Crypto-爱币斯坦

Why are they masters? That is the result of thousands of trials and tribulations. How much time, energy and cost have you spent on learning how to trade? If you have spent nothing or very little, then don't ask why others can get results but you can't. I practiced trading for more than eight hours a day. It took two hours a day to find targets. I researched four projects at the fastest every day, and sometimes I could only finish one. The whole team researched all the currencies of Binance and OK very clearly, which took more than half a year. Most people would be numb after just one look at the Google spreadsheet. With so much information, we think the basic information is clear at a glance. Next, we will study the K-line pattern, market maker methods, project structure and operation. This is also the reason why currencies are not shared often. The reason is simple. Olympic gold medalists only have a few minutes or one chance to go on stage, but they have studied and practiced hard for more than ten years! When you see people sharing coins, your cognition is not at the same frequency and level as theirs, and you can't even tell whether the person sharing is an expert or not. So many people often suffer a lot in this regard. They call it paying a lot of tuition fees, but in fact, they have wasted their hard-earned money. They wanted to change their fate in the coin circle, but ended up becoming fuel for others.

Learning is important, and practice is more important. There is a gap in the middle that needs to be crossed. It is very difficult to integrate knowledge and practice.

My confidence comes from the fact that the entire team has been deeply involved in the coin circle for many years and has experienced the trials and tribulations of the coin circle, and the confidence brought by continuous learning and practice. That's why I say that each coin has its own temper, because in my heart they are not just a string of letters but people with life and feelings.

To be honest, we people from Chongqing really are henpecked. What do you call “henpecked”? It means we’re afraid of our wives. Our wives have soft spots, so at home—when the wife tells you to stand up, you don’t dare kneel; when she tells you to kneel on a scrub board, you don’t dare kneel on the remote control! When she says you should sleep on the sofa, you absolutely don’t dare sleep on the toilet!

It feels like only people from Chongqing and Sichuan are like this. Back then, Chongqing was part of Sichuan, and basically they were all together.

I’ve always felt so stifled—I couldn’t be tough. Later, an elder told me the story of Sichuan soldiers going out to fight, and then I finally understood what was going on!

Back then, fighting the Japanese, 3.5 million Sichuan soldiers went out. In the end, only a few came back. Before they left, they told their wives: “If we don’t make it back, then I owe you for this life. In the next life, I’ll repay you.” You see what that means—what kind of thing is that? I listened to it and everything made sense. Then the heavy burdens of life all fell on the women. The wives in that region carried the entire household!

So people from Chongqing and Sichuan are “soft-eared” in that way, but their spine is as hard as iron.

He Yi is also from Sichuan. I don’t know whether her husband is henpecked!

I opened a shop in 6420 to sell a large pancake, planning to lick one and earn enough for a meal.
$BTC
@CZ @Richard Teng @Yi He

To be honest, I really don’t have the ability to fool beginners. I’m also just a nobody. How could I possibly fool beginners? When I post, I often say that beginners shouldn’t touch futures contracts—but they still go ahead anyway, arguing and stomping down on everything, going in heavy and charging in recklessly. Back when I was spreading awareness about avoiding scams and traps, a beginner called me a jerk. So I can’t fool that kind of beginner. I say it, but nobody listens.

I also grew up from being a beginner myself. When I was a beginner, I liked people like this to fool me—big cars and big houses, posting a “receipt” showing you made tens or hundreds of thousands, even with oil money; they’d treat me to meals and take me to sing, and they’d say they wanted to take me to make money, help me get rich overnight. I was truly moved to tears! In the end, after I lost everything, I still had to thank him for taking me.

Later, I realized something was off. Someone with that much ability and a path to get rich should first tell their own mom and dad to invest, then their various cousins and relatives—then their close classmates from primary school all the way to university—then coworkers, and finally, it’s my turn: someone who’s a complete stranger to him. That means I was off the list by ten thousand miles!

I don’t know whether I’ve managed to fool any beginners. For example, I suggest that beginners shouldn’t touch futures contracts and should just hold big BTC instead. You have to know that there’s no such thing as a free lunch. Trading must keep generating profits; don’t think about getting rich overnight, and so on. I want to ask all the beginners here: have I ever fooled you? If so, please leave a comment—so you can prove that I actually have the ability to fool beginners. Otherwise, I really need to find out and learn from someone else how to fool beginners as a professional skill!

@CZ @Yi He @Richard Teng

There’s nothing particularly special to discuss about tonight’s 9 PM live stream. After the market analysis, we’ll move into the casual chat time.

I previously specifically went to Beijing to look at blockchain data and read books about digital currencies. As the settlement system Swift gradually declines and China’s settlement system CIPS gradually rises, I’ve been observing recent developments in China’s blockchain space, while also considering the situation in the United States.

A fact I’m quite certain about is that the public chain sector is going to decline in the future. This is also why major exchanges have started moving into US stocks, precious metals, and commodities. The decline of public chains means that blockchain mining and consensus mechanisms under Ethereum leadership are beginning to fall apart—they can’t absorb shocks coming from traditional finance. There will still be value. Blockchain technology is, after all, a good technology. Different coins will continue to follow a downtrend that represents a return to value.

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@Yi He @大铭哥 @CZ @Richard Teng

$TREE I researched this coin before, and today I took another look. I feel like it’s about to start. Around 0.04 is basically a relatively low price, and the technical setup has also formed a base. I’m going to buy some spot first and see if I can catch some meat.

I originally wanted to go into a futures trade and set the stop loss just above the previous low, but I calculated that it wouldn’t be worth it, so I went straight with spot instead. Anyway, if it breaks below the previous low, I’ll cut the loss!

$TREE
@Yi He @CZ @大铭哥

Guangxi has recently experienced severe flooding. I hope everyone in Guangxi is safe and well.

I specifically checked with @大铭哥 to see how things are over there.

Chongqing also had flooding in the past. When I was studying, our school was flooded!

In Chongqing, the Nanhbin Road area near the Sheraton and the Chaotianmen area were all submerged.

While hoping that people in Guangxi are safe and well, I also want to salute the People’s Liberation Army and firefighters who are fighting on the front lines, as well as the uncles and aunts from all provinces who voluntarily rushed to the disaster site to help with rescue and relief. I hope you all can be safe and well too.

I have gone through a great flood and witnessed the Wenchuan earthquake. Every life deserves our respect.

Respect the market. Respect life!

@Richard Teng @CZ @Yi He

Chongqing has officially entered the "steamer" mode!

I walked for a bit and ended up completely soaked!

Now everyone has switched on the air-conditioning mode. Even in Europe, they’re still arguing whether to turn on the AC—how proper and dignified.

I’m thinking: for the students coming over in July, you really need to mentally prepare—free sauna slimming! The good news is, the rooms have air-conditioning.

Actually, back when there was no air-conditioning, when I was a kid, I lived by the Yangtze River. I’d walk around shirtless, cook the fish caught from the river, and drink beer with it—also pretty enjoyable.

@CZ @Yi He @Richard Teng

My Huawei phone P30 Pro may also need to retire. Remember 2019—it's been with me for 7 years. The system has never been updated. For trading crypto, the older the system the better, because later phones are better at anti-theft; when Uncle Cap enters, he calls to prevent people from being scammed.

Back then, I was working in Beijing. This phone was released in Paris. The coolest thing is the 50x digital zoom—you can shoot the moon! At that time in the crypto market, making 100,000 a day just by lying there sometimes meant waking up to earn several hundred thousand. The coins didn't even move; they just kept growing, tick-tick-ticking. Then I went and showed off, buying the best phone from the Huawei store, and brought it to the company—I really had all kinds of ways to brag. Now I don't have that kind of drive anymore, and I also feel that showing off isn't necessary. When people lack something, they want to show it off the most—whatever they want to show.

Look at my friends' feed—I haven't posted in many years. I think I'm living comfortably. Living as the most genuine version of myself, the most real version, is the real foundation. Everything external will eventually pass; only what you learn inside your head—the ability to continuously create wealth—is what lasts.

I just changed my computer, so I guess I'll have to change my phone again. Sigh. For someone like me, a small fry whose goal is to earn 600 RMB a month, I don't really want to change phones—no three-fold ones, and I don't want to change to an iPhone either. In the end, I'll look for a cheaper Huawei phone that costs a few hundred yuan. Buy it and just make sure it works. Save a bit of money and keep biting the big opportunities.

It really goes with that old saying: life is patched up here and there, and in the crypto world, money is spent like water!

@Richard Teng @Yi He @CZ

It’s about inserting contract pins before entering, and now even large wheat spot is being inserted—contracts aren’t being inserted at all. What’s going on here?
$BTC
@Yi He @Richard Teng @CZ

In the investment research assignment I set for my students, I included both investment-research hype and lit, and then I also did further research on my own.

First, the conclusion: I think if lit can go head-to-head with hype, then at this current price there’s still a 5–15x upside. If operations aren’t kept up, a single wave is basically all you get—likely topping out around 10u, and it’s also possible it won’t even reach 10u before dropping.

I won’t go into the full research details here; it mainly comes down to on-chain data, operations, background, token structure, and so on.

I told him that if he thinks he can buy lit, then he should make his own trading plan, slowly accumulate, and at the same time be prepared for the possibility of a zero-out.

If you missed hype, lit might give you a chance to make up for it. With the lesson from hype, I won’t just analyze and then not get in. For example, in yesterday’s live teaching I analyzed lit, and I ended up going in on the short side—I went ahead with it. If you analyze, then you should act; otherwise, what’s the point of analyzing? Being right while trying to show off isn’t being a pro—only the money you actually make and keep in your own pocket makes you a real expert!

$HYPE $LIT
@Richard Teng @CZ @Yi He

BTC As predicted, it surged quickly and reached 643. I think 643 is achievable. 647 will break through to 655; if it’s extremely bullish, it could even reach 660. If the market maker wants to stir things up, it might push past 672. Then everyone will think the bull market is here, and they’ll keep selling the dip and break down below 60,000.

No matter how it moves, my long position at 62,500 is in hand. If it goes up a bit more, I earn a bit more.

China’s Long March 10th-2 rocket launch was successful, surpassing SpaceX’s Falcon 9. This makes me even more determined to short-spacex to death. China’s recovery is different from Musk’s. Musk’s system must land back on the launchpad; China’s is landing on ships at sea. This means they can build more ships, then keep launching and keep recovering—very high efficiency.

Why is the US-Iran conflict still going up? Because they’ve reached a tacit understanding. This time, the targets attacked are all very low-value. Trump can have a strong dollar and restrain Europe and Asia; the market has no real panic. But Trump has made money again. According to unverified reports, before his taco, his account had already completed adding to long positions in oil!
$BTC
@CZ @Richard Teng @Yi He

I predicted that the big pie would be on the rise. $LIT is gone—just made enough to cover some porridge money.

Originally, this order was for students to do their investment research. When I saw this coin, I analyzed it and did the work.

The ultimate form of contracts is high leverage—go all in with big positions and fight hard! A low win rate with a high risk-reward ratio

The ultimate form and the original form are the same. For example, I used to live on a salary of 20,000 yuan in a month. Then I got rich overnight and then crashed and died. After experiencing the romance and the ups and downs, the coldness of human relationships, seeing the prosperity of the world and also seeing betrayal and treachery, scheming against one another—in the end, when I started trading, I could steadily make tens of thousands of yuan in a month. My income was about the same, but my level, cognition, and mindset were completely different. This is the same principle: the ultimate form of contracts is the same as the beginner form, only the process in between is different.

I remember when I first started trading contracts—I used high leverage, and I died! And now I’m also using high leverage. You definitely can’t guess how many times I’m leveraged.

Coming back to the ultimate form of contracts, you need to go through the following process: Start with 1x, small positions. Increase leverage through continuous practice, increase position size, and your entry and exit points become more and more precise. If someone tells me their win rate is 90% or even 99%, I’ll know they’re not far from dying—because that remaining 1% will wipe them out to zero. The win rate of高手 (experts) won’t exceed 50%. When I first did spot trading, my price point error was about 1,000 points. Through practice I got it down to 500–200 points. And now I’m precise at 50–10.

Why practice to be as precise as possible? It’s to reduce losses and achieve a high risk-reward ratio. If you lose less, and the direction is right, then you can make more. In the middle, you’re continuously getting hit, so your win rate is low. But once you get on the train, you eat big—for example, if your stop loss costs 10 units, then once you’re correct you need to make 100 units. With that risk-reward ratio, even if your win rate is only 20%, you can still make money by doing it continuously. If you earn 100 once, it can let you endure 10 losses. A 20% win rate means you do 10 times, lose 8, win 2. Reaching this stage is the highest level and the ultimate form.

In general, trading contracts means: low win rate, high risk-reward ratio, high leverage, and going all in with heavy positions and hard execution. The low win rate is because you’ll keep trying and making mistakes. The high risk-reward ratio comes from using precision to reduce the stop-loss point range. Don’t trade contracts with low leverage—don’t trade contracts at all. Contracts are basically about using small to win big. Opening 1x or 2x doesn’t make sense! If you’ve identified the target, you must go in hard with heavy positions to make money. If your analysis is only precise but you don’t go heavy and hard, how can you make money? Only analyzing without trading is nonsense! You’re wasting your own energy. This isn’t blind confidence—it’s confidence that comes from repeatedly trading, under a trading system that stabilizes profits. Blind confidence is the best way to send yourself on the road to failure.

$BTC
@Yi He @Richard Teng @CZ

Watched for a while, and then after the 2.5 level, I shorted one hand with $LIT . Why was I shorting here? It’s obvious: after the drop and rebound, there was resistance at 2.5. He pushed up for a moment but didn’t break through. He held steady and didn’t drop. I looked at the volume and price action—saw that the momentum was weakening. So I could short!

@Yi He @Richard Teng @CZ

$LIT

LAB cost price is 0.01, and the institution’s price is even lower—below 0.08. That’s also why I do so much lab work. I’m not greedy at all; once I make a profit, I leave! After all, in my mind it’s as clear as day: the upside is very limited, while the downside is practically infinite. Once I get trapped, I must, immediately, cut losses—otherwise I’d lose a lot!

As for spot, it’s even more impossible to go stash coins at 10 oil. I wouldn’t even stash at 1u. I’m just waiting for it to drop. I can’t go short recklessly either, because when it drops hard, it’s unclear when it might randomly surge back. This project has GSR acting as a market maker, and various exchanges are also pushing it—OKX, MEXC, Gate, Binance Wallet.

If you only look at the price and trade altcoins, you’re basically walking straight into a dead end. Unless you make money and then run. If you try to “talk” (i.e., bargain/argue), then you’re dead!

Forget 2023–2025—so many coins have experienced drops of 100x during that period!
$LAB

The big coin is basically bottoming around 615. Here we should see a rebound—let’s see whether it can rise and break through 643 to 655. I don’t see 672. If it manages to break up to 680, then I think the bull market is coming—but that’s basically unlikely.

My previous prediction was that the big coin might drop to the 607–611 range. I planned to add some spot while entering long positions, but the market didn’t move the way I expected, so we need to go with the flow. If it can’t break down and keeps probing around 615 continuously, then it’s time to get on board.

The outflow from the big-coin ETF has been steadily decreasing. Selling pressure and buy-the-dip/backing power are clearly increasing—this is the signal.

After the hype was strong, lit started to gain momentum. As two leading DEX contract trading platforms, I guess they’re going to fight it out. Recently, it’s worth keeping an eye on them. I don’t recommend buying lit now—it’s already risen. When it first started moving up, I didn’t pay attention and missed the chance.
$BTC
$HYPE
$LIT
@CZ @Richard Teng @Yi He