Elon Jamess

Blockchain has been talked about for years but real everyday adoption is still limited Most people only connect it with trading coins or chasing hype But the real shift is happening somewhere else It is happening inside gaming And this is where Vanar is building quietly and seriously
Gaming is no longer just about fun skins and leaderboards It has turned into full digital economies Players spend time energy and money inside virtual worlds But in traditional games they do not truly own anything If a game shuts down everything disappears Blockchain changes that And Vanar understands this better than most Layer 1 networks
Vanar is a Layer 1 blockchain focused on real world adoption not just speculation Its vision is built around gaming entertainment metaverse experiences AI and enterprise solutions Instead of trying to force people into crypto through complicated finance tools Vanar is bringing blockchain to where people already spend time and that is gaming
At the center of this strategy is the Vanar Games Network also known as VGN This is not just another gaming project It is the gaming layer of the entire Vanar ecosystem VGN is designed to connect both Web2 and Web3 gaming into one unified environment This is important because most gamers today are still in Web2 They are not crypto natives They just want good gameplay
VGN allows developers to add blockchain features into games without ruining the core gaming experience This is a major difference Many early blockchain games focused too much on tokens and rewards and forgot about gameplay That is why many GameFi projects failed Players felt like they were working instead of playing Vanar is taking a different approach The gameplay comes first Blockchain works in the background
As GameFi continues to grow Vanar positions itself as a bridge between traditional gaming and play to earn economies Play to earn or P2E showed the world that gamers can earn real value from their time But the first generation of P2E had sustainability problems Rewards were high but not always backed by real utility Vanar focuses on building real digital economies not short term reward cycles
Gaming is one of the core pillars of Vanar strategy alongside AI metaverse applications and enterprise level solutions This shows the vision is bigger than just one use case But gaming is the strongest entry point Because gaming combines digital ownership social interaction virtual economies and entertainment all in one place
Digital ownership is powerful When players own assets as blockchain based items those assets can move beyond a single game They can trade them sell them or hold them as value This creates real engagement Social interaction also matters Gamers build communities clans and friendships When blockchain adds ownership and rewards into that mix the ecosystem becomes stronger
The Vanar ecosystem includes platforms like Virtua Metaverse and VGN and everything runs through the VANRY token The VANRY token powers transactions rewards and asset ownership across the network It is not just a coin for trading It is fuel for the ecosystem Players can use it inside games developers can build around it and the economy grows around real activity
What makes VGN important is that it supports both traditional developers and blockchain native developers A Web2 studio does not have to rebuild everything from zero They can integrate blockchain features smoothly This lowers the barrier for adoption And when developers can join easily users follow naturally
Vanar long term vision is clear Onboard millions of users through experiences they already understand Instead of teaching complex wallet setups on day one users can enter through a game They play they enjoy and slowly they understand digital ownership This soft onboarding model is powerful It removes fear and confusion
Gaming has always been the gateway for new technology Online payments became normal because of games Virtual goods became accepted because of games Even social platforms grew through gaming communities Now blockchain can grow the same way And Vanar is building infrastructure to support that growth
The focus is not hype It is infrastructure VGN is designed as a foundation where multiple games can exist not just one title This network effect is important Because when many games share the same token and economy the value becomes stronger The ecosystem becomes connected instead of isolated
Vanar is not ignoring other sectors AI and enterprise tools are also part of the strategy But gaming remains the secret weapon Because it creates daily active users not just investors And real adoption means users not just traders
As blockchain gaming evolves from simple NFT experiments into full digital economies platforms like Vanar stand out because they think long term They are not just launching tokens They are building systems where developers players and brands can participate together
Mass adoption will not happen through complicated financial dashboards It will happen when normal people use blockchain without even realizing it And gaming makes that possible A player who earns owns and trades assets inside a game is already using blockchain even if they do not think about it
That is why gaming is not just a feature in Vanar ecosystem It is the core engine It connects Web2 to Web3 It connects fun to finance It connects entertainment to ownership And it connects millions of everyday users to blockchain technology
Vanar understands something simple People do not adopt technology because it is advanced They adopt it because it makes their experience better Gaming does exactly that And through VGN VANRY and the wider ecosystem Vanar is positioning itself as one of the strongest bridges between traditional digital life and the blockchain future
This is not just about play to earn It is about play own and participate It is about building real economies inside virtual worlds And if blockchain is going to reach mass audiences gaming will lead the way And Vanar is building directly in that direction
@Vanarchain #Vanar $VANRY

Right now XPL feels like it is sitting in that silent zone markets usually enter before something changes. The candles are not exciting. Volume has cooled down. Social media noise is lower. On the surface it looks like nothing is happening. But when you slow down and really study the structure it tells a different story.
Selling pressure is not the same as before. The aggressive lower lows that used to shake confidence have stopped printing. Instead price is holding inside what I would call a boring range. This kind of range is not dramatic. It does not attract hype traders. But many times in crypto these boring zones come before expansion not before collapse. When a market stops falling even when sentiment is weak that is something serious traders notice.
These are the moments that test belief. When momentum fades and attention moves to the next trending coin only the people watching structure stay focused. Compression like this does not promise upside. Nothing in markets is guaranteed. But often it shows that supply is being absorbed quietly. Strong hands build positions while weak hands lose interest.
While the chart is resting Plasma as a project has not been resting.
Plasma is built as a Layer 1 blockchain focused mainly on stablecoin payments. It is EVM compatible which means developers from Ethereum can build on it without learning something totally new. One of its biggest features is zero fee USDT transfers for simple transactions. The network uses a paymaster system so users do not need to hold XPL just to send USDT. That removes friction for normal users who only care about sending digital dollars fast and cheap. More advanced actions still use XPL for gas but basic transfers are designed to feel simple.
The network also supports custom gas tokens and is working toward a Bitcoin bridge so BTC can be used in smart contracts in a more trust minimized way. The goal is clear. Make stablecoin movement feel smooth and natural instead of technical and expensive.
Plasma launched its mainnet beta in 2025 and from day one there was serious liquidity. Reports showed billions in stablecoins moving onto the chain early on. That matters because real liquidity means real usage potential. It is easier to build lending markets savings products and DeFi systems when capital is already present.
Binance also played a role in bringing attention and users to Plasma. There was a USDT locked product where users could lock stablecoins and receive yield plus XPL token exposure. The cap filled fast which showed demand from the community. XPL was also included in Binance holder programs that distributed tokens to eligible users. This kind of exposure helps spread ownership and builds a wider base of participants.
But the most important part is not exchange listings or token campaigns. It is real world use.
The partnership with MassPay is a strong example. MassPay works with global payout systems and together with Plasma they are enabling stablecoin payouts across more than 230 regions. Think about what that means. Marketplaces gig workers creators remote teams and online businesses do not care about crypto narratives. They care about getting paid quickly and reliably. Traditional payout rails can take days. Fees stack up. Cross border transfers create headaches. If Plasma infrastructure allows stablecoin payouts in seconds instead of days that is real utility not marketing talk.
This is where the thesis becomes interesting.
When price is loud everyone talks about potential. When price goes quiet only real utility remains. Right now XPL is trading in a calm range while partnerships and infrastructure continue to grow. That alignment matters more long term than short bursts of volatility.
XPL sits at the center of this value flow. It is not only a speculative token. It secures the network through staking. It is designed to take part in governance. It becomes part of the economic engine of the chain. As payment volume increases and integrations deepen the token connects holders to network growth not just price swings.
Markets reward expansion phases but expansion is built during compression. The current zone may feel boring. But boring phases are often where foundations are formed. If this base keeps holding and real adoption keeps building quietly in the background this period could look very different later.
In crypto people chase noise. But serious growth usually happens when nobody is paying attention. Quiet charts and steady progress can be more powerful than hype cycles.
Right now Plasma feels like it is building during silence. Selling has slowed. Structure is stabilizing. Real partnerships are forming. Stablecoin infrastructure is expanding. Binance exposure brought new eyes. MassPay is pushing real world payouts. The token has a defined role in staking governance and network economics.
Nothing here guarantees a breakout tomorrow. But when markets stop dropping despite weak sentiment and when infrastructure keeps improving at the same time that combination deserves attention.
Quiet phase. Real building. Less noise. More structure. Sometimes that is exactly how the next chapter begins.
#plasma $XPL
@Plasma

Bitcoin (BTC) might bounce back from its current downturn and climb to $150,000 before year-end, according to a new outlook from Bernstein.
Main points:
BTC needs to stay above its 200-week simple moving average and show renewed inflows from new investors.Idle capital has to return to the crypto market, and concerns around quantum risks must be tackled.Additional Fed rate cuts in 2026 could revive risk appetite and drive more investors back into Bitcoin.

Bitcoin needs to remain above this crucial trend line.
A key factor that has repeatedly signaled Bitcoin’s shift from bear phases to fresh bull runs is how price behaves around the 200-week simple moving average (200-week SMA, often shown as the blue line).
In past cycles, this level has pulled price toward it during sharp declines and later acted as a strong support base once selling pressure eased.

In 2015 and 2018, Bitcoin found its bottom close to the 200-week SMA before launching into multi-year rallies. During the 2022 bear market, BTC briefly slipped below this level, but the breakdown didn’t last long.
Staying above the 200-week SMA lowers the risk of an extended sell-off like 2022 and keeps the door open for a fresh bullish cycle.
New investor demand must rebound
A lasting uptrend also depends on a turnaround in fresh investor inflows.
As of February, wallets linked to new and short-term holders have recorded about $2.7 billion in net outflows the largest since 2022.

In strong bull markets, dips usually bring in new money and boost overall participation. But right now, the reverse is taking place, according to IT Tech, an onchain analyst linked to CryptoQuant.
The analyst noted that current data looks similar to the period after an all-time high, when smaller buyers step aside and price movement is driven more by internal rotation than by fresh inflows.
In past cycles such as 2020, 2021 and 2022 lasting bullish turnarounds only happened after new investor flows clearly shifted back into positive territory.

A similar shift will be needed in 2026 to build a convincing bullish outlook for Bitcoin. On Monday, Bitcoin ETF net inflows turned positive, potentially signaling that investor demand is beginning to recover.
Tether liquidity needs to rotate back into crypto
Tether (USDT) has recently increased its share of the overall crypto market, approaching a well-known 8.5%–9.0% resistance range.
When USDT dominance climbs, it typically indicates that investors are holding funds in stablecoins and staying cautious. A decline in dominance, on the other hand, often suggests money is moving back into Bitcoin and the wider crypto market.

Since November 2022, noticeable reversals from the 8%–9% zone have coincided with strong Bitcoin rallies.
In one instance, a rejection from that range led to a 76% surge over roughly 140 days. In another, it was followed by a 169% climb across about 180 days. A comparable pattern appeared between 2020 and 2022, when the key resistance area was around 4.5%–5.75%.
When USDT dominance pushed above that level in May 2022, Bitcoin dropped another 45%, highlighting their inverse relationship.
Therefore, a decline in Tether dominance would likely be needed to spark the next major Bitcoin uptrend.
Quantum Fears must subside
Concerns about quantum computing are often raised as a potential future obstacle for Bitcoin. The theory is that highly advanced quantum computers could eventually become powerful enough to break the cryptographic security that protects Bitcoin wallets and transactions.
Some analysts claim that nearly 25 percent of current Bitcoin addresses might already be at risk if quantum technology reached that level. This idea has created fear that a large portion of Bitcoin holdings could one day become vulnerable.
Despite these worries, most experts in the security and cryptography field believe the threat is still very far away. They argue that practical quantum computers capable of breaking Bitcoin encryption do not exist yet and are unlikely to appear anytime soon.
For example, in November 2025, cryptographer and Blockstream CEO Adam Back explained that Bitcoin faces no serious quantum danger for at least the next 20 to 40 years. He also emphasized that the Bitcoin network can be upgraded to become quantum resistant long before it ever becomes a real issue.
Bitcoin Optech has further clarified that any short term quantum risk would be limited to specific situations, such as addresses that have been reused, rather than threatening the entire Bitcoin network at once.
For Bitcoin to strengthen its bullish outlook in 2026, concerns around the quantum computing risk need to be properly addressed so investors can feel confident again.
To move in that direction, major companies like Coinbase and Strategy have already started taking action. They are working with specialists and developing clear plans to guide future upgrades that will improve Bitcoin security and protect it against potential quantum threats.

More rate cuts by the fed
Bitcoin could have a better chance of returning to a strong bull market in 2026 if the US Federal Reserve lowers interest rates further. Market expectations suggest that at least two rate cuts next year would create more favorable conditions for risk assets like Bitcoin. As of February, pricing in the CME futures market was already reflecting the possibility of these cuts, indicating growing optimism among investors.

When interest rates fall, investments that rely on fixed returns, such as US Treasury bonds, usually become less attractive. As a result, investors often look for better opportunities in other markets. This movement of money typically benefits riskier assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies.
According to Lee Ferridge, a strategist at State Street Corp, Donald Trump could encourage the incoming Federal Reserve chair to implement as many as three rate cuts in 2026.
If those cuts happen, they could further boost interest in Bitcoin and other high risk assets, as traders search for stronger returns in a lower rate environment.
#Binance #squarecreator #bitcoin

US spot Bitcoin ETFs kept pulling in fresh money for a third straight session and the inflows this week have almost balanced out the withdrawals seen last week.
Spot Bitcoin ($BTC) ETFs recorded $166.6 million in inflows on Tuesday, bringing total inflows this week to $311.6 million, according to data from SoSoValue.
Last week the ETFs recorded about 318 million dollars in net withdrawals making it the third week in a row of losses with total outflows now over 3 billion dollars.

Bitcoin ETF momentum has picked up in recent sessions, despite $BTC price declining around 13% over the past seven days, with the price briefly slipping below $68,000 on Tuesday,
Earlier this week analysts pointed out that selling pressure across crypto ETPs was easing and hinted that the overall trend could be starting to turn around.
Goldman trims Bitcoin ETF exposure, adds $XRP and Solana ETFs
Yesterday Goldman Sachs revealed in an SEC Form 13F filing that it reduced its Bitcoin ETF holdings during the fourth quarter of 2025.
The bank notably scaled back its stake in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), lowering its shares from about 70 million in Q3 to 40.6 million in Q4—a 39% drop—valued at roughly 2 billion dollars.
Goldman Sachs also cut its holdings in other Bitcoin-related funds and firms, such as Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin (FBTC) and Bitcoin Depot, while trimming its positions in Ether (ETH) ETFs.
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs revealed its initial investments in $XRP and Solana (SOL) ETFs, buying 6.95 million $XRP ETF shares worth 152 million dollars and 8.24 million Solana ETF shares valued at 104 million dollars.
In a related note, Bernstein described the Bitcoin sell-off as the ‘weakest bear case’ ever and maintained its 2026 price target of $150,000.
Yesterday, spot altcoin ETFs recorded small inflows, with Ether funds increasing by about 14 million dollars, while $XRP and Solana ETFs rose by 3.3 million and 8.4 million dollars, respectively.
On Thursday, Bloomberg’s senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas pointed out that most Bitcoin ETF investors kept their holdings during the recent dip, with only around 6% of total assets leaving the funds despite sharp drops in Bitcoin prices.
He also mentioned that even though BlackRock’s IBIT fell from a peak of 100 billion dollars to 60 billion, the fund could stay at that level for years while still holding the record as the fastest ETF ever to reach 60 billion.
#BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #WhenWillBTCRebound

Most people in crypto keep arguing about one thing only
how fast and cheap they can move stablecoins like USDT
Plasma already fits into that story with no fee transfers and a design built around stablecoins and real world payment rails
But there is something way more important that almost nobody talks about
Real payments are not just money moving
they are money plus information
In normal finance every payment connects to something real
an invoice
a salary
a supplier bill
a refund
a subscription
an order
Banks did not win global payments because they are fast
they won because every transaction carries clean data that businesses can understand track and reconcile
That is the real power behind finance
And this is where Plasma has a chance to change stablecoins forever
Why Blind Transfers Can Never Scale
In crypto a payment is usually just wallet to wallet
the blockchain records it and that is the end
But a business does not care that money arrived
they care why it arrived
If a marketplace has thousands of sellers
they do not need random payments
they need payments clearly tied to orders fees refunds and adjustments
If a company pays workers around the world
each payment must connect to contracts jobs and tax records
If an online store sends refunds
each refund must link back to the original purchase
Without this data everything becomes manual work
people chasing transactions
spreadsheets
support tickets
accounting mistakes
Humans do not scale
systems do
That is why most businesses still avoid using crypto rails seriously
The Boring Part Of Payments Is The Part That Works
Banks and payment networks created messaging standards for one reason
to attach structured information to every payment
This lets software automatically match invoices
lets auditors verify flows
lets finance teams close books easily
lets support teams track issues
When payment data is weak exceptions explode
and exceptions cost more than fees
Businesses will always pay small fees to avoid big operational chaos
Plasma Real Opportunity Is Data First Payments
Plasma already talks about fast stablecoin settlement and zero fees
But the bigger future is turning stablecoin transfers into real business ready payments
Payments that include
reference numbers
invoice links
structured metadata
clean traceability
clear transaction relationships
When this happens stablecoins stop being blind transfers
They become usable financial infrastructure
This is what institutions care about
They do not ask only does it work
they ask
can we reconcile it
can we audit it
can we track it
can compliance approve it
can it scale without breaking
A data rich payment chain answers all of that
Invoice Level Stablecoin Payments Change Everything
Most global trade runs on invoices
Companies send money because an invoice exists
not just because they want to move funds
Invoices include IDs dates items partial payments and adjustments
Now imagine stablecoin payments built to settle invoices cleanly every time
Not messy memo notes
but structured machine readable payment data
Suddenly
payments auto match accounting systems
suppliers instantly know what was paid
auditors can verify everything
refunds link perfectly to purchases
This is when stablecoins feel like real business money
Refunds And Disputes Become Normal Not Risky
Refunds are not just sending money back
They connect a new payment to an old one in a traceable way
Traditional finance does this naturally
crypto usually does not
With proper payment data
refunds become automatic
records stay clean
disputes become easier
trust increases
This is how stablecoins become safe for real commerce
Payments Must Be Operable Not Just Fast
Real payment systems are observable
Teams can monitor flows
detect problems
trace failures
prove what happened
This is how serious financial infrastructure runs
If Plasma combines stablecoin settlement with real operational tools
trace IDs
event tracking
process level visibility
It becomes a professional payment rail not just a blockchain
Better Payment Data Improves Everyday Users Too
This is not only for big companies
Strong payment data means
clear receipts
clear refund status
easy transaction history
less lost money
fewer support problems
less confusion
This is why fintech apps feel smooth
Behind the scenes strong data systems are working
Plasma bringing this to stablecoins improves user experience massively
What Real Adoption Will Look Like
If Plasma succeeds it will not be hype
It will look like
companies accepting stablecoins easily
marketplaces running clean payouts
refunds becoming simple
finance teams approving crypto rails
support issues dropping
Quiet real growth
The Big Picture
Stablecoins are only half of a payment system
Value is one part
meaning is the other
Money without context creates chaos
Money with structured data becomes infrastructure
When stablecoin payments carry real information
they stop being crypto tools
they become real world money
Final Thought
Plasma real superpower is not moving coins faster
It is turning transfers into real payments businesses can run on
If Plasma builds a strong data first payment layer
stablecoins will finally move from crypto rails to real financial rails
Not through hype
but through systems that actually work
@Plasma #plasma $XPL

Blockchain is slowly moving from hype to real world use. More banks fintech companies and payment platforms are now working with blockchain networks to improve how money moves and how digital services work. Instead of building everything alone they are forming partnerships to grow faster and safer. One strong example of this shift is the alliance between Vanar and Emirates Digital Wallet.
This partnership is focused on creating better digital payment systems improving identity solutions and expanding access to financial services across different regions. It shows how blockchain is becoming part of everyday finance not just crypto trading.
Fintech is changing fast. People want payments that are quick low cost and secure. Businesses want systems that reduce delays fraud and high fees. Traditional banking networks are slow and expensive especially for cross border payments. This is where blockchain fits in.
Blockchain networks like Vanar are built to handle large volumes of transactions while staying fast and affordable. They also use strong security systems that protect data and prevent tampering. On top of that blockchain can support digital identity tools that help verify users safely without relying on old centralized databases.
Because of this many fintech platforms are now using blockchain as their base layer to modernize how payments and digital services work.
Emirates Digital Wallet is part of the UAE’s push toward a cashless economy. The goal is to make digital payments easy and widely available for both individuals and businesses. It supports everyday transactions and helps bring more people into the digital financial system.
By teaming up with a blockchain network like Vanar Emirates Digital Wallet can explore new types of payment systems that are faster clearer and more secure. Instead of waiting days for settlement transactions can happen almost instantly. Instead of high processing fees costs can stay low. And instead of weak data systems digital identity can be handled in a safer way.
Vanar’s role in this partnership is focused on providing real world ready blockchain infrastructure. The network is designed to work at scale which is important for fintech platforms that serve large user bases.
One major benefit is instant payment settlement. In traditional systems money often moves through several middlemen which slows everything down. With blockchain payments can go directly from one party to another in seconds.
Another key area is secure digital identity. Blockchain allows users to verify who they are without exposing all their personal data. This can make onboarding easier reduce fraud and help meet compliance rules.
Low cost transactions are also a big advantage. Blockchain removes many of the hidden fees found in old financial systems. This is especially helpful for small payments remittances and everyday spending.
Finally Vanar supports scalable financial applications. As digital wallets grow and add new services the infrastructure must keep up. Vanar is built to handle growth without slowing down or becoming expensive.
This collaboration reflects a larger trend happening across fintech and blockchain. Companies are no longer experimenting just for fun. They are building systems meant for real users real businesses and real economies.
Vanar is also forming other partnerships to push blockchain deeper into mainstream finance. One example is its work with major payment processors to explore Web3 based financial solutions. These efforts aim to combine traditional payment experience with blockchain speed and transparency.
The UAE itself has become a strong hub for digital finance and blockchain innovation. The government has created clear regulations that support digital assets while protecting users. This has attracted many global crypto and fintech companies to operate in the region.
There is also a strong push to move toward cashless payments and digital financial services. Digital wallets stablecoins and blockchain platforms are growing quickly as people become more comfortable using them for daily transactions.
Big players like Binance expanding in the region further show that blockchain is becoming part of regulated mainstream finance not just online trading communities.
All of this creates the perfect environment for partnerships like Vanar and Emirates Digital Wallet to succeed.
For everyday users this means faster payments lower fees and better security. For businesses it means smoother operations and easier cross border transactions. For the financial system as a whole it means a move toward more open efficient and inclusive services.
This is not about quick hype or short term trends. It is about building the infrastructure that will power digital finance for years to come.
Vanar’s collaboration with Emirates Digital Wallet is a clear example of how blockchain is being used in practical ways to solve real problems. It shows that the future of fintech will not be built by banks alone or blockchain alone but by both working together.
As more partnerships like this appear we will likely see digital payments become faster cheaper and more accessible worldwide.
The shift has already started and Vanar is positioning itself right in the middle of it.
@Vanarchain #Vanar $VANRY

Bitcoin is showing signs of stability this month, supported by a seasonal trend, since historically it has never recorded losses in both January and February consecutively.
Key Points
Bitcoin has fallen 12.55% in February, following a 10.16% drop in January, testing a long-standing seasonal pattern.Historically, February has rebounded after a losing January (observed in 2015, 2016, 2018, 2019, 2022).Extreme pessimism prevails: the crypto Fear & Greed Index hit 5 (lowest ever), and Bitcoin’s RSI at 15 signals oversold conditions.Short positions totaling $5.45 billion could be liquidated if Bitcoin rises to around $10,000, potentially triggering a short squeeze.Bitcoin trades well below the 50-day ($87K) and 200-day ($102K) moving averages, limiting immediate upside.Key support levels remain near $60K, with longer-term Fibonacci levels around $57K–$42K guiding potential downside.parapharse it
Historical Trends Put February in Focus
For reference Bitcoin is hovering around $68,789, down 12.55% so far in February. In January, it also recorded losses, dropping 10.16% over the month.
As a result, this back-to-back weakness has caught traders’ eyes since it goes against historical trends. Data shows that when Bitcoin ended January lower, February usually saw a rebound, as seen in 2015, 2016, 2018, 2019, and 2022.
This makes February a crucial month. If Bitcoin posts a second straight monthly loss, it would be the first time both January and February fell, breaking a long-established seasonal pattern.

Short-Term Price Action Shows Early Stabilization
Amid this situation, Bitcoin surged past $71,000 on Monday after sentiment took a big hit. The rebound happened during widespread pessimism in crypto, which often signals a potential short-term pause or stabilization.
In this scenario, some traders believe that high fear in the market might help Bitcoin hold the $60,000 area, seen as an important yearly support. Others warn that low liquidity and bearish futures positions could limit gains in the short term.
Extreme Fear Highlights Oversold Conditions
Market sentiment has reached unusually low levels. Michaël van de Poppe, founder of MN Capital, pointed out that the Crypto Fear & Greed Index fell to 5, marking its all-time low. At the same time, Bitcoin’s daily RSI dropped to 15, indicating the asset is heavily oversold.
Van de Poppe likened the current market to the 2018 bear market and the March 2020 COVID-19 crash. From these similarities, he suggested that Bitcoin might stabilize and start recovering without needing to drop back to $60,000 right away.
Liquidation Data Favors an Upside Squeeze
Looking past sentiment, derivatives data also point to a potential rebound. CoinGlass data shows that about $5.45 billion in short positions could be liquidated if Bitcoin climbs roughly $10,000.
In comparison, a move back to $60,000 would trigger about $2.4 billion in liquidations. This imbalance suggests upward price movement could force short sellers to close positions, potentially accelerating a rally through a short squeeze.

Indeed, such liquidation dynamics often play a decisive role during periods of heightened volatility.

Technical Structure Remains a Limiting Factor
Even with favorable seasonal and sentiment factors, Bitcoin’s overall technical picture is still weak. CryptoQuant data indicates it is trading far below major moving averages.
The 50-day moving average stands near $87,000, while the 200-day average is close to $102,000. This wide separation reflects an ongoing corrective phase following the previous rally.
Also, CryptoQuant’s Price Z-Score is at -1.6, showing Bitcoin is trading below its average. In the past, setups like this have usually resulted in longer consolidation rather than an instant trend reversal.
Derivatives Markets Signal Continued Caution
Derivatives activity further underscores ongoing caution. Crypto analyst Darkfrost noted that monthly net taker volume dropped sharply to -$272 million.
At the same time, Binance’s taker buy-sell ratio dropped below 1, showing that selling is currently stronger than buying. Futures trading still dominates over spot activity, meaning a lasting price increase will likely need more spot market demand. Without that, any recovery could stay fragile.
Longer-Term Levels Stay in Focus
Looking further ahead, Bitcoin investor Jelle highlighted past trends with Fibonacci retracement levels. In previous cycles, bear market lows often appeared below the 0.618 retracement level.
In the current cycle, that level is positioned near $57,000, with deeper downside projections extending toward $42,000 if historical patterns repeat. For now, however, these levels serve as longer-term reference points rather than immediate targets.

As February unfolds, attention remains fixed on whether Bitcoin can uphold its historical tendency toward recovery.
#Binance #squarecreator