分析师余哥

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Global stock markets are all falling, but BTC isn’t following suit. It’s not because it’s that tough—it's because the options expiring on July 31 are protecting <$BTC >.

On July 31, BTC has a massive options settlement with a scale close to $10 billion.

The biggest pain point (Max Pain) is around $64,000. That means a large amount of options open interest expiring near this price could make this level the most favorable for market makers. So before settlement, the price is likely to be pushed and kept oscillating around $64,000.

My view is that before the options expire, BTC could trade in a range around $64,000;

after the options settlement ends and market pressure is released, it may first pull back toward around $61,000. If it holds there, then it could start an upward trend.

In terms of trade ideas: you can short above $64,500, with targets looking at the major support zone at $62,000–$61,000, and move the stop-loss up to around $66,000. <#美联储9比3维持利率不变 >

For the time being, tech stocks can’t really bounce back. The probability of a rate hike in September has increased to 65%, so likely the real bottom-buying opportunity is in August to September. Now I’m planning to cut my tech stock holdings, and then come back to buy the dip in August.
$SKHYNIX

$BTC Intraday trading analysis @分析师余哥

During the Federal Reserve meeting in the early morning, it was mentioned that interest rates would remain unchanged. However, BTC encountered resistance at 64500 and pulled back several times, indicating that market disagreement is still quite large, with both hawkish and dovish views present. So if the market is unwilling to rise, how should we operate next?

First, oil prices have risen now, and Trump stated at the White House that since Iran launched missiles at U.S. military bases in the Middle East, the U.S. will also begin to retaliate and deliver a heavy blow to Iran. Therefore, the international situation is already unclear, and it has even led to significant outflows of safe-haven funds. Brother Yu believes that over the next few days, the probability of rising above 66000 is not high, and the direction still remains bearish 📉.

From the candlestick chart, BTC's four-hour resistance level is 64500. You can open a short position near this level at the current price, with a stop loss at 66000, and target around 63000-62500.

Not only can BTC be traded intraday, crude oil $CL also presents an opportunity. In the previous few days, Brother Yu also said that as long as the Federal Reserve meeting is over, the U.S. will continue to strike Iran, so crude oil can continue to be entered with long positions next. The current price is around 84. Wait for a pullback to around 82-80 to continue entering long positions, with a stop loss at 77, and a target in the 90-95 range.
#WTI与布伦特原油涨超6%

I didn’t notice, but $UNI has already pulled back 40%, and it has also broken through the key resistance level of 3.9.

This independent DeFi rally is very likely led by UNI. If it holds above 3.9, then the entire DeFi sector may well start to recover.

Fans who haven’t positioned for the DeFi sector yet should move quickly—there aren’t many opportunities to set up positions during a bear market.

Right now, most of the funds are returning to UNI—prioritize setting up positions there first.
Second: $AAVE
Third: #UNI

Iran's good times are over! $CL

Mr. President is taking the fight to Iran despite a meeting at the early hours of dawn!

Could something big be coming?

Perhaps the President already knows that interest rates are good news—so that's why he moved to strike Iran?

But we have already laid the groundwork in advance. As for oil, we’ve already secured 100%! Congratulations to the followers who got in on time!

#伊拉克原油出口大幅下降

$SPCX Will a market break-out or reversal be about to happen?

Recently, there have been news reports that institutions are increasing their holdings of spcx. Even Cathie Wood (ARK Invest) has been buying more all the way down—this suggests that the 116 level is something institutions are relatively bullish on. Also, the rocket stock has fallen from the 200 high all the way down to 110, essentially a halving. Retail investors have already lost confidence, so now the rocket is likely at the stage-bottom area.

In terms of trading, you can wait until tonight’s U.S. stock market. If spcx genuinely and effectively breaks above 117, you can chase the long entry and bet on a rebound—riding along with the institutions. The target is simply to push up toward the resistance zone around 128–130.
#SPCX

$BANK once again taking profit!

I’ve already reminded everyone: if the bank breaks below 0.25, the next level is 0.14. Right now we’ve reached the point where Brother Yu also plans to take profit and exit. Don’t go chasing the absolute lowest point—only trade what you understand.

Based on the bank’s current trend, it’s in a choppy downward movement. Without any capital inflow, it could keep a steady grind lower. Compare it to the trend of SYN.

If it rebounds later, you can short with a light position. If you’re not sure how to set up your trades, come to the chat room to find Brother Yu—he’ll give you the levels.
#bank

$SKHY Continue to bargain-buy into Haili Shi!

If you believe in AI, then now is the opportunity!

I’m sure that the most smooth and uninterrupted downtrend for the shorts is likely over. In the next one or two weeks, it will be a range-bound period where the market trades by exchanging positions. If you’ve been shorting at the highs, you can close your shorts in the next few days and switch to a long position.

Then just wait patiently for the AI narrative to keep pushing the rally! Brother Yu has already entered with the initial tranche at a price of 126.8. If it drops further by 10%, add another 20% of your position!

#SK海力士韩股重挫19%

Spot value setup: $UNI

Since Standard Chartered started pumping it, UNI has been moving independently and is even stronger than other major coins. Yu Ge believes the DeFi rally is very likely to explode before August-September. Right now, it has been stuck around 3.8, unable to break above or below, which suggests there is a real large player accumulating and absorbing selling pressure.

The current price of UNI is around 3.8. If you are positioning for spot, the risk-reward is still pretty good. Compared with the 130 USD target mentioned by Standard Chartered, this is still a very low price.

If I were buying spot, I would enter 20% of my position at the current price of 3.8, then add another 20% if it pulls back to the 3.5 support level. Below that, 3.2 would be a heavy-position entry. I don’t aim to buy the absolute bottom, only to avoid missing the move!
#UNI

$HYPE The institution has started reducing its position again, and the near-term selling pressure hasn’t been fully released yet.

Once this round of sell orders is digested and the market’s selling pressure is exhausted, HYPE will most likely have another chance to return to the previous high.

At the moment, around $51 is the key support level. Right now, at $55–$54, the value for money isn’t that attractive, so there’s no need to chase it.

Over the next 5 days, about 6.5 million HYPE tokens will have their unlock/pledge release. At the current price, that’s worth about $400 million. If this portion of supply doesn’t trigger further selling, then once the selling pressure is over, HYPE’s likely phase-level bottom will probably be formed as well.
#hype

$BTC 日内操作思路分析@分析师余哥

Due to the Federal Reserve meeting and U.S. stock earnings reports affecting the past two days, global safe-haven flows have intensified. At present, before the Fed’s results are released, the market will likely remain range-bound. After all, the main players are also waiting for developments to play out, so it’s currently not very easy to see a one-way market move.

From the current candlestick (K-line) action, the 4-hour chart is already showing a range-bound downtrend. If the Fed announces that the interest rate remains unchanged, there is a high probability of a rebound. You can set up long positions at low levels below 63000.

Currently, ETF fund flows are all in a wait-and-see mode. Over these two days, there has only been a small net outflow, so the impact is not significant. Oil prices and the FOMC outcome will be the key trigger for the next turning point!
#BTC

$CL Iran is stubborn and keeps courting disaster again at the Fed meeting!

Right after Iran agreed to target the early hours and the U.S. military base launched missiles, even though everything was intercepted, it still shattered expectations for an unofficial ceasefire. That led to oil prices rising.

This Iranian surprise raid clearly aims to push up oil prices ahead of the Fed meeting, making people around the world worry that inflation will keep rising.

Based on the projections, after the Fed meeting ends, Trump will definitely increase efforts to strike Iran. Last night the price also bounced off support at 79 after falling, and the daily chart has started to show increased volume. The bullish pattern has already taken shape, so it looks like you can enter and go long.

If you place orders according to Yu Ge’s levels of 80 to 79, you should currently be in profit. Congratulations to the fans who followed along.
#原油

$BEAT From buying the dip at 2.8 to now having already doubled profits, and the price is also gradually recovering. Let’s see whether the later trend will replicate that of the bank.

I’ve already prepared a break-even bamboo shoot; I’m making friends with time and letting the bullets fly for a bit!

#beat

Take Profit Again!

Fomo-ing into memecoins can be addictive. This time, $ON grabbed a whole main uptrend move in one go!

It’s sort of like copying off the gains—making back what I earned from my picks on Hynix!

For this rally, Yu Ge also said that the 0.17 resistance level will definitely break—so just be bold and bottom-fish. And as you can see, it’s confirmed my thoughts.

My first target has already been reached. Since Yu Ge is more cautious and steady, he’ll take profit here for now.

Going forward, I’ll keep putting out memecoin content. Everyone can come to the chat room—if there’s any memecoin opportunity, it’ll be notified there right away!

#on

What I’m most sorry for, all things considered, is my family $SKHYNIX

When it comes to bottom-picking US stocks, it’s cutting hands 😖!

I’m down bad. I thought we’d get a decent rebound, but I kept bottom-picking and kept falling.

Those Koreans want to drag the whole world to die with them, but please don’t drag me into it!

I still have my family to support 😭

$BEAT We’ve reached a minor resistance level now and need to consolidate for a while before continuing upward.

If you haven’t entered yet, you can wait for a pullback to below 2.8, then continue to enter. The operator is still managing the market and it won’t directly break down.

The funding situation also supports the beat upward move: spot net inflow over the past 24 hours is 1 million USD.

In the coming days, Brother Yu still expects a bullish trend—just lay low and wait at lower levels to get in.

#美国国债收益率回落

A List of Common Ways Ordinary Traders Get Killed

1. Go all-in with high leverage—one tiny price spike and it’s liquidation.

2. No stop-loss. In your mind: “I’m watching the chart”—until you eventually fall asleep and wake up unconscious.

3. Tight stop-loss with a large position: repeatedly swept out by noise, dying a thousand cuts.

4. You can’t hold when the direction is right; when the direction is wrong, you stubbornly refuse to exit—your risk-reward ratio stays inversely skewed for the long run.

5. Calculate the arbitrage cost using predicted funding rates: profits look positive on paper, but the actual cash flow is negative.

6. Use market orders on illiquid products—slippage eats everything.

7. After a loss, immediately double down to take revenge: turning one controllable drawdown into a graduation.

8. Trading while exhausted late at night: impaired judgment + worse liquidity + a higher frequency of needle-like spikes—triple compounding.

9. Listen to calls, not logic. Others shout “get on,” but no one tells you when to get off.

10. Never review/replicate. The same trap—ten times, each time falling in with a different posture.
$BANK
#SK海力士跌13%韩股KOSPI跌10%

After the “explosion” of $DEXE , many people in the market believe this coin will keep falling, so now a large number of retail traders are shorting it. However, the price hasn’t continued to crash further; instead, it has been ranging around $2–$4. This suggests that someone is quietly taking the other side.

Next, dexe is very likely to replicate zec’s走势;
Step 1: When the “explosion” news comes out, market sentiment turns fearful, and many people start shorting.

Step 2: If nobody is actually taking the other side, the price should keep dropping all the way, even approaching zero. But in reality, it hasn’t—it’s consolidating at low levels.

Step 3: He believes the whales/market makers may be using the sideways range to attract more short sellers. Once enough shorts have accumulated, they then combine it with a positive news catalyst to pump the price and force a short squeeze for profits.

Trading plan

Enter long at the current price: 3.28
Stop loss: 1.2
Take profit: 6.4–13.0, scale out in batches

#dexe

Important Notice!

Tomorrow at 8 AM

Hikvision releases its Q2 earnings report

Can we still fight back? I have family to support.
#海力士 $SKHYNIX