$NVDA 1H Setup — Jackson Hole edition 📉
Macro: Markets now price a 35% chance of a September hike, 66% by December . It's Warsh's first Jackson Hole since taking office in May — and Reuters notes his shift away from forward guidance has left investors guessing. Expect chop until he speaks.
$NVDA 1H — Pulling back inside an uptrend. Trading $214.72 , below all hourly EMAs (10/20/50) after a -5% week off the $225.30 high. Watch the $214.50 shelf.
Setup A — Buy the dip (higher win rate):
Entry: $214.50 – $215.50 (today's low + 1H floor)
Stop: $211.90 (below Aug 4 low) · Risk ~1.4%
TP1: $217.00 (EMA-20) · TP2: $219.74 (Aug 18 high) · TP3: $225.30 (swing high)
Setup B — Reclaim confirmation:
Entry: 1H close > $218.14 (10-EMA) → stop $215.50 → TPs $219.74 / $225
Invalidation: 1H close < $211.90 → next stop $210.50 (50-day EMA), then $200.
Don't fade before Warsh speaks — keep size light into the event, respect the stop.
#sp500endsweeklywinstreak #USCanadaTradeTalksCollapseCanadaVowsRetaliation #SP500EndsWeeklyWinStreak #TRUMPBreaksAbove$3.4HighestSinceMarch21 #GrayscaleFilesFifthZECETFAmendment
Macro: Markets now price a 35% chance of a September hike, 66% by December . It's Warsh's first Jackson Hole since taking office in May — and Reuters notes his shift away from forward guidance has left investors guessing. Expect chop until he speaks.
$NVDA 1H — Pulling back inside an uptrend. Trading $214.72 , below all hourly EMAs (10/20/50) after a -5% week off the $225.30 high. Watch the $214.50 shelf.
Setup A — Buy the dip (higher win rate):
Entry: $214.50 – $215.50 (today's low + 1H floor)
Stop: $211.90 (below Aug 4 low) · Risk ~1.4%
TP1: $217.00 (EMA-20) · TP2: $219.74 (Aug 18 high) · TP3: $225.30 (swing high)
Setup B — Reclaim confirmation:
Entry: 1H close > $218.14 (10-EMA) → stop $215.50 → TPs $219.74 / $225
Invalidation: 1H close < $211.90 → next stop $210.50 (50-day EMA), then $200.
Don't fade before Warsh speaks — keep size light into the event, respect the stop.
#sp500endsweeklywinstreak #USCanadaTradeTalksCollapseCanadaVowsRetaliation #SP500EndsWeeklyWinStreak #TRUMPBreaksAbove$3.4HighestSinceMarch21 #GrayscaleFilesFifthZECETFAmendment