Bitcoin bottomed 13 to 71 days after each of the last three midterms: January 2015, December 2018, November 2022. The vote is November 3, and BTC is in the low $80Ks.
Here's the catch. The 2026 low came on July 1, about 125 days before the election, so the calendar says wait while the chart may have already moved on.
Three data points also overlap with the halving cycle, so the election may get credit for what the cycle was already doing.
Traders crave a date because a date feels like a plan. But when everyone circles the same day, the pattern can get front-run or simply fail. Binance Research found Bitcoin and risk assets have typically rallied in the 12 months after midterms, which would make a July low early, not wrong.
A calendar isn't a catalyst..
$BTC#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
Here's the catch. The 2026 low came on July 1, about 125 days before the election, so the calendar says wait while the chart may have already moved on.
Three data points also overlap with the halving cycle, so the election may get credit for what the cycle was already doing.
Traders crave a date because a date feels like a plan. But when everyone circles the same day, the pattern can get front-run or simply fail. Binance Research found Bitcoin and risk assets have typically rallied in the 12 months after midterms, which would make a July low early, not wrong.
A calendar isn't a catalyst..
$BTC#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
