🔥 FOMC September: Is the Fed About to Change the Market Game?🔥
The September FOMC meeting is now the key macro event for crypto, stocks and gold. The latest U.S. CPI data showed headline inflation rising 0.4% month-over-month in August, while core CPI increased 0.3% MoM and 2.4% over the year.
With markets pricing a high probability of a 25bp rate hike, the bigger question is not only whether the Fed moves, but what comes next. Is this simply a one-off adjustment, or could it mark the beginning of a longer period of tighter monetary policy?
📉 $BTC : A rate hike can initially pressure Bitcoin because higher yields may reduce appetite for risk assets. However, if the hike is already fully priced in, BTC could react more to the Fed's guidance and future rate path than to the decision itself.
📊 Tech stocks:Higher rates can increase pressure on growth and technology stocks because future earnings become less valuable when discount rates rise.
🥇 Gold:Gold could face short-term pressure from higher yields, although expectations for future monetary policy, inflation and safe-haven demand can also influence its direction.
For my trading plan, I'm watching $BTC price action around the FOMC announcement rather than chasing volatility before the decision. The key signals for me are the Fed statement, Powell's comments and the market's reaction after the initial move.
The most important question isn't simply “25bp hike or no hike?” — it's “What does the Fed signal about the next move?”