📉 Top 5 Bear Run "Call-Out" Indicators: Is It Time to Exit? 🚪
Many investors are asking the same question: Has the bear run officially begun? 🐻 After the $126k peaks of late 2025, the market is at a crossroads. Here are 5 key indicators and where they stand right now in January 2026:
1️⃣ MVRV Z-Score (The Valuation Check) ⚖️ This on-chain metric tracks if Bitcoin is "overvalued" or "undervalued" relative to its fair value. The Signal: When the Z-Score enters the Red Zone (7–9), the top is usually in. 🚨 Current Status: NEUTRAL. 🟡 We are sitting around 1.12. This suggests we aren't at a cycle top yet, but the "overheated" euphoria of late 2025 has definitely cooled off. 2️⃣ The 1-Year Moving Average (MA) 📈 Analysts use the 1-year MA as the ultimate "line in the sand" for long-term trends. The Signal: A decisive daily close below the 1-year MA often confirms a multi-month bear phase. 📉 Current Status: CAUTION. ⚠️ Bitcoin is currently testing critical support near $80k–$83k. A break below this range could trigger a bearish confirmation.
3️⃣ RSI (Relative Strength Index) ⚡ The RSI measures the speed and change of price movements. The Signal: On the weekly timeframe, an RSI dropping below 50 signals lost momentum. Current Status: OVERSOLD. 📉 Daily RSI is hovering near 33–35. While it looks bearish, it often precedes a "relief bounce." The real test is whether we can break back into bullish territory. 4️⃣ ETF Net Flows (The Institutional Giant) 🏦 In 2026, institutional money via Spot ETFs is the biggest driver of price. The Signal: Consecutive weeks of Net Outflows signal that "Smart Money" is de-risking. 💸 Current Status: BEARISH. 🔴 We recently saw a massive weekly outflow of $1.1B+. If the big players continue to exit, the retail crowd usually follows.
5️⃣ Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) 💵 When stablecoin supply on exchanges drops, there is less "dry powder" to buy the dips. The Signal: A declining stablecoin market cap often leads to price exhaustion. 🥀 Current Status: FLAT. 🔵 Buying power is stagnant. Without a fresh injection of liquidity, the market lacks the fuel for a new leg up. 💡 The Bottom Line We are in a "Narrowing Bottom" or a transition phase. While the $126k peak is behind us, many experts see 2026 as a year of sideways consolidation between $75k and $100k rather than a total collapse. 🏛️ DYOR : Indicators are tools, not crystal balls. 🔮 Always manage your risk and never trade more than you can afford to lose. Which indicator do you trust the most? #Bitcoin #bearmarket $BTC
🚨 $DOGE /USDT: Preparing for the Next Leg (Weekly Chart Analysis) ‼️
As seen on the chart, $DOGE has printed its first green weekly candle after five consecutive red ones, hinting at a potential recovery leg.
Following a strong downside rally in a downtrend, price action typically bounces to hunt for upside liquidity. Currently, $DOGE is showing strong breakout momentum. A break and hold above $0.12 will open the door for a test of the weekly trendline resistance shown below.
Furthermore, applying the Fibonacci tool to the recent weekly leg reveals a "Golden Pocket" sitting right in the $0.18 to $0.22 range.
If DOGE manages to sustain a position above $0.12, my primary target is the trendline resistance around $0.18 – $0.20.
📈 $PEPE /USDT: The Breakout We Expected is Moving!!
Everyone is talking about $PEPE , but few noticed when we shared the complete analysis back on Feb 13th! ‼️
As exactly expected, $PEPE has broken out and is now running beautifully. Here is a quick recap:
Breakout & Retest: After being rejected by a major trendline since July 2025, we finally saw a breakout as we entered 2026.
Smart Accumulation: The recent slow grind downward was a textbook "retest" phase. This is often where institutional players build their positions before the next leg up.
Key Targets: If this support zone holds, we are looking at these primary upside targets: 🎯
Is there a secret accumulation of $PEPE happening? The chart is looking very interesting! 📈
Looking at the daily timeframe, $PEPE is either accumulating or retesting support above the broken trendline.
This meme coin had been rejected by this trendline resistance since July 2025. However, as we entered 2026, we saw a breakout from this zone followed by a strong rally, as shown on the chart below👇.
What we are seeing right now is a textbook retest phase. If you look closely at these small daily candles slowly grinding down, it suggests a 'smart accumulation' period. This often happens when institutional players take their time to build positions before the next leg up.
The price is now approaching the trendline support—formerly a key resistance level. If this area holds, a bounce is highly likely. 🚀 This looks like a solid zone to add to positions with the following targets: 🎯
$0.00000540
$0.00000650
$0.00000830
Do you already have some $PEPE in your bag, or are you looking to add more here at this retest zone?
Finally $BTC /USDT is showing signs of recovery! What’s next❓
On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin has broken out above a Symmetrical Triangle pattern and a horizontal resistance zone, which is a very bullish signal.
A retest is currently underway. If the price holds above this horizontal zone, an upside recovery toward key levels is likely. Using the Fibonacci Retracement tool on the daily chart, we can see a 'Golden Pocket' zone between $78,000 and $82,000, which also aligns with a Fair Value Gap (FVG) that needs to be filled.
Successful Retest = $78,000 to $80,000 target. 🎯
What are your thoughts? Will we see $50,000 or $80,000+ next week?
$NEAR is currently testing its trendline resistance on the 4-hour timeframe. While this trendline has rejected the price several times before, there is a saying in trading: the more a resistance is tested, the weaker it becomes.
If the bulls can finally break through this level, we could see some significant upward momentum.
🎯 Key Targets After a Successful Breakout:
Target 1: $1.10
Target 2: $1.20
Target 3: $1.25
Watch for a solid candle close above the trendline to confirm the move!
$XRP /USDT Update: After a downside fakeout, the chart still looks interesting. 📈‼️
As seen on the daily timeframe, $XRP is trading within a descending channel pattern. Like I mentioned in my previous update, this is typically a bullish setup.
In recent days, we saw a clever trap. The price broke below the pattern, leading many to believe it was a breakdown. However, XRP reclaimed the pattern on the very next candle, creating a massive fakeout for the shorters.
$XRP is still trading within this pattern. For a clearer view, check out the weekly chart below 👇. You can see a wick dipping below the pattern, but the candle closed back above support at $1.35. This is a great sign for a recovery!
As I mentioned in my previous update: if this support holds, our first short-term goal remains the pattern's midline at $1.55 to $1.60. 🎯
This is how trading works: the market first grabs liquidity and traps the shorters, and now we are right back on track as previously predicted!
As seen on the chart, $XRP is trading within a descending channel pattern on the daily timeframe, which is typically considered a bullish setup.
Whenever the price hits the channel resistance, it faces a rejection; conversely, it bounces every time it tests the base. XRP is currently approaching the pattern's base again, where a similar reaction is expected between $1.40 and $1.35.
Short-term Goal 🎯: $1.55 to $1.60, targeting the pattern's mid-level resistance.
As seen on the 4-hour timeframe chart, $SUI just broke out above this long descending trendline resistance, which is a bullish signal! 🚀
Not only did SUI break out, but it is also holding above that level and has successfully retested it. This confirms the bullish momentum. Additionally, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is hinting at further upside. 📈
Overall, the chart looks primed for a move up. I’m buying at current levels, targeting the upper liquidity zones. 🎯
$1.05
$1.15
$1.25
As long as $SUI holds above $0.87 the move up is likely toward these levels!
🚨 BREAKING: US CPI Falls to 2.4% – What This Means for Crypto! 🚀
The latest US Inflation data (CPI) is out, and it’s better than expected!
Actual: 2.4%
Expected: 2.5%
Previous: 2.7%
Is this good for Crypto? 📈
Yes! Generally, when inflation is lower than expected, it is considered Bullish for Bitcoin and Altcoins. Here is the simple logic:
Fed Pressure Eases: Lower inflation means the Federal Reserve is less likely to keep interest rates high. They might even consider cutting rates sooner.
Risk-On Sentiment: When interest rates stay low or drop, "riskier" assets like Crypto and Tech stocks become more attractive to investors.
Weakening Dollar: Usually, lower inflation cooling can lead to a slightly weaker USD, which often gives Bitcoin a price boost.
The Bottom Line: This is a "green light" for many traders. It shows that inflation is cooling down, which can creates a better environment for a crypto rally.
What you think $BTC above 70k this week possible ??
Is there a secret accumulation of $PEPE happening? The chart is looking very interesting! 📈
Looking at the daily timeframe, $PEPE is either accumulating or retesting support above the broken trendline.
This meme coin had been rejected by this trendline resistance since July 2025. However, as we entered 2026, we saw a breakout from this zone followed by a strong rally, as shown on the chart below👇.
What we are seeing right now is a textbook retest phase. If you look closely at these small daily candles slowly grinding down, it suggests a 'smart accumulation' period. This often happens when institutional players take their time to build positions before the next leg up.
The price is now approaching the trendline support—formerly a key resistance level. If this area holds, a bounce is highly likely. 🚀 This looks like a solid zone to add to positions with the following targets: 🎯
$0.00000540
$0.00000650
$0.00000830
Do you already have some $PEPE in your bag, or are you looking to add more here at this retest zone?
According to this pattern, the next target for $SOL is $180! ‼️
As seen on the weekly timeframe chart, $SOL is trading between two descending trendlines, forming a pattern called a Falling Wedge.
Whenever the price touches the lower support zone, it bounces toward the resistance; whenever it touches the resistance zone, it gets rejected and heads back toward its base.
Currently, Solana is sitting at the pattern's base with an RSI of 25. When the Relative Strength Index drops below 30, it hints that the asset is in oversold territory and a bounce may be coming.
If this repeats and Solana holds strong above its base (the $60.00 support level), a move up is likely 📈 with these targets at the pattern resistance 🎯:
$125.00
$155.00
$180.00
What is your take? Are you holding and adding more to lower your average entry price like I am, or have you already sold?
$TAKE /USDT On Top Gainers Up +150% 📈 Looking For Short Trade Here!!
Why Short May Better?
Look after such sharp pump Relative strength Index ( RSI ) showing extreme overbought momentum currently sitting at 95 it usually happens before corrections.
I am looking for short trade here. Enter once we got a rejection with bearish candlestick pattern📉
$ZRO : is one of the strongest altcoins right now!! 👀📈
LayerZero, the leading blockchain bridge and interoperability network, has just announced its new Layer 1 (L1) blockchain: Zero.
This new network combines four major technical breakthroughs to deliver exceptional performance and seamless interoperability. At its core, Zero utilizes a16z crypto’s zkVM, "Jolt."
I’ve been bullish on $ZRO for a long time, and this is exactly why! The fundamentals are catching up with the price action.
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 US Unemployment Rate drops to 4.3%—Beating expectations! 📉
What happened?
The unemployment rate fell to 4.3% in January, lower than the 4.4% experts predicted. This shows the US labor market is showing fresh signs of life despite a slow 2025.
Is this good or bad for Crypto?
The Logic: Actual (4.3%) < Forecast (4.4%) is a "beat." This strengthens the US Dollar (DXY).
The Impact: A strong Dollar usually acts as a "ceiling" for Bitcoin. When the greenback is king, Crypto often trades sideways or dips.
Interest Rates: Because the jobs market is resilient, the Fed has less pressure to cut interest rates immediately. Crypto usually sees its biggest "pumps" when the Fed starts cutting rates to stimulate the economy.
Summary: Economic "Good News" is often "Short-term Neutral" for Crypto. Bitcoin is currently holding steady near $67,000 as the market digests the data.