$BTC Fate seems to be on our side, friends. Maybe it’s destiny 😄 Admin is heading to sleep now 🫡
Remember: if price pulls back from the 72,750 area, set your long orders lower. It’s better to scale in gradually based on your margin to catch a second move. And don’t forget to take profit if price gets close to the daily candle close around 74,040.
$BTC Guys, stay calm and focused. Don’t panic and sell your coins at a loss. This may be the final shakeout, as mentioned earlier. Try to understand how the market is moving.
A drop below 58K would be a tough situation. Those buying around current prices are likely to benefit, while those selling now may regret it later. Choose your side wisely.
Bitcoin's Institutional Test: Navigating Headwinds on the Path to Adoption
While a new wave of institutions from Abu Dhabi to Wall Street quietly builds historic Bitcoin positions, adoption faces stubborn headwinds on multiple critical fronts: nation state momentum, pension funds, corporate boardrooms, and a lagging public narrative. Here’s the uncomfortable scorecard and a suggested plan of action: one we need to build together. In November, Jordi Visser wrote an influential and well reasoned article called "Bitcoin's Silent IPO" which documented the phenomenon dictating distribution of Bitcoin from Long Term Holders. In August last year, I wrote an article to my subscriber base which asked the complementary question "who are the new adopters?" with an analysis suggesting there weren't enough of them, and why. I've decided to make this article public. Not because it analyzes the early signs causes of weak adoption, but because it offers some clues as to what we can do about this. Here is that newsletter in full. Only the last paragraph and title has been changed. The good news For the first time in history, major capital allocators are treating Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset. Hedge Fund Brevan Howard now holds $2.3 billion in Bitcoin. With total Assets Under Management of $35 billion, this represents a significant 6.6% of AUM Bitcoin exposure. Mubadala, Abu Dhabi’s $330 billion sovereign wealth fund, has allocated $681 million to Bitcoin. A modest 0.2%, but a seismic first step. Bhutan, a sovereign nation, has amassed $1.26 billion in bitcoin, acquired through mining, and representing 38% of GDP. These watershed moments world’s first significant hedge-fund to have more than 5% of AUM in Bitcoin world’s first Sovereign Fund to have Bitcoin exposure of more than 1/2 Billion have the potential to positively influence peers in the industry. Meanwhile, wirehouses, and hedgefunds continue to quietly building positions via ETFs, Bitcoin treasury holdings and now, shares in mining companies. The kick in the pants The hard truth is that there’s also been three areas where adoption has slowed/stalled, and three areas where adoption has unwound or stalled in the last year. Nation state adoption: -1 El Salvador’s own finance minister and central bank president both recently confirmed that El Salvador stopped acquiring bitcoin in February 2025 as a condition of their Dec 2024 IMF loan deal for $1.4Billion. Samson Mow recently talked about how he spent 4 years trying to accelerate nation state adoption, and has now pivoted away from the strategy. Strategic Bitcoin Reserves (SBRs): -1 Outside Bhutan, SBRs have seen more recent losses than wins Germany’s state of Saxony sold its stack. UK has floated the idea of selling theirs. US has made very little traction on its SBR. Bo Hines, who led the SBR initiative, resigned (has taken a position at Tether). One administration may purchase, but the next one may sell. The lesson: nation states should not be considered strong hands. Pension Funds: -1
Wisconsin, US’s first pension fund to buy Bitcoin, also became the first one to sell its position (during a 12% dip catalyzed by uncertainty in markets due to tariffs). This matters because it shows pension funds are not necessarily strong hands. Corporate treasury adoption by large pubcos: 0 99.45% of Microsoft shareholder votes were against doing a feasibility study to assess investing in Bitcoin Large corporate adoption moves have been voted down 99%+ against. We know why this was voted down (from my own conversations with those involved). Left-leaning shareholder committees felt that neither Bitcoin nor Michael Saylor’s pitch spoke to their values. Retail: Zzz Concerningly, Bitcoin retail exposure to Bitcoin in US has not increased in the US in the last year (static at 48 Million), while sentiment towards bitcoin has decreased and become more politicized according to a new report from the Nakamoto Project. Adoption races cannot be won though flat growth and fading sentiment. Hearts and Minds Despite improvements in the Bitcoin mining narrative, Bitcoin as a whole is losing the public PR battle. Its story is largely told by its enemies. Inspiring stories about refugee uptake of Bitcoin from DARI and great ESG data from Cambridge has come out this year. But apart from Bitcoin insiders, very few have heard these stories. As a result the shareholders committees, investment committees, ESG committees and boards of patient capital continue to vote down Bitcoin if it even gets to a vote. Bitcoin’s antagonists have large well-oiled publicity and PR machines that speak to the heart. We are fighting them with data, charts and defensive social media battles that appeal only to rational mind. Going forward, that is not going to cut it. Worse, the response has largely consisting of us recycling “the message that orange pilled me”. Problem is, you and I are early adopters, the message that convinces the early adopter is not the same as the one that convinces the early majority. Scorecard If Bitcoiners were a sports team, we’d be asking why we crashed out in several major matches and refining our strategy so it didn’t recur. As it stands, this introspection has been largely absent. Let’s change that. Solutions Happily, there is a lot we can do. Here’s the action we can take together to create a future not of setbacks and stalled adoption, but of vibe-shifts and renewed exponential adoption curves. Start telling our own story, in a professional yet authentic way: Bitcoin urgently needs a targeted PR budget, and a coordinated and authentic PR campaign to capture the hearts and minds of Main Street. Support independent bridge-builders: Cambridge for example has reach to over 350 financial regulators and policymakers; more than 30 sovereign funds. We could easily be working with them to publish more independent research that can educate these groups. Target the areas most likely to succeed: less focus on nations buying bitcoin (hard), more focus on helping nations to mine bitcoin (not as hard). Less focus on nation state adoption, more focus on patient capital adoption. Less focus on EU/US, more focus on MENA (they don’t have multiple years of anti-Bitcoin gaslighting to unlearn) Prioritize NGU²: (Number-Go-Up) AND (Narrative-go-up), like The Bitcoin Stewardship Initiative. Corporate treasuries are necessary, and by themselves they do not inspire the next wave of adopters: Bitcoin bond companies that spearhead restorative agriculture can! Transcend the echo chamber: watching follow-counts on X and doing Bitcoin podcast might feel good: it’s also largely irrelevant to adoption. Time to move onto non-Bitcoin podcasts, in force! More Bitcoin Policy Institutes in more states and more countries. I’ve helped two groups set these up in their state or nation state. We need more. The right message and the right messengers: We need messages and messengers who target the next wave of adopters, not the early adopters. This means showcasing how bitcoin promotes environmental and social justice like no other technology … as well as being a great investment. These are a few of the podcast where we need more Bitcoin voices heard Peter Drucker once said “The best way to predict the future is to create it”. We’re in this together, and providence has gifted us a rare chance not just to watch history but to create it. Most Bitcoiners believe that their actions can directly impact adoption. I agree. Adoption is partly down to Bitcoin having its "www" moment as applications make Bitcoin more accessible, but just as much down us the age-old phenomenon of having the right conversations with the right people. If you have ideas you think would help, please share them below, or DM me. Equally, if you want to know more about some of the ideas and project to increase adoption that are already in motion - reach out. No one person has a monopoly on good ideas. We are all just a node in the network. But together the network is strong. Despite these difficulties, I believe Bitcoin has a bright future. And that future will be all the more worthwhile for the collective proof-pf-work of Bitcoin's human network that made it so.
Even if nothing is fine, at least pretend it is. Mfers are out here fudding their own industry. Praying for Saylor to go bankrupt. Praying for Binance to shut down. Praying for 40k because they’re already too broke to buy the dip. You think the 93% retail still outside crypto is gonna enter watching you idiots celebrate collapse? If you’re rekt, just say you’re rekt. Don’t wish the whole world burns with you. Unite the f**k up. Stop being selfish. This space only survives if we stop eating ourselves.
⚠️ The Ugly Truth Behind Cathie Wood's $1.5M Bitcoin Prediction
Nobody Talks About (The $1M #Bitcoin Trap Exposed) Cathie Wood Just Predicted $1.5M Bitcoin By 2030. Before You Get Excited, Let Me Show You Something Important. Her Prediction Track Record: 1️⃣ November 2020: Target: $400K-$500K 2️⃣ May 2021: Target: $500K By 2026 3️⃣ September 2021: Target: $500K by 2026 4️⃣ January 2022: Target: $1M+ by 2030 5️⃣ February 2023: Target: $1M-$1.48M by 2030 6️⃣ January 2024: Target: $1.5M by 2030 (Raised 50%) 6️⃣ November 2024: Target: Base $650K, Bull $1.5M by 2030 7️⃣ February 2025: Target: Bull $1.5M, Base $710K, Bear $300K 8️⃣ April 2025: Target: Up to $2.4M by 2030 9️⃣ November 2025: Target: $1.2M by 2030 (Reduced from $1.5M) Notice The Pattern? The Target Year Keeps Shifting But The Big Numbers Stay In Headlines. 🔰 Ask Yourself This: If Institutions Truly Believed $BTC Will 15x From Here, Why Would They Tell You? Why Reveal Their “Secret” To Millions Of Retail Investors? Think About It. When They Announce Massive Targets, Retail Holds Expecting $1M While Institutions Quietly Take Profits. Then They Buy Back Cheaper When You Panic Sell The Dip. This Is How Exit Liquidity Works. 🔰 The Reality Check: I Am Not Against Bitcoin Reaching $1M. It Absolutely Can Happen. But Here Is What Nobody Tells You: Bitcoin Is Not Magic. It Does Not 10x Overnight Because Someone On TV Said So. $1M Bitcoin Is Possible But Realistic Timeframe Is 5–10 Years Of Holding Through Multiple Cycles, Crashes And Recoveries. 🔰 My Honest Take: ➡️ Institutions Are Not Your Friends. They Are Not Sharing Alpha, They Are Creating Liquidity. ➡️ When ARK Says Buy, Ask Yourself: Who Are They Selling To? ➡️ Big Targets Make Great Headlines But Terrible Trading Strategies. 🔰 What You Should Do Instead: 👉 Never Make Financial Decisions Based On Influencer Predictions. 👉 Do Your Own Research With Proper Calculations. 👉 Have Your Own Entry And Exit Strategy. 👉 Understand That Wealth Building Takes Time Not Tweets. Summary: 🔹 Yes Bitcoin Can Reach $1M. I Support That Long Term Vision. 🔹 But It Will Take Years Of Patience, Not Months Of Hopium. 🔹 The Difference Between Retail And Institutions? They Have A Plan. Do You? 🔹 Stop Being Exit Liquidity. Start Being Strategic. Save This Post. Your Future Self Will Thank You.
$RIVER is bouncing aggressively, but the broader structure still favors a sell-the-rally scenario rather than a true trend reversal.
SHORT $RIVER — Trade Setup Entry: 14.80 to 15.2 Stoploss: 16.2 Targets: 13.60, 12.90, 11.80
Technical View:
Price is only marginally above the SMA7 and hovering around the EMA30, suggesting this move is corrective, not a fresh trend.
MACD has flipped positive but remains weak, while RSI near 45 shows buyers still lack control. Following a steep 76% weekly selloff, rebounds typically run into strong profit-taking near resistance. As long as RIVER fails to reclaim and hold above 15.5, downside continuation remains the higher-probability path.
$WLFI and $ZKP longs — I’m taking an early exit at these levels.
Both positions have already paid well, so I’m locking in profits while momentum is still on our side . If you entered from the original setups, you can either close here to secure gains or trail your stop to entry and let the rest ride risk-free.
🔥 ALL CALLS GREEN — SOLID SESSION! 🔥 Every setup shared is now in profit with clean execution across the board.
$RIVER, $BDXN , and $DASH are leading the move with the strongest momentum and growth 🚀
If you booked profits on these trades, drop a comment — your support keeps me pushing to spot these moves early. You can let the trend run or lock in gains if you’re satisfied. Discipline always comes first.
Appreciate everyone who trusted the calls. More setups coming — stay locked in 🔥📈
$BTC January 2026 closed at 78,738, and that level now acts as the median for trading within the weekly range. As long as the weekly close stays below the monthly close, the broader bias remains bearish.
If you’re looking for shorts, this area still makes sense, with a stop placed near the average high around 79,220.
For longs, opportunities only exist lower down, in the oversold region. The bearish structure only truly shifts once the weekly timeframe starts to accumulate again.
This is not investment advice.
A weekly close below 76,500 changes the picture entirely. A close above 78,500 is a different scenario as well.
If accumulation does develop, a retracement toward 86,500 is possible. Given how unstable conditions are right now, limiting yourself to a few well-chosen trades per week is the sensible approach.
Classic Dump Incoming 😳😳 $XAG short signal triggered. Negative news across traditional assets suggests we could see a sharp dump tonight or by tomorrow morning. If an opportunity presents itself, consider shorting these pairs accordingly. Always do your own research.