📊 TRADING PERFORMANCE & MARKET SENTIMENT INDEX (FGI) REPORT – UPDATED 22/08/2026
The latest data shows that the correlation between FGI and Win Rate remains weak and negative, with r ≈ -0.288. This suggests that FGI is not suitable as a standalone tool for identifying order entries, but it can still be useful for quantifying risk. Trading performance generally tends to weaken as market sentiment moves into extreme euphoria, making FGI more suitable as an early risk-warning signal than as a signal for expanding profit targets.
Below is a summary of Win Rate (WR), minimum breakeven R, and the number of recorded days (n) across each sentiment zone:
🤑 Extreme Greed (≥80): WR 40.5% • R=1:1.47 • n=25
😏 Greed (60–80): WR 44.9% • R=1:1.23 • n=218
😐 Neutral (40–60): WR 45.2% • R=1:1.21 • n=152
😰 Fear (20–40): WR 47.1% • R=1:1.12 • n=271
😱 Extreme Fear (<20): WR 52.4% • R=1:0.91 • n=115
Percentage of days with performance above the overall average of 46.68% by sentiment zone:
🤑 Extreme Greed: 8.0%
😏 Greed: 36.2%
😐 Neutral: 38.2%
😰 Fear: 55.0%
😱 Extreme Fear: 67.8%
➤ Short-term traders can use FGI as a guide for adjusting expected profit targets when entering trades:
📈 When FGI is high, higher profit targets may be needed to maintain a sufficiently strong R ratio and compensate for the lower win rate.
📉 When FGI is low, profit targets can be reduced to increase capital turnover and make profit realization easier.
#TradingPsychology $GRAM $ONE $RARE
The latest data shows that the correlation between FGI and Win Rate remains weak and negative, with r ≈ -0.288. This suggests that FGI is not suitable as a standalone tool for identifying order entries, but it can still be useful for quantifying risk. Trading performance generally tends to weaken as market sentiment moves into extreme euphoria, making FGI more suitable as an early risk-warning signal than as a signal for expanding profit targets.
Below is a summary of Win Rate (WR), minimum breakeven R, and the number of recorded days (n) across each sentiment zone:
🤑 Extreme Greed (≥80): WR 40.5% • R=1:1.47 • n=25
😏 Greed (60–80): WR 44.9% • R=1:1.23 • n=218
😐 Neutral (40–60): WR 45.2% • R=1:1.21 • n=152
😰 Fear (20–40): WR 47.1% • R=1:1.12 • n=271
😱 Extreme Fear (<20): WR 52.4% • R=1:0.91 • n=115
Percentage of days with performance above the overall average of 46.68% by sentiment zone:
🤑 Extreme Greed: 8.0%
😏 Greed: 36.2%
😐 Neutral: 38.2%
😰 Fear: 55.0%
😱 Extreme Fear: 67.8%
➤ Short-term traders can use FGI as a guide for adjusting expected profit targets when entering trades:
📈 When FGI is high, higher profit targets may be needed to maintain a sufficiently strong R ratio and compensate for the lower win rate.
📉 When FGI is low, profit targets can be reduced to increase capital turnover and make profit realization easier.
#TradingPsychology $GRAM $ONE $RARE
