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#Binance Announces The $400 Million "Together Initiative" - An Industry Recovery and Confidence Rebuilding Plan

Published on 2025-10-14 20:47

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September 17th – Rate Cut Hype

Markets are buzzing: “Rate Cut = 🚀 Bullish.”
But seasoned traders know: one cut doesn’t change the cycle.

💎 Best Bullish Case

✔ Cut today
✔ Signals 2+ more cuts
✔ Confidence that inflation is easing
👉 That’s a sustainable rally.

🧨 Worst Bearish Case

⚠ Cut today but no roadmap
⚠ Inflation sticky, no clarity
👉 Fake pump → bloody dump in 48–72 hrs.

⚡ What Actually Matters:

1️⃣ Number of Cuts – One cut is risky (pump → dump). Multiple cuts create lasting momentum.
2️⃣ Powell’s Message – Clear roadmap = bullish. Hesitation = trap.
3️⃣ Inflation Outlook – Under control = ✅ green light. Sticky = ❌ risk.
4️⃣ Tone & Confidence – Strong = trust. Weak = worse than no cut.

📌 Final Word

Headlines can pump the market, but without the full bullish combo, it’s just noise.
Trade with logic, not emotion. Don’t get trapped as exit liquidity.

#FedRateCutExpectations

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#FedRateCutExpectations
What most analysts expect
First cut likely in September (16-17 FOMC meeting)
Many major brokerages now expect the Fed to make a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut in September.

Multiple cuts through late 2025
Morgan Stanley and Deutsche Bank forecast three cuts in 2025: in September, October, and December, each by 25 bps.

Some forecasts see more aggressive easing, but 25 bps per meeting is the common baseline.

Target Fed funds rate by end-2025 / early 2026
The consensus among many is that by early 2026, the Fed funds rate could drop to a range around 3.25%–3.50%, depending on inflation path, labor market data, etc. JPMorgan+2Deloitte+2

High probability priced in by markets
Traders are placing very high odds (≈ 90-95%) on a 25 bps cut in the coming meeting.

A 50 bps cut is considered much less likely, currently a small probability tail.

⚠️ Risks / reasons a cut might be delayed or smaller

Inflation is still above the Fed’s target (especially core inflation) in many estimates. If inflation stubbornly remains high, the Fed may delay cuts or reduce the magnitude.

Labor market strength: job growth, low unemployment may give the Fed room to stay cautious. If employment remains strong, Fed may resist cutting too quickly.

Global or domestic shocks (trade, fiscal policy, supply‐side constraints) could complicate disinflation.

🔮 What it means in practice: “Baseline scenario”

Here’s a likely path under current expectations:
TimelineExpected Fed Funds Rate MoveMid-September 2025 25 bps cut (~first in the cycle)October & December 2025 Further cuts, maybe 2 more of 25 bps each, bringing cumulative 75 bps cut by end of year by some forecasts. Early 2026 Depending on inflation & jobs, possibly more cuts, with rates in 3.25-3.50% range in some optimistic scenarios.

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