athantonios

Here's my plan for now.
There are both positive and negative news that can greatly affect my plan, so take it with a grain of salt and use it mostly as food for thought.

War News:
- US involvement, check ✅️
- Bomb nuclear facilities, check ✅️
- Close Hormuz strait, almost a check ☑️
- Hit on US bases, not priced-in, could happen (negative 👎)
- War escalation, not priced-in, could happen (negative 👎)
- Iran leadership capitulation or regime change, not priced-in, could happen (positive 👍)

Macro news:
- 2x FED members open to change of monetary policy and/or rate cuts. Nothing official yet, just comments.
- One BBB Act likely to pass. It includes spending and tax cuts.

TA/Charts:
- Weekly closed below previous Weekly Close ATH (bearish 🐻)
- Daily closed confirming a lower-low in daily structure (bearish 🐻)
- LTF; 98-100 local support. 102.7 local resistance. Below 98 -> 93s-95s. Above 102.7 -> Short Squeeze towards 104.7-106.5

Plan:
- For now, slowly build some spot positions around the lows. Sell the bearish retest at 104.7-106.5.
- If situation is still shitty then expect new lows (93-95), buy them and sell into the next short Squeeze. Repeat until end of summer. It will look something like that; 98->105, 93->101, then a slow reversal.
- If situation resolves positively, then 102.8 should become our new support for a time-based bottom. Once the time-based bottom is in, we'll move towards 112k+

Hope this helps you build some kind of Thesis and Perspective. 🙏

Based on everything you're looking at - Charts (TA), Macro, Geopolitics, Market Liquidity, Seasonality etc -
Where do you think we're heading next week?
$BTC

- LTF resistance: Monday Lows (105-105.2)
- Acceptance above 105.2: Short Squeeze
- Squeeze targets:
🔸1st, 106.1-106.5
🔸2nd, 108.1-108.5
- Downside Continuation: Below 103.8

(edit: fixed Monday High line placement)

- LTF resistance: Monday Lows (105-105.2)
- Acceptance above 105.2: Short Squeeze
- Squeeze targets:
🔸1st, 106.1-106.5
🔸2nd, 108.1-108.5
- Downside Continuation: Below 103.8

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تجاهلهم. إنهم يستغلونك.

ضع خطة. نفّذها.

LTF doesn't look like a top to me.
I'd expect these highs to be swept.
So, probably just a dip.

(I would start to worry only if it starts to look ugly on HTFs, 1D or above)

You think alts are pumping because $ETH woke up out of nowhere.
What if I told you this move has little to nothing to do with ETH and it's definitely NOT random but rather a shift in risk appetite that we've seen before?

🧵In this thread I'll explain why:

- Gainzy threw a tantrum on ETH at the bottom
- Value Extractors are back at shilling their Cabal coins
- Larps who were 100% in stables two days ago are posting "i told you so" & green PNLs out of nowhere

..and yet, you are still bearish???
GM!

This Thursday, I will be joined by @teohaik, Engineering Team Leader at @Mysten_Labs, for an Exclusive Interview about the SUI Ecosystem!
Thursday - May 8 - 8pm EET - YouTube

SUI you there!👇
https://youtube.com/live/1un94QEX1Kc?feature=share

[Weekly Community Post 🫂]
Every now and then, I'm sharing my friends' work to help more people discover it.
- This Friday (May 9) my friends at @bitgetglobal (@effiekav / @andr_vlachos) and @AvaxTeam1 (@Oxydo11) are hosting a meetup in Athens. I don't think I'll make it but feel free to check it out!