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"I have made a lot of people very rich. I know a lot of rich guys. Not one has made money from trading. And not one has made money from being short" -- Tom Lee

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Unpopular opinion: 2025 has been the worst year in crypto history

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Altcoins made a new local low today. Despite eth/btc uptrend Despite btc dominance drop Despite the russel 2000 Despite QT ending Despite Total3 Despite ... "She's just delusional! She knows nothing" Guys I would absolutely love nothing more than say altseason starts tomorrow and join in with all the others sharing 100s of charts why we will. But I've been saying it for quite a while now. PRICE ACTION IS KING. When alts in general are in a downtrend, they are in a DOWNTREND. You can say 100s of reasons why a pinguin will soon be able to fly because it has feathers, it has a beak, it has wings, it's a bird, it lays eggs. But if you don't see the pinguin show the earliest signs of taking flight, it simply won't. Will we eventually reverse? Likely yes. But there is a time and place for everything. Untill it does and untill we see momentum/inflows come in again, it simply won't. Not that difficult to spot a reversal on charts like OTHERS or OTHERS dominance either. It's also a fairy tail made by inexperienced investors that the biggest risk to reward takes place when assets are down 80-90%. Discounts don't care about timing either. Just because an asset is heavily down, doesn't mean it's extremely close of going up soon. The best risk to reward comes after confirmation (your asset will still be 80%+ down don't worry) It's not about being a bull or a bear. The most profitable bulls are those that can put their capital to work when it matters most. There will be a time and place for us. It just won't be tomorrow yet. Because make no mistake: alts are NOT looking bullish. At least not yet.

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You are worshipping the wrong calendar. The "4-Year Cycle" is officially dead. It was never about the Halving code. It was always a proxy for the Public Debt Refinancing Cycle. Post-COVID, that timeline shifted. • The debt maturity structure changed. • The liquidity cycle pushed right. • The bull market extends deep into 2026. Everyone is panic-selling the chop because they think the clock ran out. In reality, the base is just getting bigger. The Halving is a meme. Global Liquidity is the math. I know which one I’m following.

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they’re trying to convert all the bulls left perfect timing 🙂

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