$MUB The most dangerous bubble isn’t on any valuation spreadsheet—it’s in human hearts.
When retail investors begin to believe a cyclical stock has achieved immortality, the ground for reverse trades is laid.
Burry has just shorted Micron, Nvidia, Applied Materials, and the semiconductor ETF SOXX.
He isn’t targeting AI itself—he’s targeting the fact that humans, once again, mistake cycles for faith.
Micron is up 248% this year.
The stock price’s deviation from the 200-day moving average has already exceeded anything seen since 1984—it's not even as absurd as the peak of the dot-com bubble.
But over its 42 years, this company has gone through 34 drawdowns of more than 30%.
The median ROIC is only 4%.
Free cash flow has been negative close to half the time.
This isn’t a “miracle turnaround” stock that suddenly reinvented itself.
It’s a strong cyclical asset reignited by an AI narrative.
Micron’s real problem is that it can’t control its own fate.
Samsung and SK Hynix are expanding production—once supply ramps up, profit margins will be dragged back to earth.
That has happened 34 times in the past 42 years.
Now retail investors are extremely bullish on Micron, with the 90-day news volume surging by 260%.
And the semiconductor index is also sitting high: SOXX is 65% above its 200-day moving average—historically, that has happened only once.
In that instance, the internet bubble later burst.
Burry’s short isn’t betting on technological regression.
He’s betting on human nature repeating itself.
In every bubble, people come to believe this time is different.
And each time the cycle returns, the market tells them:
What’s “different” is only the story.
The ending may still be the same old ledger—what do you think?
I’ll closely monitor and update the latest investment-frontier news! #NVDA #MU_Traders #币圈巴菲特
When retail investors begin to believe a cyclical stock has achieved immortality, the ground for reverse trades is laid.
Burry has just shorted Micron, Nvidia, Applied Materials, and the semiconductor ETF SOXX.
He isn’t targeting AI itself—he’s targeting the fact that humans, once again, mistake cycles for faith.
Micron is up 248% this year.
The stock price’s deviation from the 200-day moving average has already exceeded anything seen since 1984—it's not even as absurd as the peak of the dot-com bubble.
But over its 42 years, this company has gone through 34 drawdowns of more than 30%.
The median ROIC is only 4%.
Free cash flow has been negative close to half the time.
This isn’t a “miracle turnaround” stock that suddenly reinvented itself.
It’s a strong cyclical asset reignited by an AI narrative.
Micron’s real problem is that it can’t control its own fate.
Samsung and SK Hynix are expanding production—once supply ramps up, profit margins will be dragged back to earth.
That has happened 34 times in the past 42 years.
Now retail investors are extremely bullish on Micron, with the 90-day news volume surging by 260%.
And the semiconductor index is also sitting high: SOXX is 65% above its 200-day moving average—historically, that has happened only once.
In that instance, the internet bubble later burst.
Burry’s short isn’t betting on technological regression.
He’s betting on human nature repeating itself.
In every bubble, people come to believe this time is different.
And each time the cycle returns, the market tells them:
What’s “different” is only the story.
The ending may still be the same old ledger—what do you think?
I’ll closely monitor and update the latest investment-frontier news! #NVDA #MU_Traders #币圈巴菲特