SC02 H1 - pending Short order. Entry is in the HVN + not impacted by any weak zones, estimated stop-loss around 5.98%. The downtrend is in the 385th cycle, amplitude -38.36%.
🧭 Higher-probability path (tilts bullish if pivot holds)
Hold/reclaim 69,017–70,493 → squeeze shorts through 70,493–71,641 → 71,641–72,215; if price can hold above 72,215, the path can extend to 72,215–73,363 → 73,363–74,511 and potentially 74,511–75,659.
🔁 Alternate path (bearish if pivot breaks)
Lose 69,017–70,493 (especially a clean break below 69,017) → pull into 69,017–68,443 → 68,443–67,869 → 67,869–67,295; stronger sell pressure could drag into 67,295–66,721 → 66,721–66,147, with deeper pockets around 65,573–64,999.
📌 Navigation levels
• Pivot: 69,017–70,493
• Bull confirmation: solid close above 71,641–72,215 (ideally clearing 72,215–73,363)
SC02 H4 - pending Short order. Entry is within the LVN + not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 12.91%. The downtrend is in the 138th cycle, amplitude -57.32%.
SC02 H1 - pending Short order. Entry is within the HVN + meets a positive simplification condition with 2 consecutive Shorts that previously delivered very strong profits, estimated stop-loss around 6.39%. The downtrend is in the 298th cycle, amplitude -42.24%.
SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry includes the POC + meets a positive simplification condition with a previous Short that delivered very strong profits, estimated stop-loss around 9.52%. The downtrend is in the 118th cycle, amplitude -38.58%.
SC02 H1 - pending Short order. Entry is in the HVN + not impacted by any weak zones, estimated stop-loss around 5.73%. The downtrend is in the 536th cycle, amplitude -50.21%.
SC02 H1 - pending Short order. Entry is in the HVN + meets the positive simplification condition with a previous Short order that delivered very strong profits, estimated stop-loss around 6.85%. The downtrend is in the 302nd cycle, amplitude -39.32%.
SC02 H1 - pending Short order. Entry contains POC + is not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 6.22%. The downtrend is in the 271st cycle, amplitude -37.43%.
🧭 Higher-probability path (bullish bias if pivot holds)
Hold/reclaim 1.369–1.384 → squeeze shorts through 1.405–1.426 → 1.426–1.471 → 1.471–1.501; if momentum stays strong, the move can extend toward 1.501–1.531 then 1.531–1.561.
🔁 Alternate path (bearish if pivot breaks)
Lose 1.369–1.384 → drag into 1.369–1.342 → 1.342–1.312 → 1.312–1.297 → 1.297–1.267; deeper flush can probe 1.267–1.237 then 1.237–1.207.
📌 Navigation levels
• Pivot: 1.369–1.384
• Bull confirm: solid close above 1.501–1.531 (prefer 1.561–1.576)
In investing, many people fail not because they lack knowledge, but because they can’t accept being wrong. When ego takes over and the priority becomes “getting it back” at any cost, small mistakes get fed into bigger ones—until you reach a point of no return, where the price can be total ruin.
To become a real investor, you have to train a different habit: accept that being wrong is part of the game, cut the mistake while it’s still small, lock down risk before it grows, and patiently wait for the next opportunity with a calmer mind.
SC02 H1 - pending Short order. Entry contains POC + meets a positive simplification, with a previous Short delivering very strong profits, estimated stop-loss around 6.53%. The downtrend is in the 289th cycle, amplitude -38.17%.
SC02 H1 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + is not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 7.12%. The downtrend is in the 283rd cycle, amplitude -43.42%.
SC02 H1 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + is not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 7.36%. The downtrend is in the 284th cycle, amplitude -52.28%.
SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry contains POC + is not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 0.66%. The downtrend is in the 224th cycle, amplitude -5.28%.
SC02 H1 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + is not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 5.41%. The downtrend is in the 239th cycle, amplitude -37.46%.
SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + is not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 0.75%. The downtrend is in the 368th cycle, amplitude -5.80%.
The statistics show the correlation between the FGI index and win rate remains low (r ~ -0.18). This confirms FGI is not a predictive signal for price direction or entry timing, but it plays a key role in quantifying position risk. In practice, trading performance tends to deteriorate noticeably when market sentiment reaches extreme euphoria—making it an early risk warning signal rather than an opportunity to expand profits.
Below is a summary of Win Rate (WR), the minimum breakeven R:R, and the number of recorded days (n) across sentiment zones for reference:
SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry lies within LVN + is not affected by any weak zone, estimated stop-loss around 0.56%. The downtrend is in the 106th cycle, amplitude -3.46%.
Unlock schedule for the next 50 tokens: personally, I only care about trading Futures when it’s a Cliff Unlock event and the unlock volume is greater than 25% of the daily trading volume. If you’re focused on longer-term investing, keep an eye on these events to optimize your entries after each unlock.
Right now, there are 9 unlock events worth watching due to high unlock volume versus daily trading volume: