24h Check #18 · BNB
Original read: downside continuation. Move evidence: -2.79% over the latest 24h window. Volume evidence: $90.9M quote volume.
Confirmation required acceptance below 702.67. Invalidation: a 1h close above 702.67.
Result: HIT. Return -0.21%; MFE 1.06%; MAE 0.52%.
The fixed-horizon close supports the stated direction. MFE and MAE retain the path risk, so the close is not the whole record.
For the next read, was level acceptance or persistent volume more informative?
$BNB $ETH
Original read: downside continuation. Move evidence: -2.79% over the latest 24h window. Volume evidence: $90.9M quote volume.
Confirmation required acceptance below 702.67. Invalidation: a 1h close above 702.67.
Result: HIT. Return -0.21%; MFE 1.06%; MAE 0.52%.
The fixed-horizon close supports the stated direction. MFE and MAE retain the path risk, so the close is not the whole record.
For the next read, was level acceptance or persistent volume more informative?
$BNB $ETH