Whale Tracker

Zamyslete se nad tím: V roce 2010 jste měli skutečný výběr. Měli jste možnost koupit zlato za přibližně 1 200 dolarů za unci, nebo Bitcoin za pouhých 8 centů. Obě možnosti byly myšlenky o uchovávání hodnoty, jedna starobylá, druhá zcela nová.
Nyní se podívejte na výsledky z tohoto startovního bodu.

Zlato dnes
· Cena v roce 2010: ~$1,200 za unci
· Aktuální cena: ~$5,080 za unci

· Růst: Přibližně 4x jeho hodnota v roce 2010.

To je solidní, stabilní a důvěryhodné – plní svou úlohu dokonale jako uchovatel hodnoty.

Bitcoin dnes
· Cena v roce 2010: $0.08
· Aktuální cena: ~$88,000

· Růst: Přibližně 1,1 milionu krát jeho hodnota v roce 2010.

Two days ago, someone sent 2.565 BTC (worth ~$181K) directly to the Satoshi Nakamoto Genesis Block wallet—the original, untouched wallet from Bitcoin's birth in 2009.
This isn't a hack. It's a tribute.
The transaction is now permanently embedded in the blockchain, increasing the wallet's legendary holdings to 1.096 million BTC ($77.6B)—a wallet that has never spent a single satoshi.
Some see it as a meme, others as a powerful symbolic act. It's a $181K message written in code, a direct "tip" to the creator of the entire system. A salute to the ultimate HODLer.
In a volatile market of speculation and leverage, this is a pure, unspendable act of respect for the original vision.
What do you think—a profound gesture, or the most expensive meme in crypto history? 🫡
Let's discuss. 👇

Bitcoin gained up to 3% Sunday, but some traders refused to believe that the BTC price crash was over.
Key points:
Bitcoin price comparisons warn that new macro lows are due if the 2022 bear market continues to repeat.
Moving averages and the cost basis of the US spot Bitcoin ETFs are in focus.
Analysis says that a carbon copy of 2022 is not a certainty.
Bitcoin capitulation “hasn’t happened yet”
Data from TradingView showed
BTC crossing $71,000, now up 20% versus Friday’s 15-month lows.
As the weekly close neared, Bitcoin added characteristic volatility, while market participants remained highly skeptical that the rebound would last.
Uploading a chart to X which compared current BTC price action to the 2022 bear market, independent analyst Filbfilb had no good news for bulls.
“Im not going to try to dress it up any way other than how it looks,” he commented alongside a chart showing spot price versus the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA) at $95,300.
Analyst Tony Severino held similar ideas, contributing multiple price indicators and concluding that new lows were all but guaranteed.
$BTC final capitulation hasn't happened yet,” trader BitBull agreed, like Filbfilb referencing 2022.
“A real bottom will form below $50,000 level where most of the ETF buyers will be underwater.”

//Bitcoin bear market not over? Trader sees BTC price 'real bottom' at $50K

Bitcoin bear market not over? Trader sees BTC price 'real bottom' at $50K
Feb 8, 2026, 20:51 GMT+62 min read
BTCUSD+2.76%
Bitcoin BTCUSD gained up to 3% Sunday, but some traders refused to believe that the BTC price crash was over.
Key points:
Bitcoin price comparisons warn that new macro lows are due if the 2022 bear market continues to repeat.Moving averages and the cost basis of the US spot Bitcoin ETFs are in focus.Analysis says that a carbon copy of 2022 is not a certainty.
Bitcoin capitulation “hasn’t happened yet”
Data from TradingView showed BTCUSD crossing $71,000, now up 20% versus Friday’s 15-month lows.

As the weekly close neared, Bitcoin added characteristic volatility, while market participants remained highly skeptical that the rebound would last.
Uploading a chart to X which compared current BTC price action to the 2022 bear market, independent analyst Filbfilb had no good news for bulls.
“Im not going to try to dress it up any way other than how it looks,” he commented alongside a chart showing spot price versus the 50-week exponential moving average (EMA) at $95,300.

Analyst Tony Severino held similar ideas, contributing multiple price indicators and concluding that new lows were all but guaranteed.
“$BTC final capitulation hasn't happened yet,” trader BitBull agreed, like Filbfilb referencing 2022. 
“A real bottom will form below $50,000 level where most of the ETF buyers will be underwater.”

The US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) currently have an average buy-in cost of $82,000, per data from monitoring resource Checkonchain.
BTC price deja vu continues
Earlier, Cointelegraph reported on a key bear market feature for Bitcoin based on two other trend lines: the 200-week simple (SMA) and exponential moving averages. 
Together, they form a “cloud” of support between $58,000 and $68,000.
In one of his latest market takes at the weekend, Caleb Franzen, creator of analytics resource Cubic Analytics, argued that here too, the ghost of 2022 was in play.
In May 2022, Bitcoin retested its 200-week MA cloud. Bulls said ‘that's it, we've retested the long-term moving average & can continue higher now.’ Price immediately rebounded on that zone, produced a long wick, & closed above the midpoint of the weekly range,” he summarized.
“But then that rally faded... Price came back into the 200W MA cloud a few weeks later, failed to rebound, then sliced through the cloud in June 2022. What are we seeing right now? The first retest of the 200W MA cloud with a long wick.”
Franzen note that the market may not replicate the previous bear market “perfectly.”
“The reality is that no one knows what happens next,” he acknowledged.
$USDC

Everyone's asking: is altseason over before it even started?
The short answer? It's delayed, not dead. But it won't look like 2021.
Why the Wait?
New money from Bitcoin ETFs isn't rotating into alts yet. Capital is lazy—it's parking in BTC. Retail isn't FOMO-ing like before. The market needs a fresh catalyst.
Your 3 Altseason Signals:
1. BTC Dominance must break down (below ~54%).
2. Ethereum (ETH/BTC) needs to start leading.
3. We need a new, convincing Bitcoin rally to spark the "wealth effect."
Until then, we're in a "selective season." Money flows to narratives with real use: Real-World Assets (RWA), high-performance chains, and robust DeFi.
Your Move:
· Don't FOMO. Trade the cautious trend.
· Build a quality watchlist (ETH, SOL, high-conviction narratives).
· Use Binance Convert to DCA or Binance Earn to stake and earn yield while you wait.
The impatient get rekt. The prepared get positioned.
What's your take?
1. Bullish & Buying the dip.
2. Cautious & Waiting for a clear signal.
3. Skeptical the old altseason is gone.
Drop 1, 2, or 3 below. Let's see where the crowd stands. 👇

Po léta byl "Bitcoin 4-letý cyklus" konečným plánem. Polovina → akumulace → exploze. Opláchnout a opakovat.
Ale podívejte se na graf. Starý, dokonalý vzor—1064 dní nahoru, 364 dní dolů—se rozpadl. BTC už nesleduje scénář.
Obchodujeme kolem 70 000 USD ne kvůli cyklu, ale protože se hra změnila.
Proč starý cyklus už nevládne:
1. Institucionální zapojení: ETF, firemní pokladny a makro fondy neobchodují na "datum halvingu." Obchodují na likviditě, sazbách a globálním riziku.

Cyklický trh s bitcoinem se vztahuje na opakující se vzor chování cen na trhu s bitcoinem, charakterizovaný střídajícími se obdobími zhodnocení a znehodnocení. Tento cyklus je výsledkem tržního sentimentu, který ovlivňuje aktivitu nákupu a prodeje. Sentiment vůči bitcoinu je ovlivněn různými faktory, včetně regulačních změn, technologického pokroku a širší ekonomiky a tradičních financí (TradFi).

Historicky bitcoin sledoval cyklus o délce čtyř let spojený s událostmi halvingu bitcoinu, které se konají přibližně každé čtyři roky. Událost halvingu znamená snížení odměny za bitcoin pro těžaře o 50 % za těžbu nových bloků a ověřování transakcí. V důsledku toho pokračuje zvyšování nabídky bitcoinu, ale pomalejším tempem, což podporuje deflační principy sítě. Následný efekt vedl k prudkým nárůstům cen, poháněným spekulacemi a poklesem nabídky nových bitcoinů vstupujících do oběhu. Poslední halving proběhl 19. dubna 2024, kdy se odměna za blok snížila z 6,25 na 3,125 bitcoinu. Další halving se očekává v dubnu 2028.