Large Weekly Breakout Candles at Previous Turning Points The chart compares Bitcoin’s weekly price action across three periods: 2019, 2023, and the current 2026 setup. In both earlier examples, price spent time consolidating inside a tightening pattern (shown by the yellow trendlines). That consolidation was then broken by a single large green weekly candle (highlighted in the white boxes). Those oversized bullish candles marked the start of sustained upward moves and are often referred to by traders as “god candles.” The 2026 chart on the right shows a similar structure: a multi-week consolidation followed by a large green weekly candle that has broken above the upper boundary of the pattern, with price currently around the mid-to-high $70,000s. The visual similarity is clear. Whether the current breakout leads to the same type of trend reversal as 2019 and 2023 will depend on follow-through in the coming weeks, but the pattern match is one of the cleaner higher-timeframe comparisons available right now. A large weekly breakout candle appearing in a structure that previously marked important trend reversals.
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US Rice Prices Rise Sharply Since the Iran Conflict Began U.S. rice prices have increased approximately 48% since the start of the Iran war. The conflict and related disruptions in the Middle East have added pressure across parts of the food supply chain. Higher energy and fertilizer costs, shipping delays, and broader inflationary effects have fed into grocery prices. Rice has been one of the more visible examples of the rise. Food-at-home inflation in the United States has also moved higher in recent months, with several categories showing elevated price growth. While not every food item has risen at the same pace as rice, the overall trend points to continued pressure on household grocery bills. The combination of geopolitical tension, higher input costs for farmers, and supply-chain effects has contributed to the noticeable increase in certain staple food prices. A clear example of how the ongoing conflict has translated into higher costs for everyday food items in the U.S. #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ETH #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#
Bitcoin Power Law Model Still Holds The Bitcoin Power Law model plots price on a log scale against a long-term power-law trend. The red line represents the model’s support / fair-value trajectory. The purple line marks the upper boundary. Historically, Bitcoin has spent most of its life oscillating between these two lines, with major cycle lows often forming near or slightly below the red support. In the latest move, price dipped toward the red line in the mid-to-high $50,000s–$60,000s and has since rebounded. The inset chart shows the recent bounce occurring close to that long-term support level. As long as Bitcoin continues to respect the power-law support, the model remains intact and suggests the broader multi-year uptrend is still valid. A sustained break below the red line would be the first major deviation from the pattern that has held for more than a decade. The long-term power-law structure continues to act as a key reference for the current cycle.
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Bitcoin Reclaims the $75,000–$78,500 Zone $BTC has moved back into a key technical range after the recent pullback. Price action shows: > A clear reclaim of the $75,000–$78,500 area that previously acted as both support and resistance > Current trading holding inside the zone around the mid-to-high $70,000s > Significant volume profile activity clustered in this same region, confirming it as an important historical level
This range was lost during the earlier decline and has now been recovered following the strong multi-day rebound from the mid-$60,000s. As long as Bitcoin continues to hold above $75,000, the technical structure keeps higher targets (including the $90,000 area) in play. A decisive close back below the zone would weaken the setup and leave relatively little support until the mid-$60,000s. The market is testing whether the reclaimed $75,000–$78,500 range can serve as a new base.
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Bitcoin ETF Inflows Deliver Strongest Week Since October 2025 Peak U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded their strongest week of inflows since Bitcoin reached its all-time high near $126,000 in October 2025. Daily net inflows over the past five sessions: August 17: $297.56 million August 18: $189.30 million August 19: $517.19 million August 20: $606.29 million August 21: $307.45 million
The combined total for the week reaches approximately $1.92 billion. BlackRock’s IBIT continued to take the large majority of the inflows, consistent with its dominant share of the Bitcoin ETF market. This level of buying marks a clear return of institutional demand after many quieter months and has come alongside Bitcoin’s rebound from the mid-$60,000s back toward the high $70,000s. A significant weekly inflow total that stands as the strongest since the October 2025 peak.
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altcoin mcap is sitting around $196b but there’s still one problem. the market hasn’t broken above this long-term downtrend yet. until that changes, most alts are still fighting for liquidity while bitcoin continues to hold the stronger position. the data backs this up too. btc dominance is still close to 60% and the altcoin season index is only around 37. so even if some alts start making big moves, that doesn’t automatically mean we’re in altseason. i’d want to see this trendline break first. because once altcoin mcap starts reclaiming this structure, the conversation around altseason becomes a lot more serious NO TRENDLINE BREAK, NO CONFIRMED ALTSEASON. #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $XRP #Altcoin Season# #BTC Price Analysis#
Bitcoin 2-Week MACD looks Bullish The 2-week $BTC chart has printed a bullish MACD cross. This higher-timeframe signal has appeared only a limited number of times in recent cycles. The previous two occurrences (highlighted on the chart) took place near major cycle lows — once in the 2021–2022 period and again around the 2022–2023 bottom. In both cases the cross was followed by sustained upward moves over the following months. The current cross is forming as Bitcoin trades near the mid-to-high $70,000s after rebounding from the lower $60,000s. While the MACD is a lagging indicator and does not guarantee future performance, the historical context of the last two 2-week bullish crosses has drawn attention from traders watching for potential cycle turning points. A rare higher-timeframe momentum shift that previously aligned with important bottoms. Do you place weight on this 2-week MACD signal given how the prior two played out?
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A Market maker Wintermute has transferred a notable amount of crypto to Binance and Coinbase in recent hours. The transfers include: > 129,540 SOL worth about $12.42 million sent to Binance > 169.5 BTC worth about $13.11 million also sent to Binance > An additional 407.47 BTC worth roughly $31.36 million routed through intermediary wallets before arriving at Coinbase
The total value of these moves is approximately $57 million. Large transfers from market makers to exchange hot wallets are closely watched. They can signal preparation for selling, providing liquidity, or internal rebalancing. Given the recent price volatility, the size and direction of these transfers have attracted attention. Whether this leads to meaningful selling pressure is still unclear, but the flow of funds toward exchanges is significant. Notable exchange-bound transfers from a major market maker.
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$750 Million in Leveraged Longs Liquidated as $BTC Pulls Back The crypto market has seen a wave of long liquidations over the past 48 hours. Approximately $750 million worth of leveraged long positions have been forced closed as Bitcoin retreated from recent highs near $79,000 back toward the $75,000–$76,000 area. Most major coins are trading lower on the day, with widespread red across the board. This follows the sharp rally earlier in the week that had liquidated billions in short positions. Once price stalled and began to reverse, highly leveraged longs that had chased the upside became vulnerable. The forced selling from those liquidations added further downward pressure in the short term. $BTC is currently holding around the mid-$75,000s to low $76,000s after the pullback. The move shows how quickly leverage can shift from fueling a rally to amplifying a correction. A clear reset of leveraged long positions after the strong multi-day advance. Do you see this pullback as healthy consolidation after the rapid rise, or the start of a deeper correction?
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BlackRock Buys $1.17 Billion of $BTC and $ETH in 48 Hours BlackRock’s ETF wallets have received large inflows over the past two days. According to on-chain data from Lookonchain: > 11,098 BTC (approximately $852 million) > 132,769 ETH (approximately $316 million)
The combined total reaches roughly $1.17 billion. The transfers show multiple batches of Bitcoin moving from Coinbase Prime into BlackRock’s IBIT wallets, alongside Ethereum flowing into its ETHA-related addresses. This activity aligns with the strong weekly ETF inflows reported earlier, including the $1.92 billion week for Bitcoin products. The size of the two-day buying stands out as one of the larger institutional accumulation periods in recent months and comes as Bitcoin has rebounded sharply and overall market sentiment has improved. A clear signal of continued large-scale demand through BlackRock’s Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. #BTC Price Analysis# $BTC $ETH #ETFs #Ethereum
Kalshi Traders Forecast Bitcoin High of $90,000 This Year A traders on the prediction market Kalshi currently expect Bitcoin’s highest price in 2026 to reach approximately $90,000. The forecast has moved higher following Bitcoin’s sharp rebound over the past week, which took the price from the mid-$60,000s back above $75,000–$78,000. Trading volume on the related Kalshi market has exceeded $4.4 million, showing active interest as expectations adjust. The rise in the forecast has been supported by several factors: > Large inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, including a $1.92 billion week > Heavy short liquidations that accelerated the recent price increase > Supportive policy signals and improved overall market sentiment
A move to $90,000 would represent a further advance from current levels while remaining below the previous cycle peak. Prediction markets are now pricing a higher ceiling for Bitcoin before year-end than they were only days ago. An updated year-end high target reflecting the recent improvement in market conditions. Do you think $90,000 is a realistic high for 2026, or do you see potential for a stronger move?
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President Trump says the ultimate intervention on rising bond yields is the military When asked about U.S. bond yields moving higher again after the Treasury’s recent buyback announcement, President Trump said the administration has many ways to intervene. He stated: “We have many types of intervention. The ultimate intervention is our military. And if we have to use that, we will.” The comments came after the Treasury said it would at least double its purchases of longer-term government bonds. That move initially helped push yields lower, but they later climbed back up. Higher long-term yields increase the government’s borrowing costs and can tighten financial conditions across markets. Trump’s remarks signal that further action remains on the table if yields continue to rise. Markets continue to watch the bond market closely because lower yields have recently supported risk assets, including Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. A clear statement that the administration is prepared to act if long-term borrowing costs keep climbing. #BTC Price Analysis# $ETH #Macro Insights# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC
$HYPE just made a new all-time high at $82.43 but there’s actually a lot happening around Hyperliquid right now > the dex has processed more than $5t in cumulative perp volume, > 24h perp volume is around $17b and open interest is sitting above $9b > hyperliquid is also sitting around $6b in tvl and generated roughly $49m in fees over the last 30 days while everyone is looking at the new hype ath, the bigger story is the amount of trading activity happening underneath it people are actually using the dex this is what happens when a trading platform keeps attracting liquidity, traders and volume at the same time hype is making new highs, and hyperliquid’s growth is showing up across the ecosystem too. #BTC Price Analysis# $BTC $HYPE #HyperLiquid #Bullish
$DOGE Outperforming Most of the Top 10 Dogecoin is currently showing stronger 24-hour performance than most of the larger cryptocurrencies by market cap. While Bitcoin is down about 1.57% and Ethereum is only slightly higher, DOGE is up roughly 7.44% on the day. It sits at #10 with a market capitalization near $14.1 billion and a price around $0.0905. Other major names in the top 10 are mixed: > XRP +5.66% > BNB +2.63% > SOL +1.98% > HYPE +5.10%
DOGE’s gain stands out against the more modest moves from the bigger assets above it. The strength comes as the broader memecoin sector has also recovered, with total memecoin market value recently moving back above $30 billion. A clear short-term outperformance by $DOGE within the top 10. Do you see this relative strength continuing, or do you expect it to cool as the larger coins stabilize?
Spot $DOGE ETFs Record Notable Inflows Spot Dogecoin ETFs saw their strongest day of inflows since May. On August 20 the products recorded approximately +$654,000 in net inflows. This followed a stretch with no meaningful inflows since August 4, a period that had led some in the community to question the near-term outlook for DOGE and other mainstream memecoins such as SHIB and PEPE. The return of positive flows comes as the wider memecoin sector has strengthened alongside the broader crypto market rebound. Total memecoin market capitalization has recently moved back above $30 billion, with several large names posting solid gains. While the absolute size of the $DOGE ETF inflow remains modest compared with Bitcoin or Ethereum products, the shift from zero activity back to positive numbers stands out after the quiet stretch. A small but clear improvement in institutional product demand for DOGE.
Hyperliquid HYPE Sets a New All-Time High $HYPE has broken to a fresh record high. The token traded as high as approximately $82.58 earlier and is currently holding in the $77–$80 range. This surpasses the previous all-time high of $76.95 set on June 16. The rally has been supported by several factors: > President Trump’s recent comments that the CFTC is working on a compliant path to bring Hyperliquid into the U.S. market > Strong broader crypto market momentum, with Bitcoin and major coins rebounding sharply > Elevated trading volume and continued interest in the Hyperliquid platform
HYPE has gained significantly over the past week as these catalysts came together. The move higher marks a clear breakout after several months of trading below the prior peak. A new all-time high driven by both regulatory optimism and overall market strength. Do you think $HYPE can hold these higher levels, or do you expect some consolidation after the sharp rise?
Bitcoin ETFs Record $1.92 Billion in Weekly Inflows U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw their strongest week of buying in nearly a year. Net inflows reached approximately $1.92 billion this week. That is the largest weekly total since the week of October 10, 2025, when the funds recorded $2.71 billion. Between those two peaks, the ETF complex experienced roughly 10 months of mostly outflows or only modest buying. Breakdown of the recent activity: > The $1.92 billion figure was built across five consecutive positive sessions. > BlackRock’s IBIT continued to dominate, taking the majority of the inflows (including more than $500 million on one of the strongest days). > Other funds such as Fidelity’s FBTC also contributed, though at smaller levels. > Combined Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF inflows for the week exceeded $2.6 billion, with Bitcoin products accounting for the larger share.
This level of buying marks a clear shift after a long period of weaker institutional demand. It has come alongside Bitcoin’s sharp rebound from the mid-$60,000s back toward the high $70,000s. A significant return of large-scale ETF buying after many quieter months.
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The weekly $BTC chart is once again focused on the 50-week moving average (the blue line). Historically this average has acted as an important line in the sand. When Bitcoin lost it in past cycles (marked by red circles), further downside often followed. When it successfully reclaimed and held the level (green circles), strong rallies frequently came afterward. Right now the 50-week average sits near the low $80,000s. Bitcoin has bounced sharply from the mid-$60,000s and is testing this same area. Research from Galaxy shows that across previous bear markets, reclaiming the 50-week moving average on a weekly close has a high success rate as a signal that the low may already be in (roughly 11 out of 13 cases held). A confirmed weekly close above the average would be viewed by many as a constructive technical development that could open the door toward higher targets over the following months, including the $100,000 region in a stronger scenario. A key long-term moving average is being tested once more. Do you see a successful weekly reclaim of the 50-week average on $BTC as a strong signal that the worst of the recent decline is behind us? #BTC Price Analysis# $XRP #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
#Bitcoin Decouples from Tech Stocks in Recent Rally The chart compares Bitcoin (orange line) with the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (teal line) over 2026. For much of the year the two moved in a similar direction. When tech stocks rose or fell, Bitcoin often followed a comparable path. In the latest move, however, that relationship has broken down. Bitcoin has staged a sharp rebound, climbing strongly from the low-to-mid $60,000s back toward the high $70,000s. At the same time the tech-software ETF has not shown the same strength. The correlation indicator at the bottom of the chart (blue area) has dropped, confirming that the usual link between the two has weakened. In simple terms, $BTC has recently moved higher on its own catalysts — short liquidations, ETF inflows, and policy news — rather than simply tracking the broader tech sector. A clear short-term decoupling from tech stocks.
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$BTC has recovered a large share of its recent losses in a very short time. After spending much of the past three months under pressure — with price drifting lower from the high $70,000s and $80,000s into the low-to-mid $60,000s (and briefly near $58,000 in early July) — the market has staged a sharp rebound. In just the last three days Bitcoin has climbed more than 15–20% from those recent lows, pushing back above $75,000 and testing levels near $78,000–$79,000. Key factors behind the speed of the recovery include: > A large wave of short liquidations that forced buyers into the market > Strong inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, led by BlackRock’s IBIT > Supportive macro news, including the U.S. Treasury increasing long-term bond buybacks > Improved policy tone after the White House crypto meeting
The result is that losses that built over roughly three months have been largely reversed in only a few trading sessions. The speed of the move stands out after a long stretch of quieter or negative price action. A fast and powerful short-term recovery that has rewritten the recent price chart. #BTC Price Analysis# $BTC $ETH #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#