So, how are all the crypto freedom fighters, the people fighting against the terrible system we live under, feeling now? 😁 What the hell have we gotten ourselves into with this blockchain? Cash was real decentralization! 💵 According to new anti-fraud regulations that will come into effect next year, Brazil will hold certain cryptocurrency transfers exceeding 10,000 $ to foreign companies or self-custodial wallets for up to 24 hours. And all this shit with digital payments… even Orwell couldn’t have imagined it. It’s only a matter of time. And yes $BTC is not a solution
Why do even the “epic events” in the stock market that traders love obsessing over still fail to play out the way everyone expects? $SPCX On August 6, the first SpaceX () share unlock worth more than $100 billion took place. Investors gained access to selling 911.5 million shares, which is almost half of the amount that was available at the IPO. In simple crypto terms: an unlock. What did everyone expect? A DUMP right at the open! What did we get? A 26% PUMP. Your expectations, your problem! That’s the problem with most market analysis: there are a million different things that can happen. The only thing that really matters is not trying to be right, and not forcing some sensational narrative just to make a “breaking” post. The goal is much simpler: Protect your capital and slowly grow it over time.
Bitcoin chart on the yearly timeframe! Of course, there are still 6 months left before the candle closes, and it’s entirely possible that we’ll even close it green, with wicks on both sides. But the precedent is already interesting. As I’ve shown before, we’ve never had 2 green years followed by a third red year. The usual narrative from all the 4-year cycle believers is that after 1 year of decline, we get 3 consecutive green yearly candles. Well… something went wrong this time 😊 Now, for the first time, we could potentially get 2 consecutive red yearly candles. But I’m sure the cycle cultists will find an explanation for that too and say: “Everything is still according to plan. It’s exactly like before.” $BTC
Remember how in 2021, every new technology token that was being launched was part of this trend — they called it a “Solana killer” or an “Ethereum killer.”
But in the end, all of these super-fundamental projects turned out to be nothing more than portfolio killers. $ETH $SOL
As I already said, my spot investment in HFT (I honestly hate spot now—you can lose even more there than trading futures 😂) has turned into dust. My entry was around $0.12–0.13. Binance is delisting the token on August 17. As usual, before a delisting they start pumping the token price, and people who have no idea what's going on blindly jump in. On other exchanges, like Bybit, there isn't even a notice that the token is going to be removed, so everything looks great. In just 4 days, the token went up 500%. And I've already mentioned that pressing the Sell button is much harder than pressing Buy. Yesterday, when the price was around $0.035, I decided to fully realize my loss, lose about 80% of my investment, and at least save something. The next morning, if I hadn't sold, I would have woken up to -72%. Sure, I could wait and hope that one day, in the long term, the token would return to my entry price and I'd get out at break-even. But either you make a decision, or you don't. I'll only be happy for everyone still holding HFT if the token continues going up without me. Another factor that made me press the Sell button and say goodbye to that amount of money was the token unlocks scheduled for the very next day. Once again, we see how these pathetic market makers, together with the exchange and the project team, pump the token right before the delisting and right before the unlocks so that people who aren't aware simply buy into the rally. And one more thing—the HFT Twitter account makes about one post per month. Activity and hard work at the highest level! That's why it's so important to learn how to accept your losses and press the Sell button. $HFT
The implied volatility of Bitcoin call options* has reached a historic low of 23%. This means that the market is no longer factoring in a premium for the potential for further growth in BTC. $BTC
🪙 Let's take a look at Bitcoin's quarterly returns! As usual, summer isn't always terrible—it's just slow and uneventful, because normal people with billions behind them aren't wasting time on nonsense, they're on vacation. It's only us analyzing charts every single day, hoping to squeeze out a trade, because we don't have the luxury of saying "screw it" and doing nothing. Q4, if we ignore the idiotic year of 2025, has usually been the most profitable period. But there's one problem. Even if we rally by 51%, it would only be a liquidity grab at the level that the big players drew on the chart back in January 2026—around $98,000. So we're not even talking about some new sky-high ATH.🤨 $BTC
This is becoming absolutely phenomenal! Top Bitcoin analytics websites are literally redrawing their charts just to make them look better. You'll say that all these lines are dynamic—and I agree! But just look at the Bitcoin price projection and the moving averages. The 1,458-day moving average is exactly where it was before, yet for some reason the Bitcoin price chart itself has been completely redrawn. Back in January, the projected bottom was around $36,000. Now it's $50,000. That's a pretty decent $14,000 error. I wouldn't be surprised if the bottom has already been reached, and then a month later they'll redraw the chart retroactively just to show that "our projection predicted it all along." I'm not against additional analytics, but there should be logic behind a projected price path—not just placing a random price level while trying to guess the bottom. This goes back to the point that hundreds of indicators on these websites only scatter your focus without providing any real value. It's becoming just like the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, which everyone relied on for the last 10 years. Then the price suddenly fell outside the rainbow, everyone freaked out... but that's okay—they'll just redraw the rainbow too, so everything looks perfect in hindsight. $BTC
One of the most important on-chain metrics right now is the Short-Term Holders Realized Price. $BTC is testing a level that has repeatedly defined bullish and bearish market phases. Is this just another consolidation, or the beginning of the next major move? Let's break it down. https://youtu.be/70xNKnVY5bE
So, my idea since 2024 has been that the trigger for a truly massive market crash—not just in crypto—would be AI getting out of control. Maybe it's going to be a little more complicated than that. Maybe AI will simply discover so many vulnerabilities across hundreds of crypto projects and even banks that, at some point, we'll witness the mass hacking of everything that can possibly be hacked. And of course, all those "amazing" crypto projects will only start paying attention to their full-of-holes security audits after it happens. At least with banks, there's a chance people might receive some kind of compensation. In crypto, people could lose everything. After all, it's the "new financial freedom"—you're your own bank. 🙂 According to Hasib Qureshi, Managing Partner at Dragonfly, AI is fundamentally changing the rules of cybersecurity. • Any company that isn't testing its software and releases with advanced AI models is already falling behind and putting its users at greater risk. If an attacker can spend $5,000 to discover vulnerabilities, a company only needs around $10,000 to uncover those same flaws—and potentially many more—before they can be exploited. • He believes the industry is approaching a "COVID moment": a wave of large-scale hacks that will make AI-powered security audits the new industry standard. But people only now start talk about it! Cmon $BTC
$ICP Interesting infographic. 🙂 1. ICP probably processed so many transactions because there were simply too many transfers needed to keep selling this token since 2021. Just imagine how many small, unnoticed transactions it must have taken to systematically drag the token from $600 to $2 over five years. With such a market cap, it's no surprise it took so long. But the network handled it perfectly—that's great! 2. And you noticed, right? This kind of information, as traders—or even just spot investors—doesn't give us a single bit of valuable information. Despite having impressive on-chain technical metrics, the charts show a completely different picture. Personally, I don't care at all how fast a network is or how many transactions it can process.
$HFT Here, we talk about everything—not like the influencers on social media whose portfolios are supposedly nothing but green PNLs and endless profits. We talk about reality. So yes, I lost money. Well, technically not yet—but there's a 99% chance I will. Back in 2024, I bought HFT. At the time, it was a logical entry. After the token made a new all-time low, I decided to take the risk and buy it on the spot market. The DEX narrative also made sense back then, but almost every DEX platform—except Hyperliquid—ended up failing. It's also a perfect example that having some overrated, supposedly "top-tier" venture capital fund backing a project is not a guarantee that the token will perform well. And that's how it goes sometimes. HFT is expected to be delisted from Binance within the next couple of weeks. Sure, a miracle could happen and the token might get pumped before the delisting so I can exit with a smaller loss... but I wouldn't count on it. So, friends, reality is far less glamorous than what most crypto influencers show you. But that's part of the job.🤝
I honestly can't stop laughing at what a joke and what a complete mess the crypto industry has turned into. Everything feels so planned and so unbelievably predictable. As if by magic, right in August—when Bitcoin is sitting at a critical level, roughly around what many see as the market bottom—we suddenly get another story about hackers who supposedly compromised a hardware wallet and stole people's Bitcoin. Coldcard? Had you ever even heard of it before this? 😂 Who was actually using it? The whole discussion about whether hardware wallets are useful or not has become so obvious that only a blind monkey couldn't see it. What's even funnier are all the posts calling on the hackers to return the Bitcoin because now every coin will supposedly be under surveillance and every transaction can be tracked. Sounds great, right? There's just one problem. Bitcoin maximalists have spent years claiming they're fighting corrupt governments and the traditional financial system while promoting the idea of anonymity. And now it turns out the opposite is true: every movement of your funds can be tracked in real time. Wherever you send your Bitcoin, it's visible. Wherever you try to spend it, it's visible. Doesn't it seem like crypto degens have fooled themselves? $BTC
I remember how one member of the $ADA cult passionately argued that Cardano would never fall out of the top 10😁. Now Cardano is ranked #14 . Never fall in love with tokens. Don't join cults or echo chambers. They're just assets to trade—nothing more. ▶️ https://youtu.be/uMC0knvFdXg