📊 TRADING PERFORMANCE & FEAR AND GREED INDEX (FGI) REPORT – UPDATED 15/08/2026
The latest statistical data shows that the correlation between FGI and Win Rate remains weak and continues to lean negative, with r ≈ -0.285. This suggests that FGI is not suitable as a standalone tool for determining order entries, but it can still be useful for quantifying risk. Trading performance generally tends to deteriorate as market sentiment moves into extreme optimism, making FGI more appropriate as an early risk-warning indicator rather than a signal for expanding profit expectations.
Below is a summary of Win Rate (WR), minimum breakeven R:R, and the number of recorded days (n) across different sentiment zones:
🤑 Extreme Greed (≥80): WR 40.5% • R:R=1:1.47 • n=25
🤤 Greed (60–80): WR 45.1% • R:R=1:1.22 • n=215
😐 Neutral (40–60): WR 45.2% • R:R=1:1.21 • n=150
😰 Fear (20–40): WR 47.1% • R:R=1:1.12 • n=269
😱 Extreme Fear (<20): WR 52.4% • R:R=1:0.91 • n=115
The percentage of days with performance above the overall average win rate of 46.75% by sentiment zone:
🤑 Extreme Greed: 8.0%
🤤 Greed: 36.3%
😐 Neutral: 38.0%
😰 Fear: 53.9%
😱 Extreme Fear: 67.8%
➤ Short-term traders can use FGI as a guide for adjusting expected profit targets when entering trades:
📈 When FGI is high, higher profit expectations may be required to maintain a sufficiently favorable R:R ratio and compensate for the lower win rate.
📉 When FGI is low, profit expectations can be reduced to increase capital turnover and make profit realization easier.
#TradingPerformance $GRAM $NVDAB $AAPLB
The latest statistical data shows that the correlation between FGI and Win Rate remains weak and continues to lean negative, with r ≈ -0.285. This suggests that FGI is not suitable as a standalone tool for determining order entries, but it can still be useful for quantifying risk. Trading performance generally tends to deteriorate as market sentiment moves into extreme optimism, making FGI more appropriate as an early risk-warning indicator rather than a signal for expanding profit expectations.
Below is a summary of Win Rate (WR), minimum breakeven R:R, and the number of recorded days (n) across different sentiment zones:
🤑 Extreme Greed (≥80): WR 40.5% • R:R=1:1.47 • n=25
🤤 Greed (60–80): WR 45.1% • R:R=1:1.22 • n=215
😐 Neutral (40–60): WR 45.2% • R:R=1:1.21 • n=150
😰 Fear (20–40): WR 47.1% • R:R=1:1.12 • n=269
😱 Extreme Fear (<20): WR 52.4% • R:R=1:0.91 • n=115
The percentage of days with performance above the overall average win rate of 46.75% by sentiment zone:
🤑 Extreme Greed: 8.0%
🤤 Greed: 36.3%
😐 Neutral: 38.0%
😰 Fear: 53.9%
😱 Extreme Fear: 67.8%
➤ Short-term traders can use FGI as a guide for adjusting expected profit targets when entering trades:
📈 When FGI is high, higher profit expectations may be required to maintain a sufficiently favorable R:R ratio and compensate for the lower win rate.
📉 When FGI is low, profit expectations can be reduced to increase capital turnover and make profit realization easier.
#TradingPerformance $GRAM $NVDAB $AAPLB