SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry contains POC + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 4.98% wide. The uptrend has lasted 3 hours 59 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 29.41%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
Bitcoin and Ethereum recover as ETF inflows return, while altcoins remain mixed
๐ Bitcoin climbed to around $64,732, while Ethereum reached nearly $1,859. The total crypto market capitalization also rose by approximately 1.05% to $2.21 trillion, indicating an improvement in short-term sentiment.
๐ฐ The main driver was the return of ETF inflows, highlighted by approximately $136.48 million flowing into BlackRockโs IBIT. This suggests that institutional demand is recovering after a period of weaker capital flows.
๐ However, capital remains concentrated primarily in Bitcoin and Ethereum. Altcoins continued to trade unevenly, showing that risk appetite has yet to spread broadly across the market.
โ๏ธ The Fear & Greed Index remained at 36, still within the Fear zone. This suggests the current move is a cautious recovery, with its sustainability likely depending on whether ETF inflows remain positive in the coming sessions.
$XLM โ Liquidation Map (7D) โ Current Price ~0.1902
๐ Price is currently around 0.1902, sitting in a transition zone after the lower long-liq cluster has sharply declined. This is a sensitive area, as short-liq is fairly close above, while several large long-liq clusters remain around 0.185โ0.1796.
๐ข Above the current level, short-liq becomes clearer around 0.1916โ0.1934, then gets denser near 0.1952โ0.1970. The most notable zones are 0.1934 and 0.1952โ0.1970, where short liquidity stands out and could become price magnets if upside momentum is confirmed.
๐ด Below, the nearest long-liq area sits around 0.1901โ0.1850, followed by 0.1832โ0.1814. Further below, the 0.1796โ0.1760 zone still holds large liquidity, so losing the current buffer could allow downside pressure to expand quickly.
โ๏ธ The preferred scenario is to wait for confirmation around 0.1901โ0.1916. A stable breakout higher could open the path toward 0.1934โ0.1952, then 0.1970โ0.2006. On the other hand, losing 0.1901 would increase the risk of a pullback toward 0.1850โ0.1814.
๐ก๏ธ Upside liquidity is fairly close to price, but the lower cluster is still thicker and may create liquidation-sweep noise. Chasing strong candles may carry higher risk, so it is safer to wait for a clear reaction near 0.1916 above or 0.1901 below, with tight risk control.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 2.58% wide. The uptrend has lasted 2 hours 27 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 18.28%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 3.11% wide. The uptrend has lasted 11 hours 30 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 18.16%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
The latest data shows that the correlation between the FGI and Win Rate remains weak and continues to lean negative at approximately r = -0.291. This further supports the view that the FGI is not suitable for predicting price direction or identifying entry points, but it still has practical value for quantifying order risk. Trading performance generally tends to weaken as market sentiment enters extremely euphoric territory, making the FGI more useful as an early risk-warning indicator than as a signal for expanding profit targets.
Below is a summary of Win Rate (WR), minimum break-even R:R, and the number of recorded days (n) across each sentiment zone:
๐ค Extreme Greed (โฅ80): WR 40.5% โข R:R = 1:1.47 โข n = 25 ๐คค Greed (60โ80): WR 45.1% โข R:R = 1:1.22 โข n = 215 ๐ Neutral (40โ60): WR 45.2% โข R:R = 1:1.21 โข n = 150 ๐จ Fear (20โ40): WR 47.1% โข R:R = 1:1.12 โข n = 241 ๐ฑ Extreme Fear (<20): WR 52.4% โข R:R = 1:0.91 โข n = 115
Percentage of days with performance above the overall average of 46.73% in each sentiment zone:
โค Scalpers may use the FGI as a reference for adjusting expected profit targets when entering trades:
๐ When the FGI is high, traders should increase their expected profit target to maintain a sufficiently large R:R and compensate for the decline in win rate.
๐ When the FGI is low, traders may reduce their expected profit target to accelerate capital turnover and realize profits more easily.
Updated as of 2026-07-18, based on community-wide trading ๐ The average win rate is 46.73%
๐ The highest daily win rate was 78.08% on 2026-04-01. The lowest daily win rate was 15.69% on 2026-01-25
๐ Wednesday has the highest average win rate at 47.24%, while Thursday has the lowest at 46.44%
โฑ๏ธ The strongest 7-day period ended on 2026-04-05, with an average win rate of 63.27%. The weakest period ended on 2026-06-24, with an average of 35.60%
โ๏ธ There were 342 days with a win rate above the overall average and 404 days with a win rate at or below the average
๐ There were 212 days with a win rate above 50%, 402 days between 40% and 50%, and 132 days below 40%
SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 2.23% wide. The uptrend has lasted 17 hours 15 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 15.13%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 8.90% wide. The uptrend has lasted 12 hours 45 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 60.35%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
$SOXL โ Liquidation Map (7D) โ Current Price ~135.4
๐ Price is currently around 135.4, sitting in a transition zone after the lower long-liq cluster has sharply declined. This is a sensitive area, as several denser short-liq clusters are positioned above, while notable long liquidity remains around 133.8โ126.8.
๐ข Above the current level, short-liq becomes clearer around 136.4โ137.4, then gets denser near 138.4โ140.4. The most notable zone is 143.4โ145.4, where short liquidity stands out and could become a price magnet if upside momentum is confirmed.
๐ด Below, the nearest long-liq area sits around 133.8โ132.0, followed by 131.0โ128.8. Further below, the 127.8โ124.8 zone still holds notable liquidity, so losing the current buffer could allow downside pressure to expand quickly.
โ๏ธ The preferred scenario is to wait for confirmation around 133.8โ136.4. A stable breakout higher could open the path toward 137.4โ140.4, then 143.4โ145.4. On the other hand, losing 133.8 would increase the risk of a pullback toward 132.0โ128.8.
๐ก๏ธ Upside liquidity is more prominent on the 7-day map, but the lower near-price zone can still create liquidation-sweep noise. Chasing strong candles may carry higher risk, so it is safer to wait for a clear reaction near 136.4 above or 133.8 below, with tight risk control.
SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 2.49% wide. The uptrend has lasted 7 hours 25 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 11.93%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
Upcoming unlock schedule for 50 tokens. Personally, I only focus on Futures trading when it is a Cliff Unlock event and the unlocked amount exceeds 25% of the daily trading volume. If you are focused on long-term investing, these events are still worth monitoring, as they may help you optimize entry points after each unlock.
Currently, there are 6 notable unlock events where the unlock volume is high relative to daily trading volume:
$ENA โ Liquidation Map (7D) โ Current Price ~0.0804
๐ Price is currently around 0.0804, sitting in a transition zone after the lower long-liq cluster has sharply declined. This is a sensitive area, as several fairly dense short-liq clusters are positioned above, while notable long liquidity remains around 0.0792โ0.0764.
๐ข Above the current level, short-liq becomes clearer around 0.0813โ0.0820, then extends toward 0.0827โ0.0841. The more notable zone is 0.0863โ0.0877, where short liquidity stands out and could become a price magnet if upside momentum is confirmed.
๐ด Below, the nearest long-liq area sits around 0.0792โ0.0785, followed by 0.0778โ0.0771. Further below, the 0.0764โ0.0750 zone still holds notable liquidity, so losing the current buffer could allow downside pressure to expand quickly.
โ๏ธ The preferred scenario is to wait for confirmation around 0.0792โ0.0813. A stable breakout higher could open the path toward 0.0820โ0.0841, then 0.0863โ0.0877. On the other hand, losing 0.0792 would increase the risk of a pullback toward 0.0785โ0.0771.
๐ก๏ธ Upside liquidity is more prominent on the 7-day map, but the lower near-price cluster can still create liquidation-sweep noise. Chasing strong candles may carry higher risk, so it is safer to wait for a clear reaction near 0.0813 above or 0.0792 below, with tight risk control.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 1.03% wide. The uptrend has lasted 4 hours 49 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 9.34%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
Crypto Market Overview for July 13โ19: Technical Recovery, but Capital Remains Cautious
๐ The cryptocurrency market traded within a narrow-to-moderate range over the past week. $BTC mainly moved between $61,500 and $65,000, recovering from its early-week low after US June CPI came in below expectations. Ethereum temporarily outperformed Bitcoin, while most altcoins continued to show limited relative strength.
๐ Softer inflation data supported risk sentiment and triggered a notable short squeeze. However, escalating USโIran tensions, the risk of disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, and rising oil prices continued to fuel concerns about energy-driven inflation, preventing the market from sustaining a clear upward move.
๐ฆ ETF flows were the weekโs main bright spot, as US-listed Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs showed more positive momentum following an extended period of outflows. BlackRock and Fidelity continued to lead inflows, indicating a controlled recovery in institutional demand, although the scale remains insufficient to confirm a sustainable uptrend.
๐ The quality of the recovery remained limited. Spot trading volume weakened, network activity showed little improvement, and stablecoin supply continued to contract. Open interest and funding rates also began rebuilding, leaving the market vulnerable to squeezes in either direction if liquidity remains thin.
โ๏ธ Pressure across the mining sector persisted as hashrate and difficulty declined, reflecting an ongoing consolidation among higher-cost operators. Meanwhile, RWA and liquid staking remained comparatively stable, standing out as relative bright spots across the DeFi ecosystem.
โ๏ธ Overall, the market appears to be undergoing a technical recovery and structural repair rather than entering a confirmed new bull trend. ETF inflows are supporting sentiment, but stronger spot demand, stablecoin liquidity, and on-chain activity will be needed to validate a sustainable market transition.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 0.95% wide. The uptrend has lasted 4 hours 1 minute, with the largest recorded price increase at 7.32%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
$ONDO โ Liquidation Map (7D) โ Current Price ~0.343
๐ Price is currently around 0.343, sitting in a transition zone after the lower long-liq cluster has sharply declined. This is a sensitive area, as several short-liq clusters are close above, while notable long liquidity remains around 0.339โ0.324.
๐ข Above the current level, short-liq becomes clearer around 0.350โ0.353, then gets much denser near 0.356โ0.359. The most notable zone is 0.356โ0.359, where short liquidity stands out and could become a price magnet if upside momentum is confirmed.
๐ด Below, the nearest long-liq area sits around 0.342โ0.339, followed by 0.336โ0.333. Further below, the 0.327โ0.324 and 0.312โ0.303 zones still hold large liquidity, so losing the current buffer could allow downside pressure to expand quickly.
โ๏ธ The preferred scenario is to wait for confirmation around 0.339โ0.350. A stable breakout higher could open the path toward 0.353โ0.356, then 0.359โ0.362. On the other hand, losing 0.339 would increase the risk of a pullback toward 0.336โ0.333.
๐ก๏ธ Upside liquidity is more prominent in the short term, but the lower near-price cluster can still create liquidation-sweep noise. Chasing strong candles may carry higher risk, so it is safer to wait for a clear reaction near 0.350 above or 0.339 below, with tight risk control.
Global Chemical Market Week of July 13โ19, 2026: Short-term energy support contrasts with persistent oversupply pressure
๐ข Energy volatility and tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz pushed naphtha prices up by around 7%, supporting propylene, methanol, butadiene rubber and selected polyester feedstocks. However, the gains mainly reflected higher input costs rather than a clear improvement in end-user demand.
๐ Polymer markets remained under pressure, with polypropylene, polyethylene and PVC all weakening. Excess supply in Asia and the slow recovery of construction, packaging and textile demand kept ethylene margins significantly below refining margins.
๐พ Fertilizers were a relative bright spot during the week. Urea and DAP prices were supported by agricultural subsidies, restrictions on sulfur supplies from Russia and Kazakhstan, and shipping risks around Hormuz. The segment may remain firmer than polymers while these supply-side factors persist.
๐ญ Europe continued to reduce chemical capacity due to high energy costs, weak demand and competition from imports. In contrast, China and the Middle East are still expanding integrated petrochemical complexes, increasing oversupply risks for PE, PP, methanol and MEG in the second half of the year.
๐งช Investment is increasingly shifting away from commodity chemicals toward higher-value segments such as specialty silicones, battery materials, electronic chemicals and pharmaceuticals. This reflects a widening divide between margin-pressured commodities and specialty products supported by structural demand.
๐ In the near term, chemical prices will remain sensitive to energy markets and geopolitical developments. Although higher feedstock costs may support selling prices, a sustained recovery in PE, PP and PVC remains unlikely if new Asian and Middle Eastern capacity continues to enter the market.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + meets positive simplification with a previously highly profitable Long order, the current support zone is around 2.82% wide. The uptrend has lasted 2 hours 10 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 17.12%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + meets positive simplification with a previously highly profitable Long order, the current support zone is around 4.25% wide. The uptrend has lasted 9 hours, with the largest recorded price increase at 20.28%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.
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