Options expiry often pins price near max pain. Falling IV and defensive hedging favor range play, not hero trades. Liquidity decides the break after expiry.
Elon Jamess
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$90,000 Loses It's Pull On Bitcoin As $8.8 Billion Options Expiry Approaches
About 8.8 billion dollars in Bitcoin and Ethereum options are set to expire today January 30 2026 making it the first monthly options expiry of the year It shifts attention back to Bitcoin fight to move back above 90000 as the leading crypto keeps moving farther away from that level. Options market shows a cautious tone as Bitcoin continues to trade well below the $90,000 level. Most of today’s exposure is in Bitcoin options worth about 7.54 billion dollars while Ethereum options add another 1.2 billion dollars Bitcoin is trading near 82,761 which is far under the 90,000 max pain level even with the drop market positioning still looks bullish overall. Call open interest is at 61,437 contracts versus 29,648 put contracts which brings the put to call ratio down to 0.48 total open interest in bitcoin options is 91,085 contracts showing how large the leverage and positioning is before expiry.
But under the hood trader behavior is turning more defensive analysts at Deribit say that even though Bitcoin is stuck in a range demand for downside protection has jumped sharply going into expiry.
Deribit analysts noted that the need for protection against losses has increased, indicating that traders are being careful, even though overall market bets remain mostly optimistic. They mentioned that as options approach expiry, price movements around important levels could become more pronounced, particularly near the pain zones, since prices often move toward the maximum pain points at that time.
Lower Volatility and Rising Liquidity Risks Shape the Scene for January Options Expiry On a macro scale, expected market swings are decreasing. Analysts at Greeks.live report that implied volatility (IV) has been steadily dropping, highlighting a wider phase of consolidation in the crypto markets. Greeks.live stated that today is the first monthly options expiry of 2026, with more than a quarter of all options positions scheduled to expire. As anticipated, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, and with no significant events coming up, the market stays quite steady, while implied volatility (IV) keeps falling. Bitcoin’s price movements mirror this calm. Greeks.live observed that Bitcoin has “slipped back into its consolidation zone in the second half of the month,” with $90,000 serving as strong resistance. The analysts added that no clear triggers seem likely to end this deadlock, implying that the options expiry could be one of the few short-term factors to drive price changes. However risks are quietly rising. Greeks.live pointed out that recent big institutional withdrawals to exchanges have heightened liquidity pressures in the crypto market. US crypto-linked stocks have also fallen, adding to a shift in sentiment that is slowly becoming more negative. With ongoing geopolitical tensions and growing fear, uncertainty, and doubt, bearish sentiment has steadily strengthened. Before the Federal Reserve’s rate announcement, some traders had started buying downside protection to guard against short-term volatility, and this trend has continued even after the central bank decided to keep rates unchanged. With no obvious macro triggers coming soon, traders seem prepared for possible short-term swings around the options expiry, protecting against losses while anticipating a clear move outside Bitcoin’s $80,000 to $90,000 range. Bitcoin Grip on $90,000 Fades Ahead of $8.8 Billion Options Expiry first appeared on BeInCrypto. #Binance #squarecreator
HISTORY OF 2008 REPEATING!! No rage bait or clickbait listen.. #Gold hits an ATH at $5,330 #Silver hits an ATH at $115 I don't want to SCARE you, but this is not a recession anymore. We are on the verge of a HUGE COLLAPSE of the US dollar. If you hold any assets, you MUST read this post. Here's what's happening: When gold and silver pump like this, it means that big money is derisking their capital. Silver pumped 7% in just ONE SESSION. People are not buying metals because they want to, they are buying because they are TERRIFIED of holding anything else. And that's only the beginning. In China, one ounce of physical silver costs OVER $134 right now. In Japan, one ounce will cost you $139. This is the biggest spread between paper and physical asset I have ever seen. But once the market starts CRASHING, Big Money will be forced to sell papers to cover their losses. It’s a forced liquidation before we go even higher. The FED and US government are literally trapped: SCENARIO 1 If Trump forces Powell to cut rates to save the crashing stock market, Gold will hit $6,000 instantly. SCENARIO 2 If the FED holds rates to save the dollar, the real estate and equity markets COLLAPSE. THERE'S NO GOOD SCENARIO... This week will change the market forever, and you MUST be ready for it. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October $BTC
ALERT: Bitcoin May Be Heading for a Major Dump 🚨 Bitcoin ($BTC ) is showing signs that history could be repeating itself — and if past market cycles are any guide, a deep correction may be ahead, potentially dragging price toward the $32,000 zone. 📉 History Never Lies — It Rhymes Every major Bitcoin bull cycle has been followed by a brutal bear market: 2017 Cycle: $BTC peaked near $19,000 → followed by an -84.1% crash in 2018 2021 Cycle: $BTC topped around $69,000 → dumped -77.4% into 2022 2025 Cycle (Projected): Peak around $126,000 → possible -72.2% correction in 2026 If this pattern continues, Bitcoin could revisit levels near $32k before the next true accumulation phase begins. ⚠️ What This Means for Traders & Investors Euphoria often marks cycle tops Smart money distributes while retail buys the hype Patience beats panic — cash is also a position This doesn’t mean Bitcoin is “dead.” It means cycles are doing what they’ve always done: shaking out weak hands before the next long-term opportunity. 📌 Bookmark this. Save this. Prepare for volatility. The real test of discipline starts now. #BTC #Bitcoi #CryptoAlert #CryptoCycle #BTCUSD $BTC
$ASTER Aster (ASTR) has been showing sideways price action after an extended downtrend. Recent candlesticks reflect indecision in the market, often seen before a strong move. Volume has slightly decreased, indicating that the market is waiting for a catalyst. If buyers regain control, a short-term recovery toward higher resistance levels is possible. Market Structure: Trend: Short-term bearish Momentum: Weak but stabilizing Volatility: Moderate to high Trading Insight: Conservative traders may wait for a break and close above resistance. Aggressive traders may look for support-based entries with tight stop-loss. Final Thought: ASTR’s next direction will likely depend on overall market sentiment and volume expansion. Patience and discipline are key when trading such assets. Always do your own research before trading. $ASTR