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🚨 BTC WARNING — THE 4-YEAR CYCLE IS BACK 🚨
Bitcoin’s monthly chart is doing the same thing it has every single cycle.
No exceptions. No misses.
Since 2013, BTC always follows this pattern:
• 2 years of steady growth
• 1 year of explosive bull run
• 1 year of brutal bear market
The bull run peaked in October 2025.
That phase is over.
📉 We are now in the bear market, likely lasting until October 2026.
If history repeats:
BTC may chop around $80k first
Then slide toward ~$50k by October 2026
This is the only indicator that has never failed me.
Save this. I’ll revisit it in October 2026.
No exceptions. No misses.
Since 2013, BTC always follows this pattern:
• 2 years of steady growth
• 1 year of explosive bull run
• 1 year of brutal bear market
The bull run peaked in October 2025.
That phase is over.
📉 We are now in the bear market, likely lasting until October 2026.
If history repeats:
BTC may chop around $80k first
Then slide toward ~$50k by October 2026
This is the only indicator that has never failed me.
Save this. I’ll revisit it in October 2026.
$AXS – Sharp pullback into demand after a vertical impulse.
Long $AXS
Entry: 1.50 – 1.56
SL: 1.42
TP1: 1.64
TP2: 1.78
TP3: 1.98
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, pointing to absorption rather than distribution. Sellers failed to extend downside momentum and structure is still being defended. As long as this zone holds, continuation higher is the cleaner path.
Trade $AXS here 👇
Long $AXS
Entry: 1.50 – 1.56
SL: 1.42
TP1: 1.64
TP2: 1.78
TP3: 1.98
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, pointing to absorption rather than distribution. Sellers failed to extend downside momentum and structure is still being defended. As long as this zone holds, continuation higher is the cleaner path.
Trade $AXS here 👇
$ADA – Everyone’s leaning short, which is usually when it stops working.
Long $ADA
Entry: 0.275 – 0.285
SL: 0.268
TP1: 0.300
TP2: 0.320
TP3: 0.350
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $ADA here 👇
Long $ADA
Entry: 0.275 – 0.285
SL: 0.268
TP1: 0.300
TP2: 0.320
TP3: 0.350
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $ADA here 👇
$RIVER — panic sell done, now watching for the bounce
Long $RIVER
Entry: 13.3 – 13.8
SL: 12.6
TP1: 15.2
TP2: 17.4
TP3: 20.0
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are defending this base after a heavy sell-off and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $RIVER here 👇
Long $RIVER
Entry: 13.3 – 13.8
SL: 12.6
TP1: 15.2
TP2: 17.4
TP3: 20.0
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are defending this base after a heavy sell-off and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $RIVER here 👇
$JELLYJELLY – Bounce looks weak and heavy.
Short $JELLYJELLY
Entry: 0.0555–0.0570
SL: 0.0615
TP1: 0.0520
TP2: 0.0485
TP3: 0.0440
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $JELLYJELLY here 👇
Short $JELLYJELLY
Entry: 0.0555–0.0570
SL: 0.0615
TP1: 0.0520
TP2: 0.0485
TP3: 0.0440
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $JELLYJELLY here 👇
$BCH — panic sweep that didn’t follow through
Long $BCH
Entry: 520–530
SL: 495
TP1: 555
TP2: 580
TP3: 610
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $BCH here 👇
Long $BCH
Entry: 520–530
SL: 495
TP1: 555
TP2: 580
TP3: 610
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $BCH here 👇
$CHESS — relief bounce into sell zone
Short $CHESS
Entry: 0.0270 – 0.0285
SL: 0.0315
TP1: 0.0245
TP2: 0.0220
TP3: 0.0190
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $CHESS here 👇
Short $CHESS
Entry: 0.0270 – 0.0285
SL: 0.0315
TP1: 0.0245
TP2: 0.0220
TP3: 0.0190
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $CHESS here 👇
$FIGHT – Relief bounce into supply
Short $FIGHT
Entry: 0.0065 – 0.0068
SL: 0.0076
TP1: 0.0059
TP2: 0.0053
TP3: 0.0049
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $FIGHT here 👇
Short $FIGHT
Entry: 0.0065 – 0.0068
SL: 0.0076
TP1: 0.0059
TP2: 0.0053
TP3: 0.0049
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $FIGHT here 👇
$XNY – spike faded, no follow-through
Short $XNY
Entry: 0.00430 – 0.00445
SL: 0.00485
TP1: 0.00390
TP2: 0.00340
TP3: 0.00280
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $XNY here 👇
Short $XNY
Entry: 0.00430 – 0.00445
SL: 0.00485
TP1: 0.00390
TP2: 0.00340
TP3: 0.00280
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $XNY here 👇
$我踏马来了 – Vertical pump ran into heavy supply and couldn’t hold the highs.
Short $我踏马来了
Entry: 0.041–0.043
SL: 0.048
TP1: 0.036
TP2: 0.031
TP3: 0.024
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $我踏马来了 here 👇
Short $我踏马来了
Entry: 0.041–0.043
SL: 0.048
TP1: 0.036
TP2: 0.031
TP3: 0.024
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $我踏马来了 here 👇
$COLLECT – Relief bounce into resistance after a full trend unwind.
Short $COLLECT
Entry: 0.041 – 0.044
SL: 0.050
TP1: 0.036
TP2: 0.031
TP3: 0.027
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $COLLECT here 👇
Short $COLLECT
Entry: 0.041 – 0.044
SL: 0.050
TP1: 0.036
TP2: 0.031
TP3: 0.027
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $COLLECT here 👇
🚨 BTC Alert — Pay Attention 🚨
BTC and ETH are flashing danger signs on the 2-hour chart.
Yes, price is still above weekly support — but short-term structure is breaking down fast.
BTC has now printed three lower lows in a row. That’s not random.
Another sweep lower is likely, targeting ~72k.
After that drop, expect a liquidity grab bounce.
And this bounce will decide everything.
⚠️ Two outcomes from here:
🔻 Weak bounce (74k area, then stalls):
This screams continuation down. Support fails. More downside follows.
➡️ Most likely scenario.
🔥 Strong bounce (holds above 75k):
That opens the door for a reversal candle and a fast push toward 80k+.
➡️ Possible, but less likely with lower lows already in play.
As for the BTC & ETH trades shared earlier:
Great reactions off the bottom — but the market flipped again and both were closed at break-even.
📉 Trend is fragile. Volatility is coming. Stay sharp.
Yes, price is still above weekly support — but short-term structure is breaking down fast.
BTC has now printed three lower lows in a row. That’s not random.
Another sweep lower is likely, targeting ~72k.
After that drop, expect a liquidity grab bounce.
And this bounce will decide everything.
⚠️ Two outcomes from here:
🔻 Weak bounce (74k area, then stalls):
This screams continuation down. Support fails. More downside follows.
➡️ Most likely scenario.
🔥 Strong bounce (holds above 75k):
That opens the door for a reversal candle and a fast push toward 80k+.
➡️ Possible, but less likely with lower lows already in play.
As for the BTC & ETH trades shared earlier:
Great reactions off the bottom — but the market flipped again and both were closed at break-even.
📉 Trend is fragile. Volatility is coming. Stay sharp.
This bitcoin crash isn’t normal. It’s uglier — and more dangerous.
Bitcoin has been crushed, down nearly 40% from its October peak. Ethereum is bleeding even worse, sliding for six straight months and losing half its value. Billions have already been wiped out as traders are forced to dump positions.
What’s different this time?
The leverage is snapping.
Easy money trades are blowing up, liquidity is drying up, and fear is spreading fast. This isn’t a calm pullback — it’s a forced unwind.
Once hyped as “digital gold,” bitcoin is now being called what it really looks like: a high-risk bet. As prices fell, crypto-based gold and silver trades collapsed too, dragging parts of the real financial system with them.
Michael Burry is sounding alarms. He says bitcoin’s safety nets are failing. If it breaks $60,000, major holders could face a crisis. At $50,000, miners may go bankrupt and dump their coins, triggering another brutal leg down.
Cracks are already showing. A U.S. bank has shut its doors. More could follow if selling accelerates.
There’s still hope — some firms have cash, and clearer crypto rules could help someday. But right now?
This selloff isn’t about hype cooling off.
It’s about pressure breaking the system.
What’s different this time?
The leverage is snapping.
Easy money trades are blowing up, liquidity is drying up, and fear is spreading fast. This isn’t a calm pullback — it’s a forced unwind.
Once hyped as “digital gold,” bitcoin is now being called what it really looks like: a high-risk bet. As prices fell, crypto-based gold and silver trades collapsed too, dragging parts of the real financial system with them.
Michael Burry is sounding alarms. He says bitcoin’s safety nets are failing. If it breaks $60,000, major holders could face a crisis. At $50,000, miners may go bankrupt and dump their coins, triggering another brutal leg down.
Cracks are already showing. A U.S. bank has shut its doors. More could follow if selling accelerates.
There’s still hope — some firms have cash, and clearer crypto rules could help someday. But right now?
This selloff isn’t about hype cooling off.
It’s about pressure breaking the system.
$GIGGLE — weak bounce after a long bleed, looks like exit liquidity.
Short $GIGGLE
Entry: 37.0 – 38.0
SL: 40.0
TP1: 34.0
TP2: 31.0
TP3: 28.0
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $GIGGLE here 👇
Short $GIGGLE
Entry: 37.0 – 38.0
SL: 40.0
TP1: 34.0
TP2: 31.0
TP3: 28.0
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $GIGGLE here 👇
$ZKP — panic sell got absorbed, bounce wants continuation.
Long $ZKP
Entry: 0.088 – 0.092
SL: 0.075
TP1: 0.102
TP2: 0.118
TP3: 0.135
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $ZKP here 👇
Long $ZKP
Entry: 0.088 – 0.092
SL: 0.075
TP1: 0.102
TP2: 0.118
TP3: 0.135
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $ZKP here 👇
$SYN — blow-off move, now fading strength
Short $SYN
Entry: 0.075–0.080
SL: 0.105
TP1: 0.068
TP2: 0.058
TP3: 0.046
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $SYN here 👇
Short $SYN
Entry: 0.075–0.080
SL: 0.105
TP1: 0.068
TP2: 0.058
TP3: 0.046
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $SYN here 👇
$ASTER – Everyone’s leaning short while price refuses to die.
Long $ASTER
Entry: 0.52–0.54
SL: 0.49
TP1: 0.58
TP2: 0.62
TP3: 0.68
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $ASTER here 👇
Long $ASTER
Entry: 0.52–0.54
SL: 0.49
TP1: 0.58
TP2: 0.62
TP3: 0.68
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $ASTER here 👇
$ZIL – dead-cat bounce into supply
Short $ZIL
Entry: 0.0053 – 0.0056
SL: 0.0062
TP1: 0.0049
TP2: 0.0044
TP3: 0.0038
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ZIL here 👇
Short $ZIL
Entry: 0.0053 – 0.0056
SL: 0.0062
TP1: 0.0049
TP2: 0.0044
TP3: 0.0038
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ZIL here 👇
$STO – Panic sell, now sitting at a level that actually matters.
Long $STO
Entry: 0.0625–0.0650
SL: 0.0580
TP1: 0.0750
TP2: 0.0880
TP3: 0.1050
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $STO here 👇
Long $STO
Entry: 0.0625–0.0650
SL: 0.0580
TP1: 0.0750
TP2: 0.0880
TP3: 0.1050
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $STO here 👇
$EUL – Panic sell into demand
Long $EUL
Entry: 1.05 – 1.08
SL: 0.98
TP1: 1.16
TP2: 1.28
TP3: 1.45
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $EUL here 👇
Long $EUL
Entry: 1.05 – 1.08
SL: 0.98
TP1: 1.16
TP2: 1.28
TP3: 1.45
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $EUL here 👇
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