week. The latest catalyst was a surge in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF demand. Funds recorded $54.79M in inflows on December 5, reversing significant prior outflows and signaling improving institutional confidence.
ARK Invest’s ARKB led with $88M in inflows, even as other issuers saw rotation. The return of ETF engagement added support to short-term bullish momentum, helping BTC reclaim key averages.
Spot exchange activity, however, continued to cool, contributing to a narrow trading range near the $90K–$92K zone.
 
Technical Picture Shows Mixed Momentum
The technical indicators reveal a mix of strength and caution.
Source: TradingView
EMA (10): 90,481 and SMA (10): 90,454 – both supportive of short-term stability
SMA (20): 89,370 – remains a firm nearby floor
SMA (30): 92,387 – immediate resistance and a key marker for broader trend improvement
Longer-term averages such as the SMA (100): 106,506 and SMA (200): 109,093 continue to lean defensive
Oscillators show balanced conditions: RSI at 46, Stochastic at 62, and Momentum at 224 indicating mild upward interest. The MACD level at −2,051, though still negative, aligns with recent signs of stabilizing market structure.
 
Macro Landscape: Rate Cut Expectations In Focus
Market attention has tightened around the December Federal Reserve meeting, to begin tomorrow. Traders priced a very high probability of a 0.25% rate cut, fueling expectations of increased dollar liquidity.
A softer policy stance could strengthen the digital asset narrative, though Bitcoin’s −11.43% 30-day performance reflects lingering uncertainty.
Prediction platforms show a split among traders: some expect year-end prices near $80K, others eye $95K, while a smaller group targets $100K sometime before 2026. This reflects low-confidence positioning ahead of major macro announcements.
 
Analyst Insights Shape Forward Levels
Veteran analyst Peter Brandt highlighted a broadening formation, suggesting potential rotation rather than a breakout. He monitors $80,200 as a crucial support, with a deeper marker near $58,800 if broader selling pressure re-emerges.
Other analysts focus on $89,000 as a stability zone. Reclaiming and holding above that level has remained important for maintaining constructive market sentiment. A move through the 30-day SMA at 92,387 would mark a stronger shift in trajectory.
 
Market Outlook: What to Watch Amid FOMC Catalyst
Bitcoin’s near-term path likely comes down to:
Whether ETF inflows remain steady
How the FOMC frames 2025 policy
Whether BTC can break above $92,387 or risks a slump back toward $BTC $BNB #BTCVSGOLD #BinanceBlockchainWeek #BTC86kJPShock #BinanceAlphaAlert

$ZEC What Is Zcash (ZEC)?
Key Takeaways
Zcash (ZEC) is a cryptocurrency forked from Bitcoin in 2016, designed to offer enhanced user privacy.
The network uses a technology called zk-SNARKs, which is a security protocol that allows transactions to be verified without revealing the sender, recipient, or amount.
Zcash uses the Equihash algorithm for mining, which differs from Bitcoin’s SHA-256, and is best mined using Application-Specific Integrated Circuits (ASICs).
Zcash uses a mining algorithm called Equihash. This is different from Bitcoin’s SHA-256, so miners need specific hardware to mine ZEC.
Introduction
Launched in 2016 by Zooko Wilcox O'Hearn and a group of scientists, Zcash began as a project called Zerocoin (later Zerocash). It was built as a hard fork of the Bitcoin codebase with a specific focus on security and anonymity, allowing users to shield their financial data from public view.
How Zcash Works: Privacy and zk-SNARKs
The core technology used by Zcash is a cryptographic tool known as zk-SNARKs (Zero-Knowledge Succinct Non-Interactive Argument of Knowledge).
In a typical crypto transaction, the network confirms a payment by looking at the sender's address and the amount. It’s like writing a check where everyone can see the details.
In contrast, Zcash offers "shielded transactions,” so you are able to prove you have the money and that you sent it, without actually showing the details. The zk-SNARK technology is used to encrypt the information so the network can say "Yes, this is valid," but nobody else can see the sender, the receiver, or the amount. Still, if users want, they can also make their transactions public, just like Bitcoin.
Hashing algorithms
While Bitcoin uses the SHA-256 hashing algorithm for its Proof of Work (PoW) consensus mechanism, Zcash uses an algorithm called Equihash. This difference means that hardware and software designed for mining Bitcoin are incompatible with Zcash. Also, Zcash uses larger block sizes and different hashing times, aiming for a higher network hash rate.
How to Mine Zcash (ZEC)
Like Bitcoin, Zcash uses a PoW consensus mechanism. ZEC miners have to compete to solve cryptographic problems to produce new blocks and earn block rewards.
While it’s technically possible to mine Zcash coins using standard computers (with operating systems like Linux, Mac, or Docker), the network difficulty has increased significantly since its launch. So, mining ZEC with a personal computer is virtually impossible and rarely profitable.
To mine Zcash effectively, it is recommended to use:
ASIC miners: Application-Specific Integrated Circuits are hardware systems designed specifically for cryptocurrency mining.
Mining pools: By joining a mining pool, miners can combine their computing power to increase efficiency and the likelihood of earning rewards, which are shared proportionally among the pool members.
Who Runs Zcash?
Zcash was originally developed by the Electric Coin Company (ECC). In a move toward decentralization, the ECC transferred the trademark and licenses to the Zcash Foundation. By 2024, the ECC announced its intent to step back further, handing over governance decisions entirely to the Foundation.
However, Zcash’s privacy features also make it more concerning to governments and regulators. This has led to debates about the future adoption of ZEC and other privacy coins in a regulated global economy.
Grayscale Zcash ETF Application
In late 2025, Grayscale, a digital asset manager, submitted an application for a Zcash exchange-traded fund (ETF). If approved, the ETF would allow traditional investors to buy shares representing ZEC through their standard brokerage accounts, without needing to manage crypto wallets or private keys.
Closing Thoughts
Zcash is a crypto project focused on blockchain privacy that uses zk-SNARK technology. Its privacy technology allows people to keep their money transfers confidential without losing the ability to verify transactions.
Further Reading
What Is Bitcoin and How Does It Work?
zk-SNARKs and zk-STARKs Explained 
Hard Forks and Soft Forks Explained 
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