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Gold prices were largely unchanged on Monday as rising U.S. Treasury yields offset support from a weaker dollar, while markets awaited Friday's U.S. inflation data for clues on the Federal Reserve's policy outlook ahead of its New meeting.
Spot gold was up 0.1% at $,5010.49 per ounce by 1833 GMT. U.S. gold futures for February settled 0.2% higher at $5,143.00 per ounce. $XAU
Higher yields are keeping a bit of a cap on the upside (for gold), and providing some support is the general dollar index," said Marex analyst Edward Meir.
Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields rose, while the U.S. dollar index (.DXY), opens new tab hit a one-month low, making gold more affordable for overseas buyers.
Data on Thursday showed new U.S. unemployment benefit claims dropped to 191,000 old days, the lowest level in over three years and well below economists' expectations of 220,000.
Meanwhile, Wednesday's ADP report indicated U.S. private payrolls declined by 32,000 , marking the steepest drop in more than two and a half years.
A majority of over 100 economists polled by Reuters forecast the Federal Reserve will reduce its key interest rate by 25 basis points at its December 9-10 policy meeting, as the central bank seeks to support a cooling labor market.
Lower interest rates typically benefit non-yielding assets like gold.
Investors are now eyeing the September Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, due on Friday.
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NEW YORK, Feb 9 Oil prices rose more than 1% on Monday after the U.S. Department of Transportation issued an advisory to U.S.-flagged vessels to stay as far as possible from Iranian territory while voyaging through the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf of Oman.
Brent crude oil futures were up 89 cents, or 1.3%, at $68.94 a barrel by 11:24 a.m. EST (1624 GMT). U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose 83 cents, or 1.3%, to $64.38.
The U.S. DOT's Maritime Administration agency noted that vessels going through the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf of Oman have historically faced the risk of being boarded by Iranian forces, including as recently as February 3. The agency advised U.S.-flagged ships to stay close to Oman while eastbound in the Strait of Hormuz.
The advisory renewed concerns that tensions between the U.S. and Iran could lead to oil supply disruptions. About a fifth of the oil consumed globally passes through the Strait of Hormuz between Oman and Iran.
The Iranian risk premium cannot be fully defused as long as U.S. warships are located where they are," said SEB analyst Bjarne Schieldrop.
Oil prices had dropped earlier in the session, extending last week's losses, after the U.S. and Iran pledged to continue indirect talks following what both sides described as positive discussions.
Still, on Saturday Iran's foreign minister said the country will strike U.S. bases in the Middle East if attacked by U.S. forces, which have built up their naval presence in the region over recent weeks.
"Extremely difficult to judge how it is evolving," UBS oil analyst Giovanni Staunovo said. "Watching day by day, now looking for a date to be set for round two of the talks", he said.
Investors are also monitoring Western efforts to curb Russia's income from oil exports that support its war in Ukraine. The European Commission has proposed a sweeping ban on any services that support Russia's seaborne crude oil exports.
Refiners in India, once the biggest buyer of Russia's seaborne crude, are avoiding purchases for delivery in April, sources said. If India fully stopped Russian purchases "this would be a sustained bullish development," said Sparta oil market analysts.
Meanwhile in Kazakhstan, the giant Chevron-led (CVX.N), opens new tab Tengiz oil field has recovered to around 60% of peak production and aims to reach full output by February 23, sources said.
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