The Market Updates
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WHAT THE ACTUAL F*CK?
Crypto Fear & Greed Index has dropped to 5.
This is lower than:
- April tariffs crash
- August 2024 crash
- FTX crash
- Luna and UST crash
- Covid crash
There has NEVER been so much fear in the crypto market.
Crypto Fear & Greed Index has dropped to 5.
This is lower than:
- April tariffs crash
- August 2024 crash
- FTX crash
- Luna and UST crash
- Covid crash
There has NEVER been so much fear in the crypto market.
Every time the market drops, the same thing happens.
Bitcoin falls and people panic.
Suddenly everyone says:
“Bitcoin is dead.”
“It’s going to zero.”
“It’s a scam.”
“It has no value.”
But this isn’t new:
In 2013, they said it was dead.
In 2015, they said it was over.
In 2018, they said the bubble had popped forever.
In 2022, they said crypto was finished.
And now they’re saying it again.
Every cycle, when the price crashes, people lose hope and forget that this has happened before.
When Bitcoin is going up, everyone calls it the future.
When Bitcoin is going down, everyone calls it a scam.
Years later, when the price recovers, the same people who said “it’s going to zero” will start asking:
“Is it too late to buy?”
Bitcoin falls and people panic.
Suddenly everyone says:
“Bitcoin is dead.”
“It’s going to zero.”
“It’s a scam.”
“It has no value.”
But this isn’t new:
In 2013, they said it was dead.
In 2015, they said it was over.
In 2018, they said the bubble had popped forever.
In 2022, they said crypto was finished.
And now they’re saying it again.
Every cycle, when the price crashes, people lose hope and forget that this has happened before.
When Bitcoin is going up, everyone calls it the future.
When Bitcoin is going down, everyone calls it a scam.
Years later, when the price recovers, the same people who said “it’s going to zero” will start asking:
“Is it too late to buy?”
🚨 BREAKING 🚨
A whale has opened a $37.4 million $BTC short position with 40x leverage.
Liquidation Price: $81,425
A whale has opened a $37.4 million $BTC short position with 40x leverage.
Liquidation Price: $81,425
🚨Global Uncertainty Index reaches Record High, Surpassing:
-Iraq war
-2008 Financial Crisis
-Eurozone Crisis
-COVID-19
- Trade War
We are now living during the most uncertain times in the past 3 decades.
-Iraq war
-2008 Financial Crisis
-Eurozone Crisis
-COVID-19
- Trade War
We are now living during the most uncertain times in the past 3 decades.
BREAKING: The World Uncertainty Index surged past 2020 pandemic highs.
It is now higher than the 2008 Great Financial Crisis and even above the 2001 recession peak.
We are officially living in unprecedented economic times.
It is now higher than the 2008 Great Financial Crisis and even above the 2001 recession peak.
We are officially living in unprecedented economic times.
This weekly close on $BTC will be crucial for bulls. If we don't close green, we might come down lower and sweep $52k.
BREAKING:
🇺🇸 The US House approved a bill that now requires proof of US citizenship and photo ID to vote in federal elections.
🇺🇸 The US House approved a bill that now requires proof of US citizenship and photo ID to vote in federal elections.
🚨 BREAKING:
🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 Trump on Netanyahu's meeting:
- Preference for reaching an agreement with Iran
- If no agreement is reached, Netanyahu will have preference in the next move
- Warns that the last time no agreement was reached, Iran was bombed
- Hopes that this time there will be an agreement, suggesting that if there is no agreement, there could be consequences
"There was nothing definitive reached other than I insisted that negotiations with Iran continue to see whether or not a Deal can be consummated.
If it can, I let the PM know that will be a preference.
Last time Iran decided that they were better off not making a Deal, and they were hit with Midnight Hammer. That did not work well for them."
Hopefully this time they will be more reasonable and responsible."
Source: realDonaldTrump
🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 Trump on Netanyahu's meeting:
- Preference for reaching an agreement with Iran
- If no agreement is reached, Netanyahu will have preference in the next move
- Warns that the last time no agreement was reached, Iran was bombed
- Hopes that this time there will be an agreement, suggesting that if there is no agreement, there could be consequences
"There was nothing definitive reached other than I insisted that negotiations with Iran continue to see whether or not a Deal can be consummated.
If it can, I let the PM know that will be a preference.
Last time Iran decided that they were better off not making a Deal, and they were hit with Midnight Hammer. That did not work well for them."
Hopefully this time they will be more reasonable and responsible."
Source: realDonaldTrump
862,000 JOBS ERASED, THE BIGGEST DOWNWARD REVISION SINCE 2009 FINANCIAL CRISIS.
The annual BLS benchmark revision shows the U.S. economy created far fewer jobs than originally reported.
Total 2025 job growth was cut down to just 181,000 jobs for the entire year.
For comparison:
2024 added 1,459,000 jobs. That’s a massive slowdown year over year.
On average, 2025 saw only about 15,000 jobs added per month after revisions, one of the weakest years for job creation outside recession periods.
This −862K revision is the largest downward revision since the 2009 financial crisis.
Not only that, the total federal employees dropped to 2.68 million, the lowest level in 60 years.
Month by month data was revised lower almost across the board. Some months that originally showed job gains were revised close to zero or negative.
At one point, total employment levels were overstated by over 1 million jobs vs. actual payroll records.
This also continues a pattern:
• 2023 → revised lower
• 2024 → revised lower
• 2025 → revised even more lower
So for three straight years, job growth has been overestimated in real time. Yes, January showed +130K jobs and unemployment at 4.3%.
But that single month strength sits on top of a labor market that was far weaker through 2025 than headline data suggested.
Now if this trend continues, recession risks rise even more because job creation is the backbone of consumer spending and economic growth.
A weaker labor market increases pressure on the Fed to support the economy through rate cuts, liquidity injections, or even QE if conditions deteriorate further.
So while markets focus on today's strong jobs print, the revised data underneath is pointing to a much softer economic backdrop going forward.
The annual BLS benchmark revision shows the U.S. economy created far fewer jobs than originally reported.
Total 2025 job growth was cut down to just 181,000 jobs for the entire year.
For comparison:
2024 added 1,459,000 jobs. That’s a massive slowdown year over year.
On average, 2025 saw only about 15,000 jobs added per month after revisions, one of the weakest years for job creation outside recession periods.
This −862K revision is the largest downward revision since the 2009 financial crisis.
Not only that, the total federal employees dropped to 2.68 million, the lowest level in 60 years.
Month by month data was revised lower almost across the board. Some months that originally showed job gains were revised close to zero or negative.
At one point, total employment levels were overstated by over 1 million jobs vs. actual payroll records.
This also continues a pattern:
• 2023 → revised lower
• 2024 → revised lower
• 2025 → revised even more lower
So for three straight years, job growth has been overestimated in real time. Yes, January showed +130K jobs and unemployment at 4.3%.
But that single month strength sits on top of a labor market that was far weaker through 2025 than headline data suggested.
Now if this trend continues, recession risks rise even more because job creation is the backbone of consumer spending and economic growth.
A weaker labor market increases pressure on the Fed to support the economy through rate cuts, liquidity injections, or even QE if conditions deteriorate further.
So while markets focus on today's strong jobs print, the revised data underneath is pointing to a much softer economic backdrop going forward.
🚨 BREAKING 🚨
Crypto lender "BlockFills" has suspended withdrawals after recent BTC crash.
BlockFills serves 2,000+ institutional clients and handled $60B in trading volume last year.
First domino to fall?
Crypto lender "BlockFills" has suspended withdrawals after recent BTC crash.
BlockFills serves 2,000+ institutional clients and handled $60B in trading volume last year.
First domino to fall?
BREAKING:
🇺🇸 US 2025 payrolls revision came in at -862,000, the largest downward revision since the 2009 Financial Crisis.
🇺🇸 US 2025 payrolls revision came in at -862,000, the largest downward revision since the 2009 Financial Crisis.
INSANE VOLATILITY IN THE MARKETS.
The US stock market and crypto market have erased all their gains made after US unemployment data.
S&P 500 is down -0.3%
Nasdaq is down -0.35%
Russell 2000 is down -1.25%
BTC also dropped below $66,000 while ETH touched $1,900.
The crypto market erased nearly $90 billion and most assets are now trading at their daily lows.
The US stock market and crypto market have erased all their gains made after US unemployment data.
S&P 500 is down -0.3%
Nasdaq is down -0.35%
Russell 2000 is down -1.25%
BTC also dropped below $66,000 while ETH touched $1,900.
The crypto market erased nearly $90 billion and most assets are now trading at their daily lows.
LABOR MARKET SURPRISE SENDS FUTURES HIGHER
US stock futures jumped after job data came in much stronger than expected.
The US economy added 130,000 jobs in January, vs. 66,000 estimated.
Unemployment rate fell to 4.3% vs. 4.4% expected, showing that the labor market is improving.
After the release:
• US futures moved higher
• Gold slipped
• BTC pumped $2,400 from today's bottom and trading near $68,000
It seems like the market now thinks that recession risk is getting lower now.
US stock futures jumped after job data came in much stronger than expected.
The US economy added 130,000 jobs in January, vs. 66,000 estimated.
Unemployment rate fell to 4.3% vs. 4.4% expected, showing that the labor market is improving.
After the release:
• US futures moved higher
• Gold slipped
• BTC pumped $2,400 from today's bottom and trading near $68,000
It seems like the market now thinks that recession risk is getting lower now.
$ETH trying to bounce here, but we may sweep the lows first before moving back up the range. Watching the GP for a potential long.
🚨US JOB DATA JUST SHOCKED EVERYONE
Everyone was waiting for a weak job print after Kevin Hassett's comment yesterday.
But the exact opposite happened.
The unemployment rate came in at 4.3% vs. 4.4% expected.
The US economy added 130,000 jobs in January, the highest since April 2025.
The US private sector added 172,000 jobs in January, the highest level in a year.
This was a strong job report, which means March rate cuts are probably off the table now.
Everyone was waiting for a weak job print after Kevin Hassett's comment yesterday.
But the exact opposite happened.
The unemployment rate came in at 4.3% vs. 4.4% expected.
The US economy added 130,000 jobs in January, the highest since April 2025.
The US private sector added 172,000 jobs in January, the highest level in a year.
This was a strong job report, which means March rate cuts are probably off the table now.
🚨 BREAKING 🚨
🇺🇸 US private sector added 172,000 jobs in January, the highest since Trump took office.
🇺🇸 US private sector added 172,000 jobs in January, the highest since Trump took office.
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