TEKT0NIC 1

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altcoin leverage is still under Glassnode’s risk line, which means traders have not piled into alt perps the way they did at prior tops. the orange line is altcoin share of futures open interest minus bitcoin’s share. open interest is the total size of open leveraged bets. when alts take more of that book than $BTC , the line rises. the dashed mark is the risk threshold. the pink bands are the last times it tagged that line, near local heat in 2021, 2024 and 2025. right now the line sits about 10 points below even, and under that threshold. $HYPE is already through $90 and trading toward $92, with $100 the next round number. memes can jump 5–10% and this gauge still is not red. that is why Glassnode says alt leverage is not overheated yet. below the line is “not crowded.” it is not a guarantee alts go to $100. it only says the perp book is not maxed. the catch is how fast this flips. a squeeze can drive the line into the risk zone in days. bitcoin is still under $82,000 on the weekly. if $BTC loses $74,000–$70,000, cheap alt leverage will not hold the bid. so alts are not max levered. $HYPE can press $100 while this line stays quiet. room to run exists only if bitcoin holds and the gauge stays below the risk mark. #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #BTC Price Analysis# #HyperLiquid

HYPE+10,19%

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most real-world assets onchain are not being used in DeFi yet. RWA means stocks, bonds, credit, gold and other offchain assets that have been tokenized. DeFiLlama puts that pile at about $34 billion as of September 18. DeFi is lending, vaults and onchain trading. only 11.3% of the $34 billion, or $3.84 billion, is deposited there. the other 89%, about $30.2 billion, just sits as tokens. the $3.84 billion that is in DeFi is not spread out. private credit is $2.22 billion, 58% of that TVL. bonds are $817 million, commodities $314 million, stocks $287 million. those four groups are almost 95% of RWA inside DeFi. TVL here means how much of that tokenized paper is locked in protocols. a high RWA total with low TVL means the assets were issued. they were not put to work. the catch is the headline. $34 billion sounds like RWAs have taken over DeFi. 11% utilization means they have not. more tokens onchain do not create more loans until that 11% rises. so RWAs are on the chain. most of the money is idle. the slice that is in DeFi is mostly private credit. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $XRP #Bullish

XRP+8,04%

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the old memecoins are leading today. $PEPE , SHIB and DOGE are each up more than 5% in the last 24 hours. TRUMP did not join that move. over seven days $PEPE is the strongest of the group, up more than 10% even after its latest dip. these coins are not new launches. they already trade on major exchanges and still have large holder bases from older rallies. when $BTC stalls under $82,000 and alts start to bounce, traders often buy these first. they are liquid and familiar. a 5–10% rise is one session. it is not a new memecoin season. this sleeve sold off earlier in the year, then bounced with August. PEPE can win the week and still be far from its all-time high. the catch is how narrow it is. three green names and a flat TRUMP means money rotated inside memes. it does not mean every meme is going. if $BTC falls through $74,000–$70,000, these usually drop faster than they rose. so the OG memes have a bid today. that bid is real. it is not a reason to buy the whole sector. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #Altcoin Season# #Bullish

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Weekly Close Check: Bitcoin Still Under $82,000. Ether and Solana Are Holding Support. The week is not decided by a midweek wick. It is decided by where these three finish. According to the weekly charts, $BTC ’s high is near $79,555 and the red line at $82,000 is still resistance. $ETH held a low near $2,358 and is sitting on $2,350 support. Solana held a low near $95.71 and is sitting on $97 support. Bulls want Ether and Solana to close on those floors and Bitcoin to finish as close to $80,000 as possible. Key Details: > Bitcoin: capped below $82,000. Week high about $79,555. > Ether: $2,350 support. Week low about $2,358. > Solana: $97 support. Week low about $95.71. > The weekly close is the print that matters. If $2,350 and $97 hold, the rebound stays intact even if Bitcoin cannot clear $82,000 this week. If those floors break, the August bounce is back in trouble. $BTC Resistance $82K. $ETH Support $2,350. SOL Support $97. Will you fade Bitcoin under $82,000, or add if Ether and Solana close the week on support? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #Solana flip Ethereum?#

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spot bitcoin ETFs bought coins on Friday, then the weekly number shows they still sold more than they bought. the 1-day print was +1,955 $BTC , about $154 million. that is an inflow. authorized participants sent cash, the funds bought bitcoin, and new shares were created. seven days tell the other side. the same products are net −6,715 $BTC , about $530 million out. that is redemptions. investors sold ETF shares, the funds sold bitcoin, and coins left the products. Friday’s buy was real. it did not cover the rest of the week. ethereum ETFs never got that Friday bid. they lost 28,356 $ETH on the day, about $72 million, and 42,976 $ETH over seven days, about $109 million. the day is red. the week is red. so bitcoin products had one green session. ether products stayed in outflow. one inflow day is not a new trend. the catch is which number you watch. as long as the 7-day bitcoin flow is −$530 million, the ETF complex is not funding this bounce. Friday was a bid. the week is still selling. ETH funds did not join. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #Ethereum ETFs, stay tuned?#

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About $146 Million of Shorts Got Liquidated in One Hour After Bitcoin Reclaimed $80,000 Price went up. Leveraged shorts got closed. That closing had to be bought back. According to the one-hour liquidation, about $146 million of positions were forced out as $BTC took $80,000 back and Solana printed $109. Bitcoin was $93.51 million of that. $ETH was $20.14 million. Solana was $4.86 million. NEAR was $3.20 million. A short liquidation means the trader was betting price would fall. Price rose instead, the exchange closed the bet, and that close is a market buy. That is why a squeeze can run through $80,000 fast. Key Details: > One-hour liquidations: about $146 million. > Bitcoin: $93.51 million. Ether: $20.14 million. > Solana: $4.86 million, price $109. NEAR: $3.20 million. > Level that triggered it: Bitcoin back above $80,000. Liquidations can fuel the first push through a round number. They do not mean $80,000 is now support for good. If $BTC holds $80,000 into the close, $83,000 is the next resistance. If it slips back unde#r $80,000, this was a squeeze, not a breakout. $146M Short Liquidations in 60 Minutes as BTC Reclaimed $80K and SOL Hit $109 Do you buy the $80,000 reclaim, or wait for a daily close above it before targeting $83,000? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $ETH #Altcoin Season#

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the altcoin market cap just printed $222 billion, the first time it has been there in eight months. that is the value of coins outside the usual majors on this measure, back to levels last seen around January. total crypto is still a multi-trillion market. bitcoin still takes most of that. $222 billion is a thaw in alts, not a new cycle high. the bounce is narrow. $HYPE made a new high. ZEC ran. a few L1s and DeFi names lifted. bitcoin is still under $76,800. when majors lag and a handful of alts lead, it is rotation, not “send everything.” eight months is a long drought. getting back to $222 billion means sellers let up. it does not mean 2021-style breadth. altseason gauges are still mid-range, not maxed. the catch is the slogan. a reclaim of an eight-month level can fade as fast as it printed. if $BTC loses $74,000–$70,000, this $222 billion number comes with it. so alts finally took the level back. that is real. it is not a blank check to buy every ticker. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $HYPE $BTC

HYPE+10,19%

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Solana Took 72% of Memecoin DEX Volume. Robinhood Chain Fell to 23%. That is $SOL ’s highest share in three weeks. The split flipped back. According to Blockworks on September 17, Solana accounted for 72% of spot DEX memecoin volume. Robinhood Chain was 23%. BNB Chain was 3% and HyperCore was 1%. Ethereum, Base, and the rest printed near zero on this cut. Robinhood had taken a larger slice in mid-summer. That share faded. Solana took the flow back. Key Details: > September 17: Solana 72%, Robinhood 23%, BNB 3%, HyperCore 1%. > 72% is Solana’s highest memecoin volume share in 21 days. > This is volume share, not token prices and not unique traders. > Memecoin volume is speculative flow. It can rotate in days. A 72/23 split says Solana is the primary memecoin marketplace again. Robinhood Chain is the only clear second place on this chart. Execution still follows where the volume sits. Memecoin DEX Share Sept. 17: Solana 72%, Robinhood 23% Is 72% enough to keep routing memecoin size through Solana, or do you wait to see if Robinhood Chain wins the share back? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $SOL #Bullish

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HYPE just hit a new all-time high near $90. that means the token has never traded this high before. it broke the August top around $82 and the early-September highs near $88–$89. $HYPE is the coin of Hyperliquid, a perpetual futures exchange. traders use that venue to go long or short crypto with leverage. when that book is busy, the token usually follows. market cap is now close to $20 billion. open interest on Hyperliquid, the total size of open perp bets, was already a record $14.3 billion this month. more bets on the exchange, more fees. those fees buy back HYPE and take coins out of supply. Coinbase has also been sending Base app users to the platform. bitcoin is still below $76,800. HYPE making a new high while $BTC chops means this move is about Hyperliquid’s own volume, not Washington. the catch is leverage. high open interest can fuel a rally. it can also force-close longs if price dumps. $90 is a new high. it is not automatic support. so the coin is in price discovery. for this high to stick, the exchange has to keep the volume. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #HyperLiquid $BTC $HYPE

HYPE+10,19%

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$ZEC and $HYPE Rewarded the Holders Who Did Not Trade Every Dip Patience paid on those two books. It did not pay on every alt. According to the year-long tape for these names, Zcash reclaimed four-digit prices after years in the wilderness, and HYPE rose from the $48 area last October to about $80 while Bitcoin fell from $123,000 to the high $70,000s. The common thread is time in the position, not a one-day scalp. Both still have to hold their new levels. A Bitcoin break of $76,000 can take high-beta winners with it. Key Details: > ZEC: back through $1,000 after a long drawdown, then a listed U.S. spot product in late August. > HYPE: about $48 in October 2025, about $80 now, while Bitcoin is well off $123,000. > The hold worked because the coins made higher highs against a weaker Bitcoin. > Patience is not the same as no risk. Size and $76,000 Bitcoin still decide whether those gains stick. This market has paid people who sat through dead months in a few names. It has also punished people who sat in the wrong ones. ZEC and HYPE are the examples that worked this cycle. They are not a rule that every bag gets a bid. $ZEC and $HYPE Paid the Hold. Bitcoin Still Has to Hold $76,000 for Those Gains to Keep. Do you treat these two as proof to sit tight, or as special cases that already ran?

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VanEck just put $100,000 bitcoin back on the table for next year. Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research at the $237.4 billion firm, told CNBC $BTC could get there in 2027. his case is fiscal, not a meme. US debt and deficit concerns, he said, are supporting the coin. volatility is about 50% lower than four years ago. he also said the institutions VanEck talks to — advisers and sovereign funds — are still buyers. from about $77,000, $100,000 is roughly a 30% lift. that is a reclaim of a level bitcoin already traded, not a new all-time high. the October 2025 peak near $126,000 is still further. the Fed just hiked 25 bp. Clarity failed. spot ETFs flipped back to net redemptions on a 7-day average. a $100k call has to live with that tape. the catch is the word “could.” Sigel is describing a path if fiscal stress and institutional bids hold. he is not filling your order. $76,800 is still the level that broke. so a large asset manager sees $BTC $100k in 2027. the chart still has to take back last week’s support first. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $ETH

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this week brought two headlines that usually sell crypto. price went up anyway. first the Clarity Act failed in the Senate. it needed 60 votes to even start debate and did not get them. the next day the Fed raised interest rates by 0.25%, to 3.75%–4.00%. that was the first hike of this cycle. tighter rules plus tighter money is normally risk-off. instead $BTC bounced into the weekend. traders who were short got liquidated. a short is a bet that price will fall. when price rises fast, the exchange closes that bet. CoinGlass saw about $345 million of those forced closes in 24 hours. $208 million were shorts. $137 million were longs. that squeeze pushed $ZEC first. bitcoin only moved back toward $76,400. it has not taken back $76,800, the August support that broke. $350 million of liquidations can lift a thin book. it is not a giant wipeout. ETFs were already showing net outflows on a 7-day average, and Coinbase was cheaper than Binance. the catch is positioning. if everyone is short into a hike that was already expected, price can bounce on bad news. that bounce only sticks if $76,800 is reclaimed. so the news was bad. shorts paid for it. support is still broken until that level comes back. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ZEC

ZEC+6,05%

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whales bought most of Bitcoin’s bounce this year. this week they stopped. on CryptoQuant, a whale is a wallet with 100 $BTC or more. the bars show weekly net flow. green means those wallets added coins. red means they reduced. from January through August, the green bars lined up with the rally, including one August week near +115,000 BTC as price broke toward $80,000. the latest bar is red, about −10,000 BTC. that is the first down week after the $80,000 test. price has already lost $76,800. so the pattern was simple. when bitcoin rose, large wallets were net buyers. now they are net lighter for the first time since that breakout. the catch is what “whale” includes. ETF vaults, company treasuries and exchange cold wallets all sit in the 100+ $BTC group. a red week can be coins moving between vaults, not only coins dumped on the market. one week is a change of pace, not proof the trend is dead. if the next bar is red again, the bid that built August is fading. if it flips green, this was just a pause. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $XRP

XRP+8,04%

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Strive Has Added About 377 Bitcoin This Week Through SATA Sales That is four trading days of issuance, not a $2.7 billion one-week ticket. According to Strive’s dashboard, estimated $BTC from SATA ATM sales is about 377 coins so far this week. Estimated proceeds are $29 million. Total SATA volume is $245 million. The preferred stock is sold at $100 and the cash is used to buy Bitcoin. The $2.7 billion figure is the larger issuance capacity people cite around the program. This week’s print is the 377 coins already estimated. Key Details: > This week so far: about 377 BTC. > Estimated proceeds: $29 million. > SATA volume: $245 million over four trading days. > Funding: SATA preferred sold at $100, then converted into Bitcoin. > 377 BTC at current prices lines up with that $29 million proceeds print. This is the Strategy-style playbook on a smaller book: sell paper, buy coins. 377 $BTC is real accumulation. It is not enough to pin $80,000 by itself. Stack it with ETF creations and other treasury buyers and it becomes part of the bid. Strive: ~377 BTC This Week, $29M Proceeds, SATA at $100 Do you treat treasury ATM buys like this as steady bid, or as issuance that only matters when ETFs are green too? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $ETH #Bullish

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spot $XRP ETFs just printed another inflow day. on September 16 the products took in $3.5 million. that pushed September’s net inflows to $47.05 million. August was $159.2 million, so this month is already far behind last month. an inflow means creations. authorized participants delivered cash, the funds bought XRP, and new shares hit the market. $3.5 million is a real bid. it is still small next to bitcoin. IBIT can take that much in one 300 $BTC ticket. Hyperliquid and Solana were busy the same day. that does not mean the $3.5 million went there. it went into the listed XRP ETFs. September’s $47 million with half the month gone is a slower pace than August. if the bid were unstoppable, this month would look like last month. it does not. the catch is size. inflows beat outflows on the 16th. they do not reprice $XRP on their own, and they do not match August. so the XRP ETFs are still seeing cash. the checks are modest, and September is quieter than August. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC

XRP+8,04%

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Ether Is Sitting on Multi-Year Support. The Next Major Ceiling on This Chart Is $12,000. That $12,000 line is where prior bull-market tops landed. It is not the next stop from here. According to the long-term chart, $ETH is holding a rising support zone around $1,760–$3,520. Every major cycle high since 2018 tagged the upper resistance band, now near $9,120–$12,880. Price is back on support after the drop from the last peak. Traders using this overlay say a full bull leg would take Ether toward that $12,000 resistance again. First it has to clear $3,000 and hold it. Key Details: > Support zone now: about $1,760–$3,520. > Resistance zone / stretch target: about $9,120–$12,880. > Prior cycle highs sat on that upper band. > Nearest level that matters in dollars: $3,000. Support means buyers have defended this area before. Resistance means sellers showed up there at old tops. A channel like this is a guide for where those zones sit as time passes. It does not replace Bitcoin holding $76,000–$83,000. If Bitcoin breaks down, Ether can lose this support even if the long-term lines still look neat. ETH Support $1.8K–$3.5K. Stretch Resistance $9K–$13K. $3,000 First. Do you buy $ETH on this support, or do you wait for a weekly close above $3,000 before targeting $12,000? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC

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new bitcoin whales now carry more realized cap than at any point on this CryptoQuant series. the purple line is the realized cap of wallets that recently became large holders. it was near zero through 2023, then bent up through 2024 and 2025 and is now above $60 billion. price is the white line, still under the 2025 high. that surge is the ETF-and-treasury era. IBIT creations, Strategy, Strive and other desks show up as new large holders when coins move into fresh clusters. it is not only anonymous old whales adding a few thousand coins. realized cap is cost basis, not mark-to-market. a $60 billion print means this cohort paid about that much for the coins they hold. it does not mean they bought $60 billion this week. the catch is the label. “whales are buying like never before” fits the slope since 2024. it does not fit this week’s tape. spot ETFs flipped back to net redemptions, Coinbase premium went negative, and price lost $76,800. so the new-whale book is the largest on this chart. that is structural demand over two years. it is not a signal that the dip is already bought. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ETH

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Moscow Exchange Will List Crypto Perpetual Futures on September 22 The contracts are cash-settled. They do not deliver coins. According to MOEX, perpetual-style futures on Bitcoin, Ether, Solana, XRP, and TRX start September 22 for qualified investors only. The products track MOEX indexes, are quoted in dollars, and settle in rubles. Positions roll each day, so a book can stay open without a fixed expiry. No $BTC , ETH, $SOL , XRP, or TRX is transferred. Key Details: > Launch: September 22, 2026. > Underlyings: BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, TRX. > Access: qualified investors only. > Structure: dollar-quoted, ruble-settled, automatic daily rollover. > Existing MOEX crypto futures: more than 72,000 users and over 600 billion rubles of turnover. This is regulated price exposure on Russia’s main exchange. It is not a spot bid for coins. It also lands after the U.S. Clarity vote stalled. One market delayed a rulebook. Another is adding listed perps. That is the calendar contrast, not a verdict on either system. MOEX Perps Sept. 22: $BTC , ETH, $SOL , XRP, TRX — Cash-Settled, Qualified Only #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #Macro Insights#

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Treasury is set to buy back up to $4 billion of its own notes today. the operation is the 7-year to 10-year bucket, a liquidity-support buyback with a $4 billion cap. this is not QE. Treasury sells new debt every week, then buys older off-the-run issues so the secondary market can clear. in August it doubled the long-end caps from $2 billion to at least $4 billion through November 4 after dealers kept offering more paper than the old size could take. recent ops filled fast. the September 10 long-end buyback took $5.2 billion against a $6 billion cap. the September 9 front-end op took the full $12.5 billion. TIPS on September 15 took the $500 million cap with $2.1 billion offered. for $BTC the read is second-order. a buyback can help the 7s–10s trade cleaner. it does not replace the FOMC. it does not add $4 billion of fresh cash to risk assets. the catch is scale. $4 billion is a large ticket for this program and small next to monthly coupon issuance. if offers come in rich, Treasury can take less than the cap, as it has before. so today is a plumbing day in Treasuries. it is not a $4 billion bid for bitcoin. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ETH