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Technical Outlook: $ETH Reclaims Short-Term EMAs, but 100 $EMA.US Remains the Major Barrier

Ethereum is extending its recovery after defending the $1,888–$1,904 demand zone. Price has reclaimed both the 20 EMA and 50 EMA, while RSI continues to strengthen above the neutral level, signaling improving bullish momentu$$m. However, ETH remains below the 100 EMA and 200 EMA, indicating the higher-timeframe trend is still bearish despite the ongoing relief rally.
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EMA Structure (Short-Term Bullish Recovery)

20 EMA: $1,841.45

50 EMA: $1,831.47

100 EMA: $1,937.74

200 EMA: $2,192.98

ETH is trading above both the 20 EMA and 50 EMA, confirming buyers have regained short-term control.

The 100 EMA ($1,937.74) is the next major resistance and remains the key level required to confirm a broader trend re$versal.

The 200 EMA ($2,192.98) continues to act as strong higher-timeframe resistance.
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The short-term structure favors buyers, but the macro trend remains bearish until ETH establishes sustained price action above the 100 EMA.
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Fibonacci & Market Structure

ETH remains below the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $2,298.74, confirming the higher-timeframe downtrend remains intact.

Buyers continue defending the $1,888–$1,904 demand zone, creating a higher-low structure after sweeping sell-side liquidity.

Price is currently testing a local resistance cluster around $1,922–$1,946, where previous supply and liquidity could trigger profit-taking.

Bullish Targets:

$1,946 (100 EMA resistance zone)

$2,000

$2,193 (200 EMA)

$2,299 (0.236 Fibonacci)

Bearish Scenario:

Losing $1,904 would weaken the current recovery structure.

A breakdown below $1,888 would invalidate the bullish setup and increase the probability of revisiting recent lows.
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ICT / Smart Money View

ETH has reclaimed nearby buy-side liquidity after sweeping the June lows and is attempting to build a bullish market structure.

Price is filling a short-term Fair Value Gap (FVG) while approaching a nearby Order Block (OB), where sellers may become active. $ETH

Bitcoin is back above $66,000 for the first time since June, signaling renewed market strength.

$BTC is currently trading around $66,533, up 2.94% in the last 24 hours after reaching a daily high of $66,640. Price continues to hold above key moving averages, keeping the short term trend bullish.

Momentum is building, and the next move could set the tone for the rest of the market.

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$SOL is trading inside a major demand zone after a long correction from its previous highs. Buyers are defending this area, suggesting that selling pressure may be fading and accumulation could be taking place.

The first challenge is reclaiming the $100-$120 resistance zone. A successful breakout above this range could confirm renewed bullish momentum and pave the way for a much larger rally.

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