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🚨 BTC WARNING — THE 4-YEAR CYCLE IS BACK 🚨
Bitcoin’s monthly chart is doing the same thing it has every single cycle.
No exceptions. No misses.
Since 2013, BTC always follows this pattern:
• 2 years of steady growth
• 1 year of explosive bull run
• 1 year of brutal bear market
The bull run peaked in October 2025.
That phase is over.
📉 We are now in the bear market, likely lasting until October 2026.
If history repeats:
BTC may chop around $80k first
Then slide toward ~$50k by October 2026
This is the only indicator that has never failed me.
Save this. I’ll revisit it in October 2026.
No exceptions. No misses.
Since 2013, BTC always follows this pattern:
• 2 years of steady growth
• 1 year of explosive bull run
• 1 year of brutal bear market
The bull run peaked in October 2025.
That phase is over.
📉 We are now in the bear market, likely lasting until October 2026.
If history repeats:
BTC may chop around $80k first
Then slide toward ~$50k by October 2026
This is the only indicator that has never failed me.
Save this. I’ll revisit it in October 2026.
$DOGE – Selling pressure dried up and price is holding range lows without follow-through.
Long $DOGE
Entry: 0.118–0.122
SL: 0.142
TP1: 0.132
TP2: 0.145
TP3: 0.160
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $DOGE here 👇
Long $DOGE
Entry: 0.118–0.122
SL: 0.142
TP1: 0.132
TP2: 0.145
TP3: 0.160
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $DOGE here 👇
$BNB – Weak bounce into resistance after a larger downtrend. Looks like a fade, not a reversal.
Short $BNB
Entry: 895–905
SL: 930
TP1: 870
TP2: 840
TP3: 800
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $BNB here 👇
Short $BNB
Entry: 895–905
SL: 930
TP1: 870
TP2: 840
TP3: 800
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $BNB here 👇
$SOL — downside stalled, buyers quietly stepping in.
Long $SOL
Entry: 121.5–123.0
SL: 116.7
TP1: 128.0
TP2: 134.0
TP3: 142.0
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $SOL here 👇
Long $SOL
Entry: 121.5–123.0
SL: 116.7
TP1: 128.0
TP2: 134.0
TP3: 142.0
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $SOL here 👇
$ETH – Sellers pressed, but price stopped going lower.
Long $ETH
Entry: 2,880 – 2,940
SL: 2,780
TP1: 3,080
TP2: 3,200
TP3: 3,320
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $ETH here 👇
Long $ETH
Entry: 2,880 – 2,940
SL: 2,780
TP1: 3,080
TP2: 3,200
TP3: 3,320
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $ETH here 👇
$BTC — range lows defended, sellers losing follow-through
Long $BTC
Entry: 87,400 – 87,900
SL: 86,600
TP1: 88,900
TP2: 90,200
TP3: 92,000
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $BTC here 👇
Long $BTC
Entry: 87,400 – 87,900
SL: 86,600
TP1: 88,900
TP2: 90,200
TP3: 92,000
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $BTC here 👇
$AXS – sharp pullback into prior breakout zone. Panic selling fading.
Long $AXS
Entry: 2.05 – 2.15
SL: 1.85
TP1: 2.35
TP2: 2.60
TP3: 2.95
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $AXS here 👇
Long $AXS
Entry: 2.05 – 2.15
SL: 1.85
TP1: 2.35
TP2: 2.60
TP3: 2.95
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $AXS here 👇
$HYPE – Sharp reclaim off the lows with momentum finally waking up.
Long $HYPE
Entry: 31.5 – 32.5
SL: 29.9
TP1: 34.0
TP2: 36.8
TP3: 39.5
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are defending structure and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher is the cleaner path.
Trade $HYPE here 👇
Long $HYPE
Entry: 31.5 – 32.5
SL: 29.9
TP1: 34.0
TP2: 36.8
TP3: 39.5
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are defending structure and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher is the cleaner path.
Trade $HYPE here 👇
$KITE – late buyers chasing into resistance
Short $KITE
Entry: 0.145 – 0.148
SL: 0.152
TP1: 0.138
TP2: 0.130
TP3: 0.120
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $KITE here 👇
Short $KITE
Entry: 0.145 – 0.148
SL: 0.152
TP1: 0.138
TP2: 0.130
TP3: 0.120
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $KITE here 👇
$HOLO — bounce looks weak and corrective, not a real reversal
Short $HOLO
Entry: 0.075–0.077
SL: 0.083
TP1: 0.068
TP2: 0.062
TP3: 0.055
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $HOLO here 👇
Short $HOLO
Entry: 0.075–0.077
SL: 0.083
TP1: 0.068
TP2: 0.062
TP3: 0.055
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $HOLO here 👇
$Q – sharp impulse off a long base, looks like re-accumulation rather than exhaustion.
Long $Q
Entry: 0.0200 – 0.0212
SL: 0.0186
TP1: 0.0238
TP2: 0.0265
TP3: 0.0300
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $Q here 👇
Long $Q
Entry: 0.0200 – 0.0212
SL: 0.0186
TP1: 0.0238
TP2: 0.0265
TP3: 0.0300
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $Q here 👇
$WLD – Sellers couldn’t press it lower
Long $WLD
Entry: 0.505 – 0.520
SL: 0.485
TP1: 0.555
TP2: 0.600
TP3: 0.650
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $WLD here 👇
Long $WLD
Entry: 0.505 – 0.520
SL: 0.485
TP1: 0.555
TP2: 0.600
TP3: 0.650
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $WLD here 👇
$SYN – bounce into resistance, looks like a fade
Short $SYN
Entry: 0.0645 – 0.0665
SL: 0.0710
TP1: 0.0590
TP2: 0.0530
TP3: 0.0460
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $SYN here 👇
Short $SYN
Entry: 0.0645 – 0.0665
SL: 0.0710
TP1: 0.0590
TP2: 0.0530
TP3: 0.0460
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $SYN here 👇
$STABLE – relief rally into supply
Short $STABLE
Entry: 0.0305–0.0320
SL: 0.0355
TP1: 0.0265
TP2: 0.0220
TP3: 0.0180
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over and price isn’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $STABLE here 👇
Short $STABLE
Entry: 0.0305–0.0320
SL: 0.0355
TP1: 0.0265
TP2: 0.0220
TP3: 0.0180
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over and price isn’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $STABLE here 👇
$PLAY – Pullback after expansion, buyers still in control
Long $PLAY
Entry: 0.106 – 0.112
SL: 0.089
TP1: 0.125
TP2: 0.134
TP3: 0.150
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $PLAY here 👇
Long $PLAY
Entry: 0.106 – 0.112
SL: 0.089
TP1: 0.125
TP2: 0.134
TP3: 0.150
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $PLAY here 👇
$BULLA — sharp dip got bought instantly. Momentum still leaning up.
Long $BULLA
Entry: 0.052–0.054
SL: 0.047
TP1: 0.060
TP2: 0.068
TP3: 0.075
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $BULLA here 👇
Long $BULLA
Entry: 0.052–0.054
SL: 0.047
TP1: 0.060
TP2: 0.068
TP3: 0.075
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $BULLA here 👇
86k ➝ 89.5k — nailed it ✅🔥
This move is done.
Now BTC likely stays below 92k and heads back to 86.5k support.
Waiting on that retest for short confirmation.
Spot BTC/ETH longs closed at break even — capital protected.
Clean execution. No rush.
This is why Bitcoin is in trouble.
On the bigger picture, BTC printed a massive rising wedge on the weekly charts — and it just broke down.
That breakdown points straight toward $50k.
High-timeframe patterns don’t lie. That’s where real liquidity is, and it’s already shifting.
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: 2026 will be a bearish year for Bitcoin, likely all the way until October.
Now BTC likely stays below 92k and heads back to 86.5k support.
Waiting on that retest for short confirmation.
Spot BTC/ETH longs closed at break even — capital protected.
Clean execution. No rush.
This is why Bitcoin is in trouble.
On the bigger picture, BTC printed a massive rising wedge on the weekly charts — and it just broke down.
That breakdown points straight toward $50k.
High-timeframe patterns don’t lie. That’s where real liquidity is, and it’s already shifting.
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: 2026 will be a bearish year for Bitcoin, likely all the way until October.
$PIPPIN — pullback getting absorbed, not dumped
Long $PIPPIN
Entry: 0.41 – 0.43
SL: 0.38
TP1: 0.48
TP2: 0.56
TP3: 0.62
The dip failed to get follow-through and buyers stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Structure is still being defended and downside momentum didn’t expand. As long as this range holds, continuation higher is the cleaner path.
Trade $PIPPIN here 👇
Long $PIPPIN
Entry: 0.41 – 0.43
SL: 0.38
TP1: 0.48
TP2: 0.56
TP3: 0.62
The dip failed to get follow-through and buyers stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Structure is still being defended and downside momentum didn’t expand. As long as this range holds, continuation higher is the cleaner path.
Trade $PIPPIN here 👇
$XPL — bounce into resistance, nothing more.
Short $XPL
Entry: 0.142 – 0.145
SL: 0.150
TP1: 0.136
TP2: 0.128
TP3: 0.118
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $XPL here 👇
Short $XPL
Entry: 0.142 – 0.145
SL: 0.150
TP1: 0.136
TP2: 0.128
TP3: 0.118
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $XPL here 👇
$DASH – sellers couldn’t press the breakdown
Long $DASH
Entry: 57.5 – 59.0
SL: 54.0
TP1: 64.0
TP2: 70.0
TP3: 78.0
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $DASH here 👇
Long $DASH
Entry: 57.5 – 59.0
SL: 54.0
TP1: 64.0
TP2: 70.0
TP3: 78.0
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $DASH here 👇
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