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“Only a fool trips on what’s behind them.” — Iceberg Slim ◢ Founder, CEO, Asymmetric Financial & Asymmetric Information
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12 İzləyicilər
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Tərcüməyə bax
💸 Closed $AAOI Risk Reversal 10/9 (Short $110 Put / Long $113 Call)
+163.66%
Held 3 hours
Executed with Radon
https://radon.run
💸 Closed $AAOI Risk Reversal 10/9 (Short $110 Put / Long $113 Call)
+163.66%
Held 3 hours
Executed with Radon
https://radon.run
+163.66%
Held 3 hours
Executed with Radon
https://radon.run
50
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💸 Closed $CRWD 10/16 (Long $270 Call)
+34.98%
Held 2 hours
Executed with Radon
https://radon.run
💸 Closed $CRWD 10/16 (Long $270 Call)
+34.98%
Held 2 hours
Executed with Radon
https://radon.run
+34.98%
Held 2 hours
Executed with Radon
https://radon.run
60
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Tərcüməyə bax
💸 Closed $CRWD 10/16 (Short $265 Put)
+30.77%
Held 2 hours
Executed with Radon
https://radon.run
💸 Closed $CRWD 10/16 (Short $265 Put)
+30.77%
Held 2 hours
Executed with Radon
https://radon.run
+30.77%
Held 2 hours
Executed with Radon
https://radon.run
61
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Tərcüməyə bax
NOBODY IS LONG
The Morgan Stanley Global Risk Demand Index ends "sharply at roughly -2 (Fear)" at the right edge.
NOBODY IS LONG
The Morgan Stanley Global Risk Demand Index ends "sharply at roughly -2 (Fear)" at the right edge.
The Morgan Stanley Global Risk Demand Index ends "sharply at roughly -2 (Fear)" at the right edge.
68
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$5 a month to keep the spam out. High signal.
$5 a month to keep the spam out. High signal.
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Tərcüməyə bax
New Position: $SPCX
After nailing the long breakout and shorting the top, $SPCX has now pulled back to the exact level of the breakout ~$160.
This is where I wanna be long again and the vols are all elevated.
I like the $175/$200 call spreads again but this time, expiring no 11/13. They are about $4.00 per combo, which makes this a 5:1 payout, real juice in the trade.
Now, if we pull back further, I will sell puts to finance this trade. Right now I'm just paying premium.
Recall the market is a little creaky after the new ATH with Nasdaq, but we are in a trader's market and $SPCX is a retail favorite.
I'd rather be long after this textbook pullback than flat.
New Position: $SPCX
After nailing the long breakout and shorting the top, $SPCX has now pulled back to the exact level of the breakout ~$160.
This is where I wanna be long again and the vols are all elevated.
I like the $175/$200 call spreads again but this time, expiring no 11/13. They are about $4.00 per combo, which makes this a 5:1 payout, real juice in the trade.
Now, if we pull back further, I will sell puts to finance this trade. Right now I'm just paying premium.
Recall the market is a little creaky after the new ATH with Nasdaq, but we are in a trader's market and $SPCX is a retail favorite.
I'd rather be long after this textbook pullback than flat.
After nailing the long breakout and shorting the top, $SPCX has now pulled back to the exact level of the breakout ~$160.
This is where I wanna be long again and the vols are all elevated.
I like the $175/$200 call spreads again but this time, expiring no 11/13. They are about $4.00 per combo, which makes this a 5:1 payout, real juice in the trade.
Now, if we pull back further, I will sell puts to finance this trade. Right now I'm just paying premium.
Recall the market is a little creaky after the new ATH with Nasdaq, but we are in a trader's market and $SPCX is a retail favorite.
I'd rather be long after this textbook pullback than flat.
9
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Tərcüməyə bax
New Position: $SPCX
After nailing the long breakout and shorting the top, $SPCX has now pulled back to the exact level of the breakout ~$160.
This is where I wanna be long again and the vols are all elevated.
I like the $175/$200 call spreads again but this time, expiring no 11/13. They are about $4.00 per combo, which makes this a 5:1 payout, real juice in the trade.
Now, if we pull back further, I will sell calls to finance this trade. Right now I'm just paying premium.
Recall the market is a little creaky after the new ATH with Nasdaq, but we are in a trader's market and $SPCX is a retail favorite.
I'd rather be long after this textbook pullback than flat.
New Position: $SPCX
After nailing the long breakout and shorting the top, $SPCX has now pulled back to the exact level of the breakout ~$160.
This is where I wanna be long again and the vols are all elevated.
I like the $175/$200 call spreads again but this time, expiring no 11/13. They are about $4.00 per combo, which makes this a 5:1 payout, real juice in the trade.
Now, if we pull back further, I will sell calls to finance this trade. Right now I'm just paying premium.
Recall the market is a little creaky after the new ATH with Nasdaq, but we are in a trader's market and $SPCX is a retail favorite.
I'd rather be long after this textbook pullback than flat.
After nailing the long breakout and shorting the top, $SPCX has now pulled back to the exact level of the breakout ~$160.
This is where I wanna be long again and the vols are all elevated.
I like the $175/$200 call spreads again but this time, expiring no 11/13. They are about $4.00 per combo, which makes this a 5:1 payout, real juice in the trade.
Now, if we pull back further, I will sell calls to finance this trade. Right now I'm just paying premium.
Recall the market is a little creaky after the new ATH with Nasdaq, but we are in a trader's market and $SPCX is a retail favorite.
I'd rather be long after this textbook pullback than flat.
13
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4 Saatlıq Flip 🌪️
💸 Bağlandı $CRWD 10/30 (Long $250 Put)
+32.80%
4 saat saxlanıldı
Radon ilə icra edildi
https://radon.run
4 Saatlıq Flip 🌪️
💸 Bağlandı $CRWD 10/30 (Long $250 Put)
+32.80%
4 saat saxlanıldı
Radon ilə icra edildi
https://radon.run
💸 Bağlandı $CRWD 10/30 (Long $250 Put)
+32.80%
4 saat saxlanıldı
Radon ilə icra edildi
https://radon.run
6
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Tərcüməyə bax
@jinglejared is the only guy I’d back for a music startup.
@RebelAudioAI is his latest creation and it’s gonna work.
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/business-news/ai-podcasting-company-rebel-audio-funding-1236724673/
@jinglejared is the only guy I’d back for a music startup.
@RebelAudioAI is his latest creation and it’s gonna work.
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/business-news/ai-podcasting-company-rebel-audio-funding-1236724673/
@RebelAudioAI is his latest creation and it’s gonna work.
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/business-news/ai-podcasting-company-rebel-audio-funding-1236724673/
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In the last week of September, DeepSeek models processed more tokens on OpenRouter than OpenAI, Google, Anthropic and xAI models combined.
In the last week of September, DeepSeek models processed more tokens on OpenRouter than OpenAI, Google, Anthropic and xAI models combined.
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KOSPI Drops 1.98% as Foreigners Sell $1.94bn
Retail is the only thing holding up the KOSPI
KOSPI Drops 1.98% as Foreigners Sell $1.94bn
Retail is the only thing holding up the KOSPI
Retail is the only thing holding up the KOSPI
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Morgan Stanley: AI CDS basket trades ~45bp wider than CDX IG
MS says buying CDS protection "remains our preferred way of playing the AI story in the credit derivatives market."
The reason is not just a bearish default call.
MS expects "increasing needs for non-economic hedging to manage counterparty exposure," even in a benign scenario where AI investments are profitable and continue.
That is an important distinction.
The hedge bid can grow even if the capex cycle keeps working.
More AI financing creates more counterparty exposure, and that creates more demand for protection.
Morgan Stanley: AI CDS basket trades ~45bp wider than CDX IG
MS says buying CDS protection "remains our preferred way of playing the AI story in the credit derivatives market."
The reason is not just a bearish default call.
MS expects "increasing needs for non-economic hedging to manage counterparty exposure," even in a benign scenario where AI investments are profitable and continue.
That is an important distinction.
The hedge bid can grow even if the capex cycle keeps working.
More AI financing creates more counterparty exposure, and that creates more demand for protection.
MS says buying CDS protection "remains our preferred way of playing the AI story in the credit derivatives market."
The reason is not just a bearish default call.
MS expects "increasing needs for non-economic hedging to manage counterparty exposure," even in a benign scenario where AI investments are profitable and continue.
That is an important distinction.
The hedge bid can grow even if the capex cycle keeps working.
More AI financing creates more counterparty exposure, and that creates more demand for protection.
40
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Tərcüməyə bax
Hedge what’s actually falling - AI stocks
SPXXAI March 85% put costs 132bps vs 101bps for SPX equivalent
The 6th percentile on a 2-year lookback is the basis for that cheapness.
Downside protection on the S&P excluding AI stocks, which has fallen roughly 7% from its late-August peak while the cap-weighted index sits near all-time highs, you pay a roughly 30% premium over the equivalent SPX put.
The premium exists because SPXXAI is the index that is actually moving lower.
The cap-weighted SPX, dominated by the AI names, is suppressing implied vol at the index level even as the average constituent is well off its highs.
That’s roughly a 30% premium for protection on the part of the market that's actually falling.
Hedge what’s actually falling - AI stocks
SPXXAI March 85% put costs 132bps vs 101bps for SPX equivalent
The 6th percentile on a 2-year lookback is the basis for that cheapness.
Downside protection on the S&P excluding AI stocks, which has fallen roughly 7% from its late-August peak while the cap-weighted index sits near all-time highs, you pay a roughly 30% premium over the equivalent SPX put.
The premium exists because SPXXAI is the index that is actually moving lower.
The cap-weighted SPX, dominated by the AI names, is suppressing implied vol at the index level even as the average constituent is well off its highs.
That’s roughly a 30% premium for protection on the part of the market that's actually falling.
SPXXAI March 85% put costs 132bps vs 101bps for SPX equivalent
The 6th percentile on a 2-year lookback is the basis for that cheapness.
Downside protection on the S&P excluding AI stocks, which has fallen roughly 7% from its late-August peak while the cap-weighted index sits near all-time highs, you pay a roughly 30% premium over the equivalent SPX put.
The premium exists because SPXXAI is the index that is actually moving lower.
The cap-weighted SPX, dominated by the AI names, is suppressing implied vol at the index level even as the average constituent is well off its highs.
That’s roughly a 30% premium for protection on the part of the market that's actually falling.
64
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Tərcüməyə bax
Citadel Securities: token price fell more than half but Azure AI token consumption is up ~4.5x
Effective access per dollar is actually worse, not better.
This is as a demonstration of why cheaper intelligence need not mean a smaller compute bill.
Falling token prices are being offset by more intensive usage and broader deployment.
What is good for adoption can simultaneously be challenging for model producers' pricing power.
Non-technical Wall Street analysts continue to be short the right tail on compute and inference demand. It’s at least an order of magnitude higher than they expect, yet the hyperscalers know this and it’s why they are investing over $1T in 2027 for datacenter buildouts.
Citadel Securities: token price fell more than half but Azure AI token consumption is up ~4.5x
Effective access per dollar is actually worse, not better.
This is as a demonstration of why cheaper intelligence need not mean a smaller compute bill.
Falling token prices are being offset by more intensive usage and broader deployment.
What is good for adoption can simultaneously be challenging for model producers' pricing power.
Non-technical Wall Street analysts continue to be short the right tail on compute and inference demand. It’s at least an order of magnitude higher than they expect, yet the hyperscalers know this and it’s why they are investing over $1T in 2027 for datacenter buildouts.
Effective access per dollar is actually worse, not better.
This is as a demonstration of why cheaper intelligence need not mean a smaller compute bill.
Falling token prices are being offset by more intensive usage and broader deployment.
What is good for adoption can simultaneously be challenging for model producers' pricing power.
Non-technical Wall Street analysts continue to be short the right tail on compute and inference demand. It’s at least an order of magnitude higher than they expect, yet the hyperscalers know this and it’s why they are investing over $1T in 2027 for datacenter buildouts.
62
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Tərcüməyə bax
Gold call positioning is 3x average, and it triples the price impact of physical demand
@GoldmanSachs has net call open interest holding near 2.3 million contracts.
Normally 100 tonnes of conviction demand moves gold about 2%.
Gold call positioning is 3x average, and it triples the price impact of physical demand
@GoldmanSachs has net call open interest holding near 2.3 million contracts.
Normally 100 tonnes of conviction demand moves gold about 2%.
@GoldmanSachs has net call open interest holding near 2.3 million contracts.
Normally 100 tonnes of conviction demand moves gold about 2%.
13
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Tərcüməyə bax
Gold fell >8% in September while ETF inflows hit 70t: a combination never previously observed since January 2004
Gold fell >8% in September while ETF inflows hit 70t: a combination never previously observed since January 2004
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Tərcüməyə bax
2027 AI capex estimates doubled since November
@morganstanly has revised AI capex estimates "sharply higher in every year," with 2027 ballooning from $687bn to $1.384tn and 2028 from $763bn to $1.547tn versus the Nov-2025 numbers.
GOOGL at $400bn and AMZN at $350bn drive the 2028 total, and the revision is the story: the base case got twice as large in under a year.
2027 AI capex estimates doubled since November
@morganstanly has revised AI capex estimates "sharply higher in every year," with 2027 ballooning from $687bn to $1.384tn and 2028 from $763bn to $1.547tn versus the Nov-2025 numbers.
GOOGL at $400bn and AMZN at $350bn drive the 2028 total, and the revision is the story: the base case got twice as large in under a year.
@morganstanly has revised AI capex estimates "sharply higher in every year," with 2027 ballooning from $687bn to $1.384tn and 2028 from $763bn to $1.547tn versus the Nov-2025 numbers.
GOOGL at $400bn and AMZN at $350bn drive the 2028 total, and the revision is the story: the base case got twice as large in under a year.
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Binance Square-də qlobal kriptovalyuta istifadəçilərinə qoşulun
⚡️ Kriptovalyuta haqqında ən son və faydalı məlumatları əldə edin.
💬 Dünyanın ən böyük kriptovalyuta birjası tərəfindən etibar edilir.
👍 Doğrulanmış yaradıcılardan gələn real məlumatları kəşf edin.
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BitcoinReboundsTo$83K
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#BitcoinReboundsTo$83K :
🚨 BTC bazarı ilə bağlı xəbərdarlıq: Bitcoin 83 000 dolları geri aldı! Bundan sonra nə olacaq?
Yerli dib, yoxsa öküz tələsi? 📉📈
Bitcoin ($BTC) kritik 83 000 dollar səviyyəsini geri aldıqdan sonra yenidən diqqət mərkəzinə düşüb! Daha aşağı likvidlik səviyyələrini süpürdükdən sonra alıcılar dəstəyi qorumaq üçün işə qarışdı və Binance Square-də müzakirələrə səbəb oldu: Bu, yerli dibdir, yoxsa sadəcə rahatlama sıçrayışı?
📌 Bazarla bağlı 3 qısa nəticə:
1. Bazar strukturunda dəyişiklik: Aşağı zaman çərçivəli qrafiklər BTC-nin 82K–83K dəstək zonasını qoruması ilə yüksəliş yönümlü struktur dəyişikliyini göstərir.
2. İzlənilməli əsas səviyyələr:
• Dəstək: 83 000 dollar — Alıcılar gündəlik bağlanışlarda bu səviyyəni qorumalıdır. Bu səviyyənin itirilməsi 80K-ya doğru riskləri yenidən artırar.
• Müqavimət: 84 200 – 86 000 dollar — Trendin tam dəyişdiyini təsdiqləmək üçün hədəf zona.
3. Makro amillər: Yüksək istiqraz gəlirliliyi və likvidlik şərtləri qısamüddətli bazar dəyişkənliyinə səbəb olmağa davam edir.
💬 İcma nəbzi:
83K-da uzun mövqelər açırsınız, yoxsa 80K yaxınlığında yenidən sınağı gözləyirsiniz? Strategiyanızı aşağıdakı şərhlərdə bizimlə bölüşün! 👇
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#BitcoinReboundsTo$83K #bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #BinanceSquare
Jeniya-1
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EthereumLiquidationsHit$356M
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