The Market Updates
Crypto Trader Since 2007.
4 Следвани
10.1K+ Последователи
15.4K+ Харесано
1.1K+ Споделено
Публикации
Всички
Оферти
Видеа
Potential breakout long here on #BTC. Need a clean close above $72.2k, wait for retest, then send. The target for this move would be the equal highs.
🚨$9.6 TRILLION IN US DEBT WILL MATURE IN 2026
And this could be one of the most bullish things for the market.
In 2026, over 25% of the entire US debt will mature, worth nearly $9.6 trillion.
Most of the debt was issued during the 2020-21 pandemic in short-term borrowing to fund emergency spending.
A lot of people think that such a huge amount of debt maturing is a bad sign, but here's what they don't know.
Like us, the US government doesn't need to pay its debt, but they simply replace it with new debt.
But there's a problem with it.
In 2020-21, the interest rates were below 1%, and now they are 3.5%-4%.
This means replacing old debt with new debt will cost a lot more in interest payments.
It's expected that US debt interest rate payments will exceed $1 trillion in 2026, the highest on record.
This will put pressure on the budget and will also cause deficits to get bigger.
And that's the exact reason I think it'll be bullish for the markets.
Over and over again in the past, whenever governments have faced this trouble, they have done one thing.
"Lowering the interest rate."
And this time, it won't be any different.
President Trump has already selected a new Fed chair who will replace Powell in May.
The economic conditions are also supporting rate cuts as inflation is dropping while the job market is cooked.
President Trump himself has said repeatedly that interest rates should be much lower, and this will happen in 2026.
And what happens when interest rates drop?
Borrowing gets cheaper, and risk-on assets like crypto go parabolic.
One more thing I would add here is that it'll not happen in a week or month, but most likely by the end of Q2 or Q3 of this year.
And this could be one of the most bullish things for the market.
In 2026, over 25% of the entire US debt will mature, worth nearly $9.6 trillion.
Most of the debt was issued during the 2020-21 pandemic in short-term borrowing to fund emergency spending.
A lot of people think that such a huge amount of debt maturing is a bad sign, but here's what they don't know.
Like us, the US government doesn't need to pay its debt, but they simply replace it with new debt.
But there's a problem with it.
In 2020-21, the interest rates were below 1%, and now they are 3.5%-4%.
This means replacing old debt with new debt will cost a lot more in interest payments.
It's expected that US debt interest rate payments will exceed $1 trillion in 2026, the highest on record.
This will put pressure on the budget and will also cause deficits to get bigger.
And that's the exact reason I think it'll be bullish for the markets.
Over and over again in the past, whenever governments have faced this trouble, they have done one thing.
"Lowering the interest rate."
And this time, it won't be any different.
President Trump has already selected a new Fed chair who will replace Powell in May.
The economic conditions are also supporting rate cuts as inflation is dropping while the job market is cooked.
President Trump himself has said repeatedly that interest rates should be much lower, and this will happen in 2026.
And what happens when interest rates drop?
Borrowing gets cheaper, and risk-on assets like crypto go parabolic.
One more thing I would add here is that it'll not happen in a week or month, but most likely by the end of Q2 or Q3 of this year.
UPDATE: X will NOT offer Crypto and Bitcoin trading directly to its users.
X head of product Nikita Bier has clarified that the platform will not handle trade execution or act as a brokerage.
Instead, X is building Smart Cashtags financial data tools that let users view live prices, charts, and asset information directly from the timeline. Any Buy/Sell actions will redirect users to external brokers or exchange partners for execution.
X head of product Nikita Bier has clarified that the platform will not handle trade execution or act as a brokerage.
Instead, X is building Smart Cashtags financial data tools that let users view live prices, charts, and asset information directly from the timeline. Any Buy/Sell actions will redirect users to external brokers or exchange partners for execution.
🚨 X is integrating stock and crypto trading directly into user feeds through "Smart Cashtags."
When you see $BTC or any ticker symbol, you'll be able to tap it and trade instantly without leaving the app.
This is exactly the kind of product innovation that makes X more useful than just another social media platform.
Elon is really building the everything app.
Source: nikitabier
When you see $BTC or any ticker symbol, you'll be able to tap it and trade instantly without leaving the app.
This is exactly the kind of product innovation that makes X more useful than just another social media platform.
Elon is really building the everything app.
Source: nikitabier
ALTCOINS MAY HAVE ALREADY BOTTOMED AGAINST BITCOIN.
After 12+ months of downside, broken charts, and collapsing sentiment, the structure under the Altcoin market is starting to shift.
The Others Dominance chart which tracks how altcoins perform relative to Bitcoin is flashing early signs of recovery.
Here’s what’s happening right now:
Others dominance has already reclaimed the levels we saw before the October 10th crash.
But, Bitcoin is still trading roughly 42% below its highs from that same period.
So while BTC is still structurally weak, Altcoins are already stabilizing and gaining relative strength. This divergence usually signals seller exhaustion.
If alts were still in heavy distribution, dominance would keep falling.
But it isn’t.
Instead, it has risen 17% in just the last two months which means the forced selling phase in alts may already be behind us.
We saw a similar setup in 2019-2020.
When the Fed ended QE, Bitcoin continued correcting for months. But the Others dominance bottomed and never revisited those lows again, not even during the March 2020 crash.
That marked the start of a multi year alt uptrend. Now add more bullish signals on top:
• RSI on Others dominance has crossed above its moving average for the first time since July 2023, historically this crossover has preceded alt strength phases.
• Russell 2000 just broke its highs after a delayed cycle, small caps often lead liquidity rotation before altcoins move.
• ISM has climbed to 52, highest in 40 months. A move above 55 historically aligns with strong performance in high-beta assets like alts.
• Core inflation just printed a 5-year low which could increase the odds of more Fed easing.
• Gold and Silver rallies are cooling and often this leads to a rotation from hard assets to risk assets.
Structurally, the market is reset:
Most altcoins are still down 80–90%. Leverage has been flushed. Sentiment is near cycle lows. Positioning is extremely light.
Historically, mid-term election year has been bearish for the crypto market, so it's possible that we could see more sideways accumulation until Q3/Q4 before a reversal.
The Others Dominance chart which tracks how altcoins perform relative to Bitcoin is flashing early signs of recovery.
Here’s what’s happening right now:
Others dominance has already reclaimed the levels we saw before the October 10th crash.
But, Bitcoin is still trading roughly 42% below its highs from that same period.
So while BTC is still structurally weak, Altcoins are already stabilizing and gaining relative strength. This divergence usually signals seller exhaustion.
If alts were still in heavy distribution, dominance would keep falling.
But it isn’t.
Instead, it has risen 17% in just the last two months which means the forced selling phase in alts may already be behind us.
We saw a similar setup in 2019-2020.
When the Fed ended QE, Bitcoin continued correcting for months. But the Others dominance bottomed and never revisited those lows again, not even during the March 2020 crash.
That marked the start of a multi year alt uptrend. Now add more bullish signals on top:
• RSI on Others dominance has crossed above its moving average for the first time since July 2023, historically this crossover has preceded alt strength phases.
• Russell 2000 just broke its highs after a delayed cycle, small caps often lead liquidity rotation before altcoins move.
• ISM has climbed to 52, highest in 40 months. A move above 55 historically aligns with strong performance in high-beta assets like alts.
• Core inflation just printed a 5-year low which could increase the odds of more Fed easing.
• Gold and Silver rallies are cooling and often this leads to a rotation from hard assets to risk assets.
Structurally, the market is reset:
Most altcoins are still down 80–90%. Leverage has been flushed. Sentiment is near cycle lows. Positioning is extremely light.
Historically, mid-term election year has been bearish for the crypto market, so it's possible that we could see more sideways accumulation until Q3/Q4 before a reversal.
$BTC is forming a bullish "Adam and Eve" pattern.
A breakout above $72,000 could pump Bitcoin towards $80,000.
A breakout above $72,000 could pump Bitcoin towards $80,000.
🚨A whale has opened a $114 million $ETH long position with 15x leverage.
Liquidation Price: $1,257
Liquidation Price: $1,257
BREAKING: X to offer Crypto and Bitcoin trading to its 1B+ users within weeks.
Product lead Nikita Bier confirmed Smart Cashtags are launching within weeks, letting users trade stocks and crypto directly from the timeline.
Users will be able to tap a ticker, view live price data, charts, and execute trades on the X app directly.
This is another major step for "X" to become an everything app.
Product lead Nikita Bier confirmed Smart Cashtags are launching within weeks, letting users trade stocks and crypto directly from the timeline.
Users will be able to tap a ticker, view live price data, charts, and execute trades on the X app directly.
This is another major step for "X" to become an everything app.
Sam Bankman’s FTX invested $500M in Anthropic and today that stake would be worth $30 BILLION, a 60x return.
Anthropic just raised $30B at a $380B valuation, one of the largest private software rounds ever. FTX entered at around a $2.5B valuation but was forced to sell during bankruptcy near an $18B valuation for just $1.5B.
That’s nearly $28 billion in missed upside from a single investment. For perspective, FTX’s bankruptcy hole was about $9 billion.
Meaning the Anthropic stake they sold early would today be worth multiple times that gap and almost as much as FTX’s own peak company valuation.
Anthropic just raised $30B at a $380B valuation, one of the largest private software rounds ever. FTX entered at around a $2.5B valuation but was forced to sell during bankruptcy near an $18B valuation for just $1.5B.
That’s nearly $28 billion in missed upside from a single investment. For perspective, FTX’s bankruptcy hole was about $9 billion.
Meaning the Anthropic stake they sold early would today be worth multiple times that gap and almost as much as FTX’s own peak company valuation.
🚨 BREAKING:
🇺🇸 Supreme Court sets February 20 as the next possible date for the “TRUMP TARIFF” ruling.
🇺🇸 Supreme Court sets February 20 as the next possible date for the “TRUMP TARIFF” ruling.
THIS IS SHOCKING.
$SOL funding rate has been negative for 16 consecutive days now.
This has only happened twice in Solana history.
September 2023, when SOL was at $20.
November 2022, when SOL was at $8.
$SOL funding rate has been negative for 16 consecutive days now.
This has only happened twice in Solana history.
September 2023, when SOL was at $20.
November 2022, when SOL was at $8.
🚨A whale has dumped 10,900 BTC worth $730 million in just 3 DAYS.
How the f*ck sellers still have coins?
How the f*ck sellers still have coins?
BREAKING:
🇺🇸 US CPI Data: 2.4%
Expectations: 2.5%.
It came lower than expected which shows inflation is cooling.
🇺🇸 US CPI Data: 2.4%
Expectations: 2.5%.
It came lower than expected which shows inflation is cooling.
🚨 BREAKING 🚨
🇺🇸 US CPI came in at 2.4%
Expectations: 2.5%
🇺🇸 US CPI came in at 2.4%
Expectations: 2.5%
🚨 BREAKING 🚨
🇺🇸 US government shutdown odds this week have dropped to 26%.
Finally something good for the markets.
🇺🇸 US government shutdown odds this week have dropped to 26%.
Finally something good for the markets.
Влезте, за да разгледате още съдържание